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TopicElection Day General 3: The Waiting Game
kawalimus
11/05/20 1:27:44 PM
#366
NV is Biden's. Up by 11k and remaining votes will favor him.
TopicRoughly 20 minutes left till Nevada posts results
kawalimus
11/05/20 12:45:03 PM
#84
Cthulhu_Fhtagn posted...
People need to stop acting like PA is a Biden win. I guess it could end up being on but right now it's not close

Based on the number of votes remaining, and that they are consistently above the ratio biden needs, yes it is a likely Biden win.
TopicRoughly 20 minutes left till Nevada posts results
kawalimus
11/05/20 12:41:51 PM
#81
BudDupree48 posted...
Its turning red baby

If NV and GA numbers continue it won't matter if it does. Not to mention PA which is a very likely Biden win.
TopicHere's how trump can still win
kawalimus
11/05/20 12:33:47 PM
#3
FrozenPie posted...
Step one: acquire a time machine

Don't be a giant baby about covid and mail-in voting.

Step 3 win in a landslide
TopicRoughly 20 minutes left till Nevada posts results
kawalimus
11/05/20 12:29:18 PM
#76
Rikiaz posted...
Huh? Biden is up 2.4%, 60k votes. Isnt that more than yesterday?

Yesterday was like 93k i believe. But it was down to like 50k then went back.

Trumps window rapidly closing.
TopicRoughly 20 minutes left till Nevada posts results
kawalimus
11/05/20 12:26:55 PM
#73
NV numbers looking good for Biden. GA too. Those two states end it regardless of PA and AZ. Though NV apparenty will take even longer. Agh!
TopicWait... there are people who think Trump can still win this?
kawalimus
11/05/20 11:32:03 AM
#17
Going to come down to PA after all it looks like. Biden might not hold AZ or NV.

Biden still very likely to win PA
TopicSo uhhhh...are we worried about Arizona?
kawalimus
11/05/20 7:35:08 AM
#19
ok cool. I knew it was a win with AZ just wasn't sure without. Not that i think AZ is a loss.
TopicSo uhhhh...are we worried about Arizona?
kawalimus
11/05/20 7:22:04 AM
#12
Cthulhu_Fhtagn posted...
Why are people so confident in us winning PA? Trump is still ahead over there and they're trying to cheat through the supreme court.

Trump is ahead by like 165k or something, there's still like 800k to go and Biden is winning these votes like 80-20.
TopicSo uhhhh...are we worried about Arizona?
kawalimus
11/05/20 7:21:30 AM
#10
Veggeta X posted...
Fox news read AZ as closed and counted. Where are you guys seeing the AZ is still a battleground state?

There was an error where there were more votes left to count than initially thought, so that error is why the call got made. But Fox and some others think it's still too much to overcome. But apparently these mail-in or absentee votes or whatever are a bit more republican than they are elsewhere.
TopicSo uhhhh...are we worried about Arizona?
kawalimus
11/05/20 7:20:17 AM
#7
AZ probably won't make a difference unless Biden loses both GA and NV also. PA is going to be a solid Biden win. Not sure off my head if PA nullifies all three or not.
TopicIt's looking to me like Biden isn't going to win Pennsylvania.
kawalimus
11/04/20 8:08:21 PM
#31
SandTarpit posted...
Conflicting stuff from where?

Just hearsay tbh. Not really following GA too closely.
TopicIt's looking to me like Biden isn't going to win Pennsylvania.
kawalimus
11/04/20 8:06:30 PM
#29
SandTarpit posted...
Georgia has 200,000 votes still incoming from Atlanta area.

Biden is down by 58,000 votes.

....

I've heard lots of weird conflicting stuff about this one. But would be nice if that came through too.
TopicIt's looking to me like Biden isn't going to win Pennsylvania.
kawalimus
11/04/20 8:04:44 PM
#27
BeyondWalls posted...
Current gap = 204,814

Didn't someone here say they were going to be done at 9PM?

That's Arizona. PA probably not done by friday but good chance we'll know tomorrow.

Assuming AZ holds and NV holds tomorrow for Biden, the PA result won't even matter.
TopicIt's looking to me like Biden isn't going to win Pennsylvania.
kawalimus
11/04/20 8:00:51 PM
#25
PA is so much of a lock that Biden is legit getting his victory speech ready and has the Biden-Harris transition page up. They have lawyers in the counting rooms or whatever. As soon as Biden pulls ahead there it's goodnight.
TopicIt's looking to me like Biden isn't going to win Pennsylvania.
kawalimus
11/04/20 7:59:39 PM
#23
ImAMarvel posted...
What about Georgia?

Trump probably hangs on in GA. But doesn't matter.
TopicIt's looking to me like Biden isn't going to win Pennsylvania.
kawalimus
11/04/20 7:54:42 PM
#18
Biden is going to win PA by a solid margin.
TopicTrumps lead in PA down to 250k votes. was 600k this morning
kawalimus
11/04/20 6:56:27 PM
#13
CrimsonRage posted...
isn't az already called?

There are more remaining votes than originally thought due to an error, although I've read a lot of places still think it's pretty much locked. Not everyone has called AZ yet.
TopicTrumps lead in PA down to 250k votes. was 600k this morning
kawalimus
11/04/20 6:52:17 PM
#11
GA probably going to stay Trump. Just need NV and AZ to hold and it's over.
TopicDid Biden win Arizona or not?
kawalimus
11/04/20 6:43:39 PM
#14
ChopinList posted...
Yes it would. A lot of places delcared AZ for Biden. If it goes to Trump he might say the same to PA and other states. That fake news (his words) called election for Biden too early.

Ok, but there was an actual error in AZ, not something Trump just claimed. Also, the margin in PA is not going to be that close in the end.
TopicDid Biden win Arizona or not?
kawalimus
11/04/20 6:37:14 PM
#6
Unclear yet. It's not going to matter though, because Biden is going to win PA. But there's a decent enough chance Trump did actually win AZ.
Topichow sure sure are we that Nevada is going blue?
kawalimus
11/04/20 5:49:17 PM
#19
I think AZ is more likely to go to Trump at this point than NV. And that's still not too likely.
TopicSo from what im reading it basically comes down to Pennsylvania?
kawalimus
11/04/20 5:34:25 PM
#25
Still good to have in case AZ goes south. Trump expected to make up some ground, but not enough.
TopicSo from what im reading it basically comes down to Pennsylvania?
kawalimus
11/04/20 5:31:15 PM
#23
It would be kind of nuts if Biden lost PA and won the election. NOBODY would have seen that coming. But I think he will win all of PA, AZ and NV and maybe also GA.
TopicIt's literally over famalam
kawalimus
11/04/20 5:00:22 PM
#23
ledbowman posted...
i read theres more votes than voters in michigan

This is said about every single close contest in every single election and I've never seen it actually be true.
TopicImagine a 270-268 Biden electoral win scenario
kawalimus
11/04/20 4:58:16 PM
#27
It's looking likely that Biden will get around 300.
TopicCan Biden get Georgia
kawalimus
11/04/20 3:55:17 PM
#9
Yes it's been a tossup and maybe very slightly leaning D for a while.
Topicce 16 hours ago: OH FUCK NO TRUMP HAS WON
kawalimus
11/04/20 2:39:37 PM
#4
I mean the numbers looked really bad
TopicCan Biden actually get Pennsylvania?
kawalimus
11/04/20 9:46:58 AM
#6
At the margin the absentee votes are in favor of biden yes he'll probably take it. But even if he doesn't its unlikely to matter. What a weird result this is turning out to be
TopicBruh, how are you even trying to convince me that Biden is still gonna win
kawalimus
11/04/20 8:49:13 AM
#4
Biden is going to win MI and PA and has already won WI. He is going to win.
TopicEven if Biden wins the country still loses.
kawalimus
11/04/20 8:46:21 AM
#21
Yeah it's bad because they will spin their narrow win as some sort of great triumph while republicans will just run another Trump-like candidate in 2024 and obliterate. Not to mention crushing in the midterms in 2022.
TopicWho do you think the GOP will put up against Biden in 2024?
kawalimus
11/04/20 8:01:37 AM
#10
It won't be Biden or Harris it will be Pete Buttigieg.
TopicGlad Biden is going to win
kawalimus
11/04/20 7:53:30 AM
#3
There's no jinx when everyone has called both guys winning like 100 times lol
TopicBiden wins without Pennsylvania, FYI
kawalimus
11/04/20 7:52:14 AM
#12
tote_all posted...
I was under the impression Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania were all key for Biden.

I'm pretty ignorant on actual swing states tho (not American). What did I miss? Which states swinged in Biden's favor?

They were key in the sense that if Biden takes any one of them it was basically over. FL and OH were forecast as narrow dem wins but went republican.

Weirdly though, it looks like Biden won't even need PA, although from what I understand he probably will take it once the votes are fully counted.
TopicBiden is indeed going to win
kawalimus
11/04/20 7:12:13 AM
#17
Yeah they will just say "we fought hard and beat a tough opponent" and triple down. Republicans will find a slightly less detestable version of Trump and absolutely smash Pete Buttigieg or whoever runs for the Democrats in 2024.
TopicWhat if Biden/Trump wins?!? What about what happens if they tie?
kawalimus
11/04/20 12:44:54 AM
#2
Trump wins. Senate decides I believe.
TopicNate Silver's career is pretty much over, right?
kawalimus
11/04/20 12:44:12 AM
#16
I mean..nobody who said Iraq had WMD ever lost their jobs because of that...
TopicDoes Biden still have a chance?
kawalimus
11/04/20 12:29:12 AM
#29
Yes. But it's an embarrassing result for him either way.
TopicGeorgia just tilted back to BIDEN
kawalimus
11/04/20 12:28:01 AM
#29
BlueTigerLion posted...
Its shocking people still don't get there are liberal and conservative areas in each state. As well as early voting and mail in votes lean toward a certain side over another.

"Red state" and "Blue State" are really really REALLY dumb ways to think and I hate that the electoral college encourages it.
TopicYeah so much for that
kawalimus
11/03/20 11:00:02 PM
#3
I mean higher min wage passed in Florida with 60% of the vote, a state that went for trump. So yeah.
TopicFlorida voters passed a $15 minimum wage tonight
kawalimus
11/03/20 10:27:24 PM
#16
AlmightyCheeks posted...
Gonna cost alot of people their jobs.

Total bullshit.
TopicSo hopefully Democrats realize a change in strategy is necessary
kawalimus
11/03/20 10:25:45 PM
#12
uwnim posted...
Being in power as a minor party is better than losing all power. If the leaders fail to keep the left leaning and leftist folks away from stuff like the presidential nomination, they will lose their power.

They didn't have to do that--Trump won FL but also a measure to make a higher min wage passed with like 60% of the vote. They just need to adopt certain key platforms of the left wing but they're not willing to even do *that*. And they aren't going to do it next time either!
TopicSo hopefully Democrats realize a change in strategy is necessary
kawalimus
11/03/20 10:20:24 PM
#2
Democrats would rather lose to Trump than adopt more popular positions.
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