Lurker > Eddv

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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/05/18 2:35:59 PM
#273
This has been a stunning display of Corrik trying desperately to proves he's Just That Dumb vs Always Trolling.

It brings a tear to your eye to see such a competitor in action.
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TopicThe Metal Man rally was fun, thank you everybody.
Eddv
11/05/18 1:37:02 PM
#17
Yeah that was a pledge
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/05/18 5:29:52 AM
#217
Ive decided Im done checking in on the polls.

At this point the ranges have been established and all thats really left is for people to vote
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 85 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/04/18 9:37:20 PM
#188
Mesh
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/04/18 9:30:17 PM
#210
LinkMarioSamus posted...
To play devil's advocate on the whole deal about fearmongering in regards to women, even *I* am kind of sick of some Hollywood actresses' attitudes towards feminist issues.

Like, we have Meryl Streep, Cate Blanchett, and Brie Larson all talking about how the prevalence of white men in the field of film criticism hurts female-led movies. I understand their point but then blame audiences for being stupid and not fully reading reviews. And plenty of female-led films have been successful in spite of bad reviews.

For that matter, I don't understand why so many people seriously attribute Ghostbusters 2016 and Wonder Woman getting good reviews to critics not wanting to pan female-led films. Then what the holy hell happened to Ghost in the Shell, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, Tomb Raider, and a number of crappy female-led comedies? Note that I do not like what I've seen of Ghostbusters 2016 so I'm not biased in its favour.

Then on Instagram Laura Dern was stressing the need for women to enter the movie industry to stem the tide of sexual harassment scandals. Again, I get the point and I do think that the industry being predominantly male is part of the problem there, but you shouldn't force women to come in just so the women already there can feel "safer". Never mind we know full well women are very much capable of inflicting sexual violence on men.

With stuff like this I can't fault people for feeling negatively about feminism. I still find it sick that that backlash is pretty much running the show though.


Let me be as clear about this as possible - literally no one wants to discuss any of this.
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 85 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/04/18 8:37:08 PM
#146
@tennisboy213
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 85 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/04/18 8:36:54 PM
#142
Kefka
(Get Edea)
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 85 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/04/18 8:17:36 PM
#134
Trading for Edea Lee
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 85 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/04/18 7:36:39 PM
#79
Edea Lee
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 85 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/04/18 6:36:27 PM
#6
Cidp
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TopicCollege Football Stats and Discussion
Eddv
11/04/18 2:32:18 PM
#55
I am sort of bullish on Washington State - I think they could potentially crack this top 4 if they manage to beat who they need to beat. They need some help for sure but...
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/04/18 12:10:25 PM
#201
LapisLazuli posted...
I am going to for the first time ever agree with Corrik. The phrase is very casually used all over the place and is not malicious, while at the same time has obvious implications when thought about and shouldn't be used anymore. One of those things where it's so commonly used by people that it would never even cross their mind it was racist until someone pointed it out.


Much like the song Jimmy Crack Corn.

For those unfamiliar the song has its origins in blackface minstrelry and is largely about a slave helping their owner get killed riding a horse.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/04/18 12:08:09 PM
#200
Suprak the Stud posted...

Senate still looks bad for Dems though. Very pessimistic on that


Would also just like to point out that Entens current projection of 52GOP majority in the Senate would have been considered wildly optimistic in 2016.

It May not be a proper majority but that would represent holding serve in an incredible way.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/04/18 11:09:27 AM
#195
Crossfiyah posted...
Frankly they aren't as important.

The mayor of New York City is more important than literally anyone involved in anything in Wyoming on any level.

Probably more important than anyone that's ever even been to Wyoming.


1.Dick Cheney was arguably pretty fucking important
2. Jackson Hole is a pretty bog standard rich guy retreat which includes bunch of national politicians.
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TopicPoll: Who is the biggest "star" of Round 1?
Eddv
11/03/18 1:09:03 PM
#19
I would be unsurprised if Bowser still loses to Charizard.
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TopicPoll: Who is the biggest "turd" of Round 1?
Eddv
11/03/18 12:52:42 PM
#17
Shepard
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TopicThe Metal Man rally was fun, thank you everybody.
Eddv
11/03/18 12:50:55 PM
#8
N E X T sounds like a rally for M E
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 460: Crowned Fools
Eddv
11/03/18 8:29:00 AM
#210
I lost a lot of respect for HBK for doing this honestly.

I respected that he was actually able to go away and stay away and all that time he teased like "maybe... For the right match" and the right mathc ends up just being DX vs Brothers of Destruction? Go fuck yourself Shawn
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/03/18 12:49:11 AM
#129
Suprak the Stud posted...
LordoftheMorons posted...
Maybe there actually was a Taylor Swift turnout boost...!

https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status/1058532803263062019


Wow most of those numbers are fantastic.

But, uh.

That's slightly concerning for FL.


Gotta remember that the Tallahassee area and the Panhandle are still reeling from a major disaster and that turnout is expected to be depressed overall in Florida as a result (and in a mostly Republican area to boot so naturally Scott is seeing about undoingncertain antibdemocratic moves there)
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 460: Crowned Fools
Eddv
11/02/18 5:14:05 PM
#196
I think a funny way to handle Shane would be to have Miz claim that since it was "his" spot that Shane winning entitles HIM to a shot at AJ and maybe he fights shane over it for a month
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 84 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
11/02/18 4:46:28 PM
#296
Year of XIII indeed
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 84 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
11/02/18 4:07:17 PM
#236
Gilgamesh
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 84 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
11/02/18 3:05:41 PM
#174
Ramza
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 84 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
11/02/18 3:03:15 PM
#168
Mewtwo59 posted...
Eddv posted...
Trading for Edea


For Ramza


You got it dude
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 84 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
11/02/18 2:58:14 PM
#161
Trading for Edea
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 460: Crowned Fools
Eddv
11/02/18 2:56:40 PM
#142
scarletspeed7 posted...
Shane now has the most reason to challenge AJ for the title on the roster.


Hahahajaha

Jesus chrisr

They just put over.....

A NON WRESTLER

AS THE BEST IN THE WORLD
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 460: Crowned Fools
Eddv
11/02/18 2:54:22 PM
#135
STElNER posted...
they don't talk about tournaments on a house show for a month on tv stating that it's to determine the best in the world though


Well yes WWE is literally dumb as fuck for this.
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 460: Crowned Fools
Eddv
11/02/18 2:51:47 PM
#123
Its less bad if you treat it like the House Show it is.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/02/18 2:49:58 PM
#93
Peace___Frog posted...
https://twitter.com/Fahrenthold/status/1058421830837563392

BREAKING: Federal judge denies @realDonaldTrump's attempt to stop discovery process in "Emoluments Clause" lawsuit by DC/MD A.G.'s. Will allow AGs to get documents showing foreign-government customers at Trump Hotel D.C.
Story coming soon...


This seems like a really big deal.


It will be a bigger deal if the house changes hands but yes
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 84 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
11/02/18 2:05:32 PM
#94
Edea
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 84 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
11/02/18 1:05:14 PM
#3
Cidp
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/02/18 12:10:25 PM
#85
Suprak the Stud posted...
Eddv posted...
I think 50-53 GOP seats represents the expected range.

Democrats would need some unbelievable luck to actually take the Senate and GOP would need same to hit 55


You're actually right if you go according to 538. 16.8% chance for 51 and 6.6% for 55 (using polls only).

I don't think republicans holding AZ and NV and winning FL, IN, MO, and ND sounds all that crazy though. RCP had it at +4 republicans just last week, and while they use a different model than 538 I don't think their predictions are entirely off base.


I actually use Entens projector.

He Believes we're going to have a net change of GOP+1 Basically that the dems will lose TWO of NV FL IN AZ MO but isnt willing to say which and like I buy that I just think Dems will lose just one anyway.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/02/18 9:24:02 AM
#76
Suprak the Stud posted...
Corrik posted...
Suprak the Stud posted...
Corrik posted...
red sox 777 posted...
Prelimiary predix:

R 220 D 215
R 55 D 43 I 2

What. Lol.

53 R 47 D
D 221 R 214

That is what I see shaking out.


I really dont think his prediction is that unreasonable. Thats holding what they have plus ND MO IN FL. Thats entirely doable as all those races are close.

And somewhere in the range of 220 to 230 sounds entirely reasonable in the house. 215 only requires a handful of races to have bad polling, which is entirely possible with how little most races have been polled.

I think your guess is more reasonable but his isnt crazy.

I think 55 is absolutely crazy for the Senate.


55 is about as realistic as 51, honestly. Totally in the realm of possibility and it just requires one side to get a clean sweep on all the close races. Polling doesnt even have to be off one standard deviation for that to occur either way in those races.


Yeah I am basically just giving every race to the incumbent.

AZ I see as a pure toss up just because the higher quality polls all have Sinema up while all the lower quality ones have McSally and its otherwise just reading tea leaves in that race
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/02/18 9:21:47 AM
#75
I think 50-53 GOP seats represents the expected range.

Democrats would need some unbelievable luck to actually take the Senate and GOP would need same to hit 55
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/02/18 8:36:17 AM
#71
Oh I guess I will lock in my picks

Senate is a push GOP flips ND, Dems flip AZ

This has Donnely, Tester, Manchin, Nelson, McCaskill all winning tight races which feels right to me.

House: Dems +40 (as in net gain of) but this is a shot in the dark because of scarcity of polling data and the size of the Democratic Tail possible given how many races are in play
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/02/18 7:24:55 AM
#66
Beto has in the last week moved to within a standard polling error of victory. Indicators that young voting is up is probably the most disconcerting part as I noted before - they simply dont have a very large 18-25 crosstab on their likely voter polling base and for good reason that group tends to not vote very heavily especially not in midterms.

It would still be a hell of a surprise if he won but he's just on the edge of possible and thats why veritas is doing this
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/02/18 6:53:50 AM
#59
xp1337 posted...
IIRC, by law the military can't assist with the enforcement of immigration laws anyway. They can provide logistical support and advice but that's about it.

The whole thing is well... I was going to say farce, but I think some of the comments made make that sound too flippant.


Well given the level of respect the Trump Admin has shown for existing Federal Law it's all abit of an unknown.

What I want to know is what people who support the move THINK is happening. Like do they WANT the wanton slaughter of unarmed refugees?
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
Eddv
11/01/18 10:27:25 PM
#51
Jakyl25 posted...
Suprak the Stud posted...

That switches my percentages some. I'd say Tester by 1 and McSally by 1. I might actually swap both of those by Election Day. In particular, I think the Montana libertarian dropping out of the race is really big.


I dont think libertarian voters just do what theyre told though. I bet most just stay home


Also worth noting that he is still going to be on the ballot
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 83 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/01/18 4:54:16 PM
#85
Edea
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 83 [smfffc]
Eddv
11/01/18 3:53:51 PM
#6
Cidp
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TopicMetal Maniacs...sharpen your blades.
Eddv
11/01/18 8:43:42 AM
#9
I love you I hate now who will have my love
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TopicDating a girl with a kid
Eddv
11/01/18 6:27:57 AM
#28
Panthera posted...
Thoughts after reading the topic title: Can be tricky, but it's workable

Thoughts after reading the opening post: NOPENOPENOPENOPE

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TopicGeneral thoughts on dating a 40 year old with a 21 year old son.
Eddv
11/01/18 6:13:22 AM
#18
Raka_Putra posted...
This sounds like it might lead to interesting consequences, so you should date her.


If for literally no other reason than that this sounds interesting you should definitely do this.
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TopicMetal Maniacs...sharpen your blades.
Eddv
11/01/18 6:11:49 AM
#4
I am Metal Man.....no I'm not a Dentist

RAP
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 202: More Like Cesar Say-owned
Eddv
10/31/18 4:42:37 PM
#418
LordoftheMorons posted...
He also didn't totally dismiss Trump's unconstitutional "end birthright citizenship" plan

I still want him to win, but ughhhhhh


Still better than any Indiana Republican.
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
10/31/18 2:41:20 PM
#244
Fang
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
10/31/18 1:41:06 PM
#178
Mesh
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
10/31/18 1:10:35 PM
#141
Yeah okay
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
10/31/18 1:05:39 PM
#137
Trading for Gilgamesh
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XX: Day 82 (RULE CHANGE) [smfffc]
Eddv
10/31/18 12:40:21 PM
#86
Edea
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