So... to correct that earlier Higgs-Boson::Theory Construct always exists, but its correspondence to reality does not have to hold. Is that true?
Yes.
Hm, this sounds like it contradicts your previous notion that truth is constant across time.
Actually there is one reconciliation: At any ONE particular moment in time, given a set of information, that is what we call true. The fact that we can only guess 50% at the start is ALWAYS true, no matter what data we receive later on. Similarly, the old Newtonian laws were our best approximation to truth before we started discovering breakdowns to it, etc. Is that right?
Yeeeah, I'm messing something up. I guess I should speak in terms of accuracy and precision then. The I suppose what I should say is that the closer the predicted probability is to the actual probability, the more accurate it is. The 50% estimate is truthful only in that it's stating that the odds of one of two equally likely, mutually exclusive events happening is 50%. I'm not sure how to say it better. I suppose there isn't multiple levels of truthfulness like I stated, more that each detail added has its own truth value, and adding more details that are true improves accuracy. Or something like that.
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