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LurkerFAQs ( 06.29.2011-09.11.2012 ), Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, DB6, DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
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TopicRivalry Rumble Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
Master Moltar
12/03/11 7:57:00 PM
#49:


Kleenex’s Analysis

Here it is. The Big One™. Dante and Sora are both roughly equal in strength if we're taking things at a 1v1 value. As much as it pains me to say, their rivalries are also probably viewed as approximately equal in the eyes of the voters. Riku is also stronger than Vergil by a noticeable amount. Seems like it should be a pretty easy match in favor of Sora then, right? Well, not quite. Sora and Riku have both been on the downturn. Both of them looked pretty darn bad last year. Like, really bad. Riku lost to Captain Falcon. Yikes. Dante on the other hand went toe-to-toe with Ryu, and likely would have won if not for Hockey Factor. Some would say the picture mattered too, and while I can certainly entertain that possibility, I don't quite buy into it as much as others might. Regardless, Dante and Vergil have a clear picture advantage tonight, so that shouldn't even come into play here.

The only thing I'd really be worried about is Dante's habit of choking away really close matches. If this ends up close, we could definitely see history repeat itself again. Luckily, I don't see this being all that close at all. Kingdom Hearts has become something of an anti-vote magnet these days and has definitely lost a lot of the favor it used to have five or so years ago. Dante might not be terribly relevant anymore either, but everything seems to be stacked up against the KH crew here and I think they're going to buckle. As they should.

Kleenex's Prediction: Dante vs. Vergil with 56.12%



Applekidjosh’s Analysis

I was so excited for this match I played Terraria for like 10 hours today. That's how I celebrate.

So everywhere I look people are hyping up this match, but I don't think it's going to be that close! I mean for this contest a 55-45 match is practically a nailbiter but still, I don't think this result is up in the air. I know Dante looked like a rock star in round 1, while Sora... well you can't really get anything out of Sora's match because nobody has any idea how strong Hitler is in this contest. My gut tells me there's a 75% chance Sora takes this, so that's what I have to go with.

AKJ predix Sora vs Riku with 54.45%



Dante’s Analysis

Okay, this is the one we've been waiting for. Sora vs Dante, the final showdown of round 2. The underachieving favorite versus the overachieving underdog. I'll be honest here, I'm not sure who I'm going to take. This is a complete coinflip for me, so lets look at some stuff: Votes. Sora and Dante actually got around the same number of votes, even though there vote totals were way higher for Sora. Does this mean anything? Probably not, but those 20k votes sora managed to get against hitler are absolute locks for him to get again. I really can't get anything from Dante's performance - he blew out a couple of guys literally no one cares about. So really, was hitlers strength his own or was is the strength of people hating sora? I honestly have no idea and I could see this match going either way. I feel almost lopenesque doing this but

Winner - Dante/Vergil - 51.02%
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