Lurker > ReiRei89

AceMos posted...

to the people who are refusing to vote kamala

are you prepared to fight a trump presidency and no i do not mean protest

imean actually take up arms against the government

are you going to put your life on the line to protect the millions in america who will die when he starts his mass deportation

Nah some actually want Trump to win because they're chuds. Others want him to win because they're accelerationist fucks who think a progressive messiah will arise from the ashes of America.
Regardless they're not going to do any fighting. In fact they're going to be surprised AF when the cult goes after them and strips their rights away.

I figured 8/10 at worst. Nothing about this game seems as bad as DA2 (which I also wound up enjoying).

darkace77450 posted...

The low-IQ attacks on Harris from people supporting Donald fucking Trump of all people makes me feel like I'm in a glitchy discount Matrix simulation.

The low IQ attacks are racist AF.

Majority of Americans are fucking idiots and that is exactly what the GOP wants.

HeeathLivesOn posted...

One candidate is Hitler incarnate and the other isn't. Maybe some people don't want to elect Hitler? Both-sides-ism has never looked so bad

Bothsidesism gives us Hitler and most fools trying to play the both sides card want Hitler.

ABC is one of the most accurate pollsters so hopefully this shuts the doomers up.

havean776 posted...

Not as much since Republicans started stripping away their rights, and are planning to again.

Younger white women are also voting Dem a lot more. So people dismissing this are pretty foolish.

Between Trump and Kamala you want to be Kamala right now. Women turn out, incels don't.

Good movie. A big shame that the sequel series was bad.

LonelyStoner posted...

Which movies was WolfMan in?

The Wolf Man
Frankenstein Meets the Wolf Man
House of Frankenstein
House of Dracula
Abbot and Costello Meet Frankenstein

LonelyStoner posted...

I had so much faith and hope in Bernie. Then he rolled over for Hillary

He had no chance of winning in 2016 or 2020.

Kamala's speech was fantastic. Probably the best she's made so far.

littlebro07 posted...

More medical emergencies where he has to pause and play Ave Maria

Why are all these people having medical emergencies at his rallies lately

Because chuds are incredibly unhealthy both physically and mentally.

Takuya_Lee posted...

I'm guessing it'll have the opposite effect and I'll laugh hard when it does

It has the entire 538 poll discussion subreddit spiraling into despair and claiming it's over and there's nothing anyone can do.

wackyteen posted...

Fast mathed it but she's at ~$1.931B

She'll hit over $2B by like Tuesday.

But her funding is totally drying up according to the intellectuals here.

This is like the KFC double down but worse.

[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

Jason is a zombie from Jason Lives on. In The Final Chapter Jason is killed by Corey Feldman, In A New Beginning the killer isn't Jason but a copycat killer, then in Jason Lives Jason comes back as a rotting corpse.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRCSLhYz9CA

That scene shows off his face and it's freaking fantastic. Also that movie is pretty much Jason vs Carrie so it's my favorite in the series despite how stupid the premise is.

DnDer posted...

No account anymore. Can you unroll the thread or screenshot the explanations?

Humble posted similar things on it. And I TLDR'd it for Hyena.

Hyena_Of_Ice posted...

It'll be funny if it turns out to be a Russian operation for Jill Stein.

Nah it's most likely Scott Pressler. He was trying to get the Amish registered in PA and the timeline lines up as do the numbers. There's also the fact that Pressler is a fucking moron and the GOP loves cheating.

Takuya_Lee posted...

No she isn't. Sit down and stop embarrassing yourself.

But you see Diceheist has that wonderful poll conducted by Trump's personal pollster as evidence that Kamala is doomed!

Zombie Jason by far. I watched New Blood last night and the finale where Jason loses his mask and you can see his fucked up zombie face is awesome.

Michael is intimidating but Jason is far scarier.

Doe posted...

I'm kinda confused, so they think the voter registration was filled out by someone else? How many people were registered fraudulently? Is the idea then that someone will mail in a vote for the person who themself never registered?

At least 60% of the registrations were fraudulent.

The CEO of Wash Post is a Murdoch lacky, also Bezos owns the company so this was unfortunately to be expected.

K181 posted...

Looks a bit too generic for a supposedly main character, imho. Don't hate it, though.

Legit looks like adult Bobby to me.

Oh and a Republican operative was just found to have committed major voter fraud in PA and it's looking like it's the dipshit who was working on getting the Amish to show up for Trump.

https://x.com/blockedfreq/status/1849848787583246748?t=gDHV8xf9nstjthuBx4pvJQ&s=19

That thread explains it a bit. 60% of the registrations were fraudulent so if that is indeed the case then Pressler is fucked and LOL at anyone thinking the Amish were going to carry Trump.

DnDer posted...

Is that normal/good statistics and polling practice, especially when it generates results like this?

Before 2022 it wasn't really an issue because in theory when a high quality poll gets too old and needs to be removed from their model said pollster will have a newer poll out. Unfortunately due to low response rates and the ballooning cost of running polls high quality pollsters cannot release their polls as quickly as lower quality pollsters who crap out polls every other day.

Those high quality pollsters have their reputations and jobs on the line and thus can't release polls with crappy methodology while the lower quality pollsters are being funded by the GOP and GOP aligned groups to release said crappy polls.

LightSnake posted...

Isn't it strange how Kamala pulls ahead in PA whenever we get a poll from, like. Marist, NYT/Sienna or other accredited pollsters? And then we get a glut of shitty right wing polls that immediately push Trump ahead that they completed in like a week?

PA is gonna vote to the left of Wisconsin, mark my words.

Today we have fools dooming over the final NYT national poll having Kamala and Trump tied. While ignoring that the poll shows a lot of undecideds and said undecideds favoring Harris over Trump.

So we're going to have more fools dooming over polls they don't bother reading into because it's easier to panic and cry than it is to spend five minutes to do the bare absolute minimum to see why a poll the way it is.

Turns out the GOP is cannibalizing their election day vote in NV. Tom Bonier has a good thread explaining it. He's one of the guys who tracks voter registration and NV Republicans are not turning out brand new voters.

https://x.com/tbonier/status/1849631021370667456?s=46

Well, in NV, the answer is no. Only 2.4% of early voting GOPs are first time voters. Compare that to 8.5% at this point in 2020.

ellis123 posted...

Nah, not even they bother with the polls anymore. It's just so obviously bull that not even Dice can bleat about how it's all Joever for any real length of time.

Dice still tries and stirs the pot like his latest thread where he posted an article that uses a poll done by Trump's personal pollster as an excuse to doom about Harris.

UnholyMudcrab posted...

RCP uses some kind of arbitrary selection process for what goes into their aggregate, and wouldn't you know, it tends to exclude polls that are favorable to Harris.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/c/cde26920.png

But watch them include this one, which was sponsored by a right-wing hack and claims to have polled nearly 2,500 likely voters in Pennsylvania today. For those unfamiliar with how polling works, it doesn't fucking work that way.

Yeah, it's legit impossible to contact 2.5k people in a single day for a poll considering the abysmal response times. Legitimate pollsters have said something like they get a single response out of every 20,000 calls they make. Hence legitimate polls don't release as often.

darkace77450 posted...

Speaking of Pennsylvania, Politico is painting a bad picture. Hopefully it's just clickbait.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/kamala-harris-pennsylvania-campaign-drama-00183844

1. Politico has been complaining about Harris for months now
2. Guess you didn't read the article all the way through.

I feel like were going to win here, but were going to win it in spite of the Harris state campaign, said a Democratic elected official in the state, who, like others for this story, was granted anonymity to speak freely about a sensitive matter. Pennsylvania is such a mess, and its incredibly frustrating.

So let's say it is true, they're still saying they're most likely going to win PA despite the supposed drama. So once again dooming over bullshit.

TC is crying without doing any research as to why 538 flipped. Look at the last couple polls taken. That answers your question as to why. Stop dooming and educate yourself on pollsters. Also 538 removes old polls every couple weeks. What happened is that high quality polls showing Harris up were removed from the model so the trash polls now skew the model even more.

Also two PA Bellwether polls came out today showing that Harris is still the vast favorite. Those bellwether counties almost always flip the way the State flips.

But once again I'll stress that doomers, such as TC, need to chill out and do some actual reading on polls as well as pollsters before freaking the fuck out over bullshit.

Gotta love Diceheist trying to deflect away from the fact that Trump's personal pollster was involved with the WSJ poll. It doesn't matter who else was involved, WSJ knew exactly what they were doing when they asked Trump's personal pollster to help conduct a poll for them. And of course said poll doesn't match polls conducted by legitimate pollsters.

Xenogears15 posted...

I'm not dooming here, but I just came to say that nat polls are almost pointless. Battleground state polls are all that matter.

Again look up the Marist polls. There's no reason to be concerned.

Also Uni of Michigan (another top rated pollster) released a MI poll today and Kamala has a very healthy lead in it.

And district level polling, which recall were the early warning signs in 2016 that Hillary was in trouble, are showing Dems and Harris winning in Nov.

Pitbuller_26 posted...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/9/9498ab35.jpg

Yup. So again, Diceheist is trying to stir the pot and low information doomers are crying and panicking over bullshit.

B-but the doomers swore Kamala's funding dried up!!!!!

FYI Diceheist left out the fact that the WSJ poll was conducted by Trump's internal pollster.

Also, once again ya'll are dooming over nothing.

Marist (A+ pollster) released a nat poll showing zero change at Harris +3. Dooming over a poll conducted by Trump's team and another outlier poll makes you doomers hard to take seriously.

Rather than crying and panicking take five minutes to actually do some research.

Zero_Destroyer posted...

https://x.com/RalstonReports/status/1849431497394344123

GOP's lead remains, but things will depends on how Indies break.

You do realize that the GOP here is blowing their election day load early, right?

AndyReklaw posted...

Isn't early voting always predominately Democrat?

Also, while it's cool seeing Dems currently leading in NC, it's a bit sobering to see how red my county is already...

Depends on the State. AZ for instance early voting is GOP dominated. 2020 also changed things for a lot of States.

Regardless, Trump and rest of the GOP has been pushing hard for GOP voters to show up and vote early especially in States like PA.

"Here's how this is bad news for Harris"

Vegy posted...

Apparently dere is a video?

The video isn't from this. The video is of Trump allegedly groping a donor's underaged daughter at a fundraiser.

Our resident deplorables will ignore this.

LightSnake posted...

Ralston's latest is "Dems cut into GOP lead a bit!"

People are just flipping for no reason

And it does look like GOP voters are voting early this year so they most likely are blowing their load early. Election day will come down to who has the superior ground game.

lilORANG posted...

Ralston has updated! Dems are still screwed.

Oh well

Again. Unaffiliated voters massively skew Dem. Ralston is only looking at the Dem vote. Also the Culinary Union hasn't sent their votes out. They are the Dems strongest support in Clark and they have specifically said they're voting later.

Dark_Arbron posted...

Ah, so my suspicion it was Hyena_20 was on the money?

Yep. Same person.

Dems are turning out big in NE of all places which actually bodes well for WI considering similar demographics.

Also this helps the NE Independent Senate candidate. The Senate race there is very competitive and high turnout could push him over.

mistymermaid posted...

A particularly confused faction of Republicans seems to like Bernie, believe it or not.

It was a grift on Tulsi's part. She's an opportunist and saw an opportunity to grift. Hence why she's now cozying up to Trump.

She's always been a Republican. She was only a registered Democrat because in Hawaii the GOP is pretty much extinct. Her voting record in the House was one of the most conservative for Dems.

The only reason she duped fools into believing she was progressive was because she endorsed Bernie. Which wasn't because she saw eye to eye with Bernie rather she recognized a grift and attempted to take advantage of it.

HashtagSEP posted...

It's kinda weird that it always seems like the same handful of doomers go in and start high fiving each other whenever there's anything they can even perceive as bad news, as if they think being right for dooming is more important than anything else.

Then when pointed out how their dooming is bullshit they either double down on or they flee and find something else stupid to doom over.

A number of Arab Americans are super conservative so them voting for Trump isn't surprising.

Also gotta love how the doomers here first tried dooming in a bullshit thread that falsely claimed Harris' fundraising has dried up. Then when that was proven to be BS ya'll moved to the NV thread where people also correctly called out you guys crying over nothing, and now you're whining about this.

DrizztLink posted...

You're legitimately useless.

It's Hyena, her brain is fried because of her obsession with hanging around hardcore Republican forums.