But yeah, unless the Wii U pulls out some serious surprises, it's looking to be such a massive trainwreck.
there's still probably 5-10 million people that will buy a nintendo console no matter how bad it winds up being, I figure you can take the gamecube userbase and assume a third of them were disgusted by how bad nintendo has gotten this generation or weren't the hardcore crowd to begin with since that was an actual good system. from there it all depends on whether or not the non-gaming stay at home moms and grandparents that made the wii so successful buy into the U as well