I remember predictions from a decade ago saying that WW3 would start over Syria. Kinda surprised that hasn't happened yet.
Its not like wed just skip to ww4Well, there is Peter Griffins theory that WW5 will be so epic it skips 3 and 4.
I remember predictions from a decade ago saying that WW3 would start over Syria. Kinda surprised that hasn't happened yet.
I think WW3 is less likely than it has been for years.This.
The Middle East conflicts are contained. The current Israel/Gaza+ conflict is sadly not of interest to anybody with any kind of power. Consider that the Syrian Civil War is ongoing for 10+ years, and killed more people than the ENTIRE Arab-Israeli conflict, and nobody seems to care that much. Yemen is ignored, except when they lash out. Pan-Arabism died a long time ago.
The ongoing wars in Africa (e.g., Burkina Faso) are ignored, as usual.
Russia/Ukraine will eventually end with Putin (having exhausted the Russian military) declaring victory with whatever the current borders happen to be. Ukraine will then join NATO (with a ton of aid flowing in to rebuild), ensuring future border stability.
I think the biggest threat is climate-driven instability and resource scarcity.
So it seems like the general consensus is that a third world war isnt likely, but if it were to happen do you think when people look back at it in the future there would be a single event to point to that was the clear starting point or would it be a series of broader regional events that become intermingled?Nothing as of yet to have happen.
I just think it's an interesting topic because when you look back at the world wars they both have a clear starting pointI mean, they have a clear starting point in the sense that powers or its ally were directly attacking other great powers or allies with said powers declaring war on each other as a result. Those wars didn't start out of a vacuum though. Some past history of skirmishes or violence or oppression or grievances was at play. Said starting point was just the final straw that made several powers to declare war on multiple great powers being pulled in.
I mean, they have a clear starting point in the sense that powers or its ally were directly attacking other great powers or allies with said powers declaring war on each other as a result. Those wars didn't start out of a vacuum though. Some past history of skirmishes or violence or oppression or grievances was at play. Said starting point was just the final straw that made several powers to declare war on multiple great powers being pulled in.
Yeah, that's kind of what I was getting at with my last question, there were decades of tension leading up to both world wars but there are exact events in history that people point to (assassination of Franz Ferdinand and invasion of Poland) as the point of no return with both world wars and I wondered if that would also be the case in a WW3 scenario.