From: PartOfYourWorld | #029
Expecting a Romney win, although I'm not sure if that will force any of the others to end their campaigns. Is there any chance Perry could be the first guy to drop out? All the others have much less money but have been able to make do with it. Perry, conversely, has a gigantic war chest but no momentum and no shot outside of a strong Iowa showing. His high-paid campaign staff must realize this. If he does fold it up, where does all the money go?
Michelle Bachmann quits first, I think. Her campaign is completely dead in the water after Iowa. Her campaign staff is abandoning her, she has very little money to speak of, and very little support, either. I see her leaving the race if she finishes with less than 10%, which is likely.
Rick Santorum will also likely quit if he can't beat Perry and Bachmann. He has almost exclusively campaigned in Iowa, and has no organization anywhere else.
Perry and Gingrich will most likely hold out until the end of the month, and will need to win at least SC or FL to stay in competition. If Romney can't win either of those states his best bet is for Perry to win one and Gingrich the other.
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My Japanese alter-ego.
Hey all this is Bartz btw.