Lurker > DoctorJimmy133

I gotta say, Vincent looks okay now considering how awful he's looked before. Might he be stronger than Aerith still? This could bode well for Chrono Trigger.

TsunamiXXVIII posted...

DanKirby posted...

I don't know if we can tell for sure if it's like that, or if it's that Dante's picks are correct and Lightning's picks include all not-Dante picks.

I believe this to be the case.

Well, I see that D.Va's picks go up from round 1 to round 2, so that doesn't seem quite right.
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_SecretSquirrel posted...

DoctorJimmy133 posted...

LusterSoldier posted...

DoctorJimmy133 posted...

Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!

No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.

Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? Whats going on?

We don't know for sure, but it looks like the winner picks may or may include whoever they beat in the first round to advance as well.

If that's the case then it's still funny because most people thought the better of C. Toad/Shovel Knight would beat the better of Waluigi/Aerith. Same for D.Va/Aloy vs. Fox/Jill
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LusterSoldier posted...

DoctorJimmy133 posted...

Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!

No, the pick stats for round 2 and beyond aren't accurate here.

Wait I thought it was just the loser picks that were misleading, is it also the winner picks? Whats going on?
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Wow, Toad and D.Va were both favorites to win their fourpacks. Suck it, casuals!
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Im suddenly very afraid of Geralt, votals spiked there

Edit: nvm I read the wrong number, votals just went up a bit
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Wreath posted...

Kirby about to take down Crono in a massive bracket destroying upset

Yes. Please, Kirby, destroy my bracket.
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LinkMarioSamus posted...

No 2 seed in round 3 yet.

Kirby?
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transcience posted...

regardless of who wins, those Bayo picks are too high. Pac would probably embarrass Riku too.

Exactly how bad is that dude supposed to be?
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Man, what am I doing

Luigi vs. Frog - MetalmindStats
Master Chief vs. Miles 'Tails' Prower - Lopen
Tifa Lockheart vs. Mewtwo - DoctorJimmy133
Revolver Ocelot vs. Mega Man X -

Sephiroth vs. Captain Falcon - Janus5k
Amaterasu vs. Lara Croft -
Ryu vs. Commander Shepard - garetha200
KOS-MOS vs. Aqua -
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Rags to riches to rags, I guess.

Well, substitute "riches" for "middle class".
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_SecretSquirrel posted...

Man, who would have thought Gordon Freeman vs. Estelle Bright could have been a round 1 upset?

I have an easier time believing that everyone in Gordon's fourpack except Gordon is just really good. He's is clearly fodder now, but there's no way he'd drop so far down as to lose to an absolute nobody like Estelle Bright, surely?
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aw man I missed it :(
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LeonhartFour posted...

Gordon gets 27.56% on Terra

Damn, that would have been glorious to see.

I bet some people would've taken Gordon to win that.
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Ramza (2013c) VS The Boss (2013c)

Ramza has a strength of 23.40.
The Boss has a strength of 29.49.

The Boss wins with 60.33% of the vote!
A win of 11,143 with 53,960 total votes cast.

-

Ramza has no reason to boost, so unless Squall finishes with a much higher % than Zelda or The Boss is just trash, I really don't see a case for Squall > Zelda.
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Cloyenne posted...

4, 5, and 7 will be perfect after this match. Optimistic about all of them

Dang, nice work! Lots of debatable matches in 5 and 7, though
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I messed something up in R1 of every division except 3, which is still perfect for me. However, Alucard looked a lot better than Kefka in R2, so I'm expecting him to mess up my Kefka > Alucard pick with an outside shot at messing up my Red R4 pick.

Division 8 is looking pretty clear-cut for the rest of its matches and I'm expecting that the cookie picks will be perfect. Too bad I chose Quiet over Aqua >_<
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Safer_777 posted...

Something I just noticed about the previous day's winners. ALL of them had under 50% prediction rate!

About time we started looking at least a little better than the casuals.
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ZenOfThunder posted...

shots fired from allen

(response for my ren/joker ticket)

I guess a better Joker pic might have made the difference. Today's results show that recent Japanese characters with great designs can be midcarders.

At least the picture he got wasn't as blatantly unfair as "Ren Amamiya"
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KamikazePotato posted...

There are 63 updates left.
Ike needs to cut 7.67 votes per update to win.

Down to 7.47 per update votes over 53 updates.
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+11 for Phoenix there. Might this be the first match decided by the registered user bonus?
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lordjers posted...

49%

49.003224% to be exact. So its not a rounding error to say Sora crossed 49% on that update.
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Nanis23 posted...

Ash losing by itself is not the problem, Ash losing because of hax is
Kanto had Charizard not listening, Sinnoh had LOL LEGENDARIES, Unova was probably the worst with losing a 5vs6 Pokemon fight, and Kalos had that horrible Ash-Greninjna losing even with massive type advantage and everything going in Ash favor, inculding even being "The last regular Pokemon League" before we went into the terrible shitfest that is Sun and Moon anime
Losing to Harrison in Johto and Tyson in Hoenn were fine, though (even with the gimmicks of Gen 3 Pokemon and Meowth in boots)

They need to have an arc where Ash wins because of BS. That way it mixes up what weve gone through so many times, but also gives him a reason to go to another League, to prove to himself and everybody that he can win without the benefit of a fluke.
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Man, this could turn out to be a nail biter after all.

This is the poll Im most concerned about today!
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Sora just had a 70% update should I be worried
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Nanis23 posted...

OK, why the fuck is Big Boss so shit? I thought it was Ridley boost thanks to Smash, but for someone that beat Luigi to be such a weakling..what

Big Boss has historically done better with Naked Snake pics as opposed to what he has now
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Make that eight. There's that dreaded Kingdom Hearts night vote.
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That's six cuts in a row for Sora.
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Squall Leonhart vs. Garrus Vakarian -
The Boss vs. Zelda -
D.Va vs. Fox McCloud - Lopen
Captain Toad vs. Aerith Gainsborough -

Geralt vs. Simon Belmont - Janus5k
Pac-Man vs. Bayonetta - DoctorJimmy133
Auron vs. Vincent Valentine -
Sub-Zero vs. Claire Redfield -
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ExThaNemesis posted...

upvotes/downvotes don't matter, all that matters is visibility.

Right you are. The Pokmon rally has been deleted. I'd say it's pretty lacking in visibility right about now.
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ExThaNemesis posted...

Pokemon has a much easier fanbase to access and rally for.

And yet the /r/pokemon rally thread is utterly downvoting and ignoring their rally, while /r/kingdomhearts is giving multiple rally threads over a dozen upvotes.
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Assuming this match gets 30,000 votes, Sora needs to win at least 50.57% of the remaining votes to win.
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WOW that Red update

Okay I can stop watching this match obsessively for a while
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In 2013 against Pikachu, Sora gained a lot of % after the freeze. Looks like we have a match.
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Yeah, Big Boss is just gonna be bad if he never stops getting old man pics.
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Round 1 was a mixed bag for Kingdom Hearts. Now it's time for Sora's real test. To make it to top 12 is his cause.
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GameFAQs would just as much prefer to play Spyro remakes as this mainline Pokemon game, as we saw in a recent PotD.

Compare Sun and Moon, which came close to FFXV in the monthly hype poll.
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WrestIeMania posted...

Bayonetta has a 0% chance. So that one

So Lucina Riku?
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Squall Leonhart over Garrus Vakarian with 67.22%
Zelda over The Boss with 64.58 %
Fox McCloud over D.Va with 68.92%
Aerith Gainsborough over Captain Toad with 61.84%

Simon Belmont over Geralt with 55.87%
Bayonetta over Pac-Man with 60.01%
Auron over Vincent Valentine with 57.41%
Sub-Zero over Claire Redfield with 64.64%
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Oh my god Yoshi

This is a 2017 Tales character

Why are you struggling to put 70% on her
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Ooh, I decided the crew split! How riveting.
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All right Donkey Kong vs. Ganondorf who ya got
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UItimaterializer posted...

DoctorJimmy133 posted...

The more this contest goes on, the more it looks like Square is just stagnant while Nintendo has boosted and other properties have dropped.

Its very possible Nintendo is stagnant while everyone else just dropped due to these low vote totals.

Well, that's a pessimistic way of looking at it.

If we measure contest strength as popularity relative to others in the field, it's impossible for anyone to drop without others boosting. Yay!
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The more this contest goes on, the more it looks like Square is just stagnant while Nintendo has boosted and other properties have dropped.
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Master Moltar posted...

Vivi beats another firstname lastname.

Will the trend continue through Ganondorf Dragmire?!
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lol me for announcing I was 97% confident Shepard would win in my writeup even though no one asked for that information
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Dante with 60.77%
Ganondorf with 62.51%
Vivi with 74.10%
Leon Kennedy with 54.57%

Zero with 62.99%
Wario with 58.49%
Yoshi with 75.11%
Pikachu with 61.73%

Pokemon Trainer Red with 54.81%
Big Boss with 59.17%
Alucard with 53.98%
Kefka with 65.66%

Ness with 61.94%
Bowser with 58.61%
Phoenix Wright with 53.22%
Kirby with 77.81%
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He may not have lost that much natural strength, but he lost every ounce of his unnatural strength!
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Nanis23 posted...

It's funny, but when we discussed who is going to be the weakest character this contest, we thought about Cayde-6, some thought about Neptune, some about Chloe

Yet no one dared to say Draven

Yeah it's pretty much the greatest drop possible

Vincent is just glad he's not going to be the biggest has-been in the bracket.
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