LogFAQs > #982741988

LightSnake posted...

I'm also noting? Basically everything except consistently tied national polls shows a major Democratic advantage. We're about to learn if polls are all that matter or herding is a very real problem. Both seem plausible.

Harris is consistently leading now in state polling with little variance. There seems to be major Democratic enthusiasm, and registration and voting numbers look optimistic.

The problem is that whether herding is or isn't happening anything short of a blowout would be well within the margin of error for what the polls are showing. It's a perception issue that there isn't much they can do about. The average person completely ignored margin of error. This means close elections like these will be viewed as polls being wrong, even though for all the non-swing states we are able to statistically predict their results with no mistakes because the difference is large enough that it's well outside the margin of error.