(1) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. (1) Samus Aran/Ridley
(R1) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 76.92% vs. Jim Raynor/Sarah Kerrigan
(R2) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 77.96% vs. Luigi/Waluigi
(R3) Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue: 60.04% vs. Ryu/Ken
(R1) Samus Aran/Ridley: 80.64% vs. The Kid/The Guy
(R2) Samus Aran/Ridley: 60.79% vs. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo
(R3) Samus Aran/Ridley: 53.47% vs. Big Boss/The Boss
Samus was the favourite to win through this quadrant before the contest began, but it would take a minor miracle for her to advance here. I have a fair deal of respect for Terra/Kefka, but they're not troubling Ryu/Ken. I'm not even sure the Bosses would beat the Fighters - 56% against Chris/Wesker, or 65% against Fox/Wolf? I'd expect that match would be close. Setting them even projects the Trainers to win with 57%. But it seems to me that the Trainers are catching a bit of momentum, so they might overperform here naturally, and that's before considering SFF. After how badly they crushed Luigi/Waluigi I'd expect them to benefit again from it here, though not to anywhere near the same degree - Samus is many tiers above Luigi, and Ridley, while not much of a help, isn't an anchor like Waluigi. Something in the low-mid 60s seems about right. Anything higher, and Mario had better watch out.
Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue with 63.54%
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)