LogFAQs > #982761601

I believe Harris will win based on polling. The forecasts show 50/50, which is fair (and no, it's not because of right-wing pollsters). I am going to go more in-depth in my next forecast thread on election day, but essentially, while polls are 50/50, I believe herding is happening (I do actually think it's not on purpose for the most part, but subconsciously, pollsters are probably being affected). When the outliers do happen, the pollsters brave enough to release a non-herded poll, it seems to be in Harris' favor, at least in the rust belt. Even if Trump wins the other 4 swing states, he has to win at least 1 of 3 rust belt states. I see the +4, +3 MI/WI polls, and I just refuse to believe PA will be that off from those two.