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TopicRivalry Rumble Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Master Moltar
12/13/11 8:12:00 PM
#241:


Quarterfinals: Round 4 - Match 58 – (1) Red/Blue vs. (1) Samus/Ridley

Moltar’s Analysis

Red/Blue
Round 1 - 76.92% vs. Raynor/Kerrigan
Round 1 - 77.96% vs. Luigi/Waluigi
Round 3 - 60.04% vs. Ryu/Ken

Trainers turn a debated match into...that


Samus/Ridley
Round 1 - 80.64% vs. Kid/Guy
Round 2 - 60.79% vs. Terra/Kefka
Round 3 - 53.47% vs. Big Boss/The Boss

Metroid looking unimpressive again

We’ve come a long way since 2006, when Metroid was the stronger series over Pokemon.

Now, after Trainers put up 60% on Ryu/Ken, one of the stronger rivalries in the contest, while Samus only managed that against Terra/Kefka...this won’t be close. In fact at this point I think Fighters vs. Metroid would be a very close match.

Plus there will also be some Nintendo SFF so lol

Moltar’s Bracket: Samus/Ridley

Moltar’s Prediction: Red/Blue - 62%



Lopen’s Analysis

I think Samus holds up against SFF to some extent, but I also think Samus at base is weaker than the SF crew. However these pics are the weakest for the trainers by far-- I think their support base got lazy and decided to stop shoehorning Pokemon into their pics at every opportunity. That's going to hurt them. Enough to lose? Probably not, but I'm expecting a disappointing performance this round, which is somewhat unfortunate because Samus/Ridley is one of the few rivalries in the bracket that I dislike more than the Pokemon Trainers.

Lopen's prediction:
Pkmz Trainerz with 56.55%



Leon’s Analysis

Pre-contest, picking Samus to lose before the semifinals was considered an upset, but now, most people are expecting the Trainers to steamroll Samus/Ridley here, and for good reason. They’ve looked very impressive in all of their matches, while Samus has…well, not looked so impressive. I think we’ve seen that coupling characters who get appeal from sources other than their main series with a rival from that series has hindered them somewhat. That’s my theory anyway. Not everyone agrees with that. It looks like it’s hurt Samus, Snake, Kirby, and Squall, all characters who get a significant portion of their strength from other games (Smash Bros. and Kingdom Hearts).

And I think that’s ultimately going to be Samus’s undoing, to say nothing of the RIVALRY FACTOR Red/Blue is benefiting from here. Samus/Ridley got 60% on Terra/Kefka and essentially 60% on Chris/Wesker through the Bosses. I take Ryu/Ken to beat either of those pairings fairly easily. Heck, I still think Ryu/Ken would have a decent shot at Samus/Ridley, too. The Trainers win this one easily, but I’m not sure I’m buying into all these people who are talking doubling or better here.

Leonhart’s Prediction: Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue with 60.60%
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