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Topic | Politics Containment Topic 384: Manchins of Madness |
red sox 777 01/03/22 4:55:40 PM #260 | Mr Lasastryke posted... yup. the combination of her being a likeable person and the fact that she says slightly more leftist things than your average democrat means that republicans think she must be stopped at all costs. Significantly more leftist things. Things that would actually hurt people's wealth if passed. Plus, people don't believe she'll do the usual Democrat thing of talking to a bunch of corporate lobbyists and making sure the rich are protected in any bill that has the appearance of possibly hurting them. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 384: Manchins of Madness |
red sox 777 01/03/22 4:51:56 PM #259 | TheRock1525 posted... Hmmmmmmm... Yeah I think he has a pretty good chance of winning reelection. He's going to end up as the sole obstacle standing between the GOP and dramatic changes to our laws. People will continue to anti-vote the more dangerous evil, which in 2024 will be the GOP. This year it's the Dems. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 35 |
red sox 777 01/03/22 2:18:11 PM #19 | I think I like the Pelosi method of buying deep ITM calls. It's a way of getting leverage without the potential for a margin call. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/29/21 9:59:52 PM #491 | Lopen posted... All small market caps are getting crushed Yes and I think it's quite reasonable to expect a correction on that. Buy the dip as they say. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/29/21 6:47:42 AM #479 | Starting to get interested in HOOD stock. Down about 75% from the peak. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/21/21 2:27:39 PM #475 | SOFI has taken a big beating recently. I sold my warrants part of the way through the decline after they announced they were forcefully redeeming the warrants so it was impossible to keep holding them. Anyway, it looks to be at a very nice price point now so I'm looking to get back in on the shares. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/21/21 2:14:10 PM #474 | Santa rally is on! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 384: Manchins of Madness |
red sox 777 12/21/21 10:51:03 AM #5 | I guess Kyle is going to be a politician soon. He's not eligible for a House seat until he's 25 though. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 12/20/21 5:31:47 PM #496 | HeroDelTiempo17 posted... https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/1473011079634690053?s=20 Unless someone can articulate what Manchin committed to, none of this is surprising or a breach of a commitment. He committed to negotiate. He did. They couldn't reach a deal because they were too far apart. This is like contracting to have a painting made and agreeing to buy it if you like it. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/20/21 4:08:30 AM #465 | Quite happy my portfolio is almost 50% ZM right now. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 12/19/21 6:42:19 AM #447 | LordoftheMorons posted... A late convert to defund the police: To be fair, Hillary was never prosecuted. As chief law enforcement officer* of the United States, Trump could have ordered that she be prosecuted. He never did so. *I don't know the last time off the top of my head a US President or King of England ignored the advice of his attorney general and personally ordered a prosecution, but he does have that power. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | What kind of moderate are you? |
red sox 777 12/17/21 6:25:10 PM #1 | What kind of moderate are you?
Vote
Which of these moderate politician are you most like? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | What kind of liberal are you? |
red sox 777 12/17/21 4:54:28 PM #1 | What kind of liberal are you?
Vote
Some of these categories overlap, so pick the one that best describes you. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/17/21 2:51:58 PM #457 | Lopen posted... Yeah. I don't really think too hard about contract costs-- just means you fork over $0.01 of profit on the contract basically. E-Trade charges $0.50 per. I wish Etrade hadn't been bought out so I could invest in them. This is exactly the attitude I like to see as an investor in a brokerage. That 50 cents per contract is a super profit center for the brokerage. If the customer doesn't mind paying it then I call that value added. Everyone wins! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | How conservative are you? |
red sox 777 12/17/21 1:50:40 PM #1 | What kind of conservative are you?
Vote
Vote away! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/17/21 12:26:09 PM #452 | It's a breakout day for Zoom. At last. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Who was the best president ever? |
red sox 777 12/17/21 2:04:21 AM #1 | Who was the best president ever?
Vote
Vote away! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/15/21 2:04:20 PM #443 | Market likes it. I think expectations were worse than the reality. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 12/13/21 7:56:09 PM #406 | LordoftheMorons posted... https://twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/1470550603378171904 I think our republic is fortunate that President Trump lacked the courage to do what he wanted to do. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Who's your favorite Supreme Court justice? |
red sox 777 12/13/21 7:50:14 PM #6 | ChainLTTP posted... Why is Scalito so low He's not Scalia. I admit I haven't read enough opinions to really speak with too much confidence, but my impression is that his views are too mainstream conservative/neocon for my liking. For example, he dissented in the Westboro Baptist Church case because protesting a soldier's funeral was beyond the pale, while the other 8 upheld the extremely strong free speech right we have. Plus, he hasn't really done much in the development of interesting legal doctrines. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Who's your favorite Supreme Court justice? |
red sox 777 12/13/21 7:38:05 PM #4 | My ranking: Thomas > Barrett > Kavanaugh > Gorsuch > Roberts > Breyer > Kagan > Alito > Sotomayor --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Who's your favorite Supreme Court justice? |
red sox 777 12/13/21 5:51:28 PM #1 | Who's your favorite Supreme Court justice?
Vote
Who's your favorite? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | How much money would you need to retire? |
red sox 777 12/08/21 8:13:54 PM #7 | LordoftheMorons posted... The average yearly return on the S&P 500 is like 7% after inflation. That's $350k per year (albeit before taxes) without even eating into the principle... pretty sure most people can get by with much less than that. Yeah but it's not consistent. I think retirement experts usually say that if you retire at age 65, you can safely spend about 4% of your assets per year that you have at the time of retirement per year and avoid running out. Spending more than that risks a drawdown occurring in the market which becomes crushingly severe due to your also spending too much. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | What should the minimum wage be? |
red sox 777 12/08/21 6:44:49 PM #1 | What should the minimum wage be?
Vote
Vote away! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | How much money would you need to retire? |
red sox 777 12/08/21 6:35:38 PM #1 | How much money would you need to retire?
Vote
Choose the one that's closest. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Should the United States end gerrymandering by adopting permanent districts? |
red sox 777 12/08/21 6:05:17 PM #1 | Should the United States end gerrymandering by adopting permanent districts?
Vote
We would follow the model of the UK prior to 1832 when districts could remain static for centuries even when there were massive population changes. Different districts would eventually have different populations but would always elect one representative each. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 12/08/21 12:27:09 AM #294 | StealThisSheen posted... https://twitter.com/goodblackdude/status/1468284944296275968 Half* the country wanted to lock him in a cage for the next 70 or so years until he died, without any hope of release. And they said so publicly. Completely understandable if he isn't in a huge rush to be friends with them and is friendly with the people who have supported him. *Not literally exactly 50%, obviously. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 12/07/21 3:47:32 PM #260 | ChaosTonyV4 posted... https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/1468299435037937664?s=21 I think that job actually suits Trump well. The House is supposed to be the populist house of Congress. However, if Trump gets elected President in 2024 he should lay down his speakership. I'm actually surprised the framers didn't include a clause in the constitution against one person holding multiple high offices of state, because that is how the Roman Republic collapsed into one-person rule. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/07/21 1:59:31 PM #420 | Nice to see green today. Good to see the big move in BBIG too. I don't think shorts taking profits can be called a squeeze. But if it squeezes you may see double digits yet. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Would you want to live to age 300 if Trump will be president the whole time? |
red sox 777 12/07/21 1:35:53 PM #21 | Also, I think it unlikely that Trump would accept a position as prime minister in a parliamentary system. I don't think he would accept anything lower than a head of state position. Remember when he visited the UK he had little interest in meeting Theresa May but was very excited about seeing the Queen. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Would you want to live to age 300 if Trump will be president the whole time? |
red sox 777 12/07/21 1:31:42 PM #20 | Trump would not automatically follow you if you move, but in 300 years, who knows, he may invade other countries. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Would you want to live to age 300 if Trump will be president the whole time? |
red sox 777 12/06/21 11:00:39 PM #11 | It would work like aging of Numenoreans in Tolkien's work. They age normally until about age 25 or so, and then age very very slowly from then on. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Would you want to live to age 300 if Trump will be president the whole time? |
red sox 777 12/06/21 6:01:00 PM #1 | Would you want to live to age 300 if Trump will be president the whole time?
Vote
Donald Trump discovers the secret of extreme long life. He will share it with the world, including you, under one condition - the constitution will be amended to allow him to be president for life without the need for reelection. Would you accept? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Do you want Trump back as president? |
red sox 777 12/04/21 11:57:12 PM #1 | Do you want Trump back as president?
Vote
Vote away! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/03/21 2:25:51 PM #395 | So today is the first day I have 0DTE ITM calls expiring (in 90 minutes or so). This is kind of exhilirating, not gonna lie. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/03/21 1:52:11 PM #391 | Menji posted... This is the kind of thing I want to do. Can help me understand what this is called so I know what to select? It's also a way to get leverage without actually taking on margin. You can get the upside for the same number of shares with a small fraction of the capital invested. The downside is the risk of the money you put in has a pretty high chance of going to zero. But since it's a much smaller amount of money, the risk in some sense is lower. Unless you do the WSB strategy of deciding that you can buy calls representing vastly vastly more shares than you could possibly afford to exercise. Which you can do if you want the riches or bust risk profile. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Whose fault is it? Runoff - George W. Bush vs. Hillary Clinton |
red sox 777 12/03/21 1:32:11 PM #1 | Whose fault is it?
Vote
Who is most at fault? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Who is the most innocent person? Runoff - Donald Trump vs. O. J. Simpson |
red sox 777 12/03/21 1:30:55 PM #1 | Who is the most innocent person?
Vote
Vote away! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/03/21 1:19:57 PM #386 | Also to be clear 99%+ of the value of my ZM position is in shares not calls and I am really not seeing the case for how this could be worth less than the $130-140/share or so you would get if you gave it a P/E ratio equal to other tech companies with much lower growth rates. So I don't think there is very much downside at this point. Actually, maybe it would be better to reduce the total capital involved and buy more calls. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/03/21 1:14:48 PM #385 | I'm also sort of in your boat Lopen in that it's relatively easy to replace money lost. Actually that hasn't been working in my favor this year - now that I look at it I've lost a pretty substantial amount of money since February while the account value hasn't really moved due to new contributions. Anyways, I'm probably not going to go above 50% based on diversification principles. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/02/21 10:00:59 PM #374 | Up to 42% of portfolio in Zoom. It keeps falling and I keep buying. I feel pretty good about this over like a 3 year span, but it does hurt how it keeps going down every day. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/01/21 7:46:37 PM #361 | Nanis23 posted... About 15% of my money is invested, yes Then you are doing better than probably 95% of investors this past week (basically everyone but short sellers). Rejoice and remember, a dollar saved is worth more than a dollar earned (because you have to pay tax on a dollar earned but not a dollar saved). And only if you feel emotionally okay with it, get ready to buy the crash. If you'll feel sick, then don't. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Who is the most innocent person? |
red sox 777 12/01/21 7:41:03 PM #1 | Who is the most innocent person?
Vote
Who is the most innocent of them all? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Whose fault is it? |
red sox 777 12/01/21 4:51:44 PM #1 | Whose fault is it?
Vote
Well, whose fault is it? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/01/21 3:43:03 PM #347 | Also with the way the market started off so green today and is ending pretty red, I can see a big red day tomorrow. We'll hit the bottom once the panic sellers have sold. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/01/21 3:40:36 PM #346 | So far ZM has been failing miserably as a hedge. Still feel confident about this company long term though. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 12/01/21 2:33:29 PM #68 | LordoftheMorons posted... Theres currently a norm against court packing that is preventing either side from doing it. Such a norm does not exist for gerrymandering, so if one side restrains themselves they just get screwed. For gerrymandering I think most of us agree that it would be preferable if such a norm did exist, so I find it interesting that so many people here are so pro-packing when both sides pack is pretty clearly worse than neither side packs (especially with a huge structural advantage for the GOP in the Senate!) I mean, if you believe in originalism (the words in the Constitution mean what they would have meant to a reasonable person reading them at the time they were written), Roe is pretty obviously not rooted in the Constitution. So if they want to attack it, it's quite easy. But if they think as much about politics as many liberals think they do, well, the timing of this case is really bad. In June they will only be 7 months away from a Senate that ought to be in GOP control for decades based on the inherent advantage of small states there. The only thing endangering the triumph of the conservative vision of the Constitution would be for the Democrats to pack the courts before then. And overturning Roe would dramatically increase the probability of that happening I think. From something very low to something that is still kinda low but feels risky. The smart thing to do politically would be to kick the can down the road for now and then move forward with major precedential decisions after January 2023. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Stock Topic 34 |
red sox 777 12/01/21 2:04:29 PM #337 | Welp. Sometimes investing feels pretty hard. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 12/01/21 1:41:21 PM #61 | Things are fair and the Republicans have just managed to finally undo decades of Democrat gerrymandering and court packing stretching back to FDR. Also, I'm pretty doubtful they actually overturn Roe v. Wade. Think it's more likely they find a way to limit it without actually taking the final step of overturning it. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
Topic | Politics Containment Topic 383: Omicrony Capitalism |
red sox 777 11/30/21 10:43:33 PM #31 | kevwaffles posted... The baseline interpretation was already he's definitely a right-leaning dumb ass who's giving anyone who approaches him with sympathy the time of day. Honestly, this doesn't really change that. I think there's a real chance he loses the case if he goes to trial with his original lawyers. If they were going to focus on politics at trial and paint him as a right wing activist, he could lose. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
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