Lurker > Nanaimo-Bar

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TopicAnyone have a pair of Samsung Galaxy Buds/Buds+? I'm thinking of buying a pair.
Nanaimo-Bar
06/10/20 11:05:42 PM
#3
Northlane posted...
Galaxy Buds aren't for fitness as they are not IP55-rated

I'd recommend the Jabra Elite 75t

They're $50 more expensive than the Buds+ though :\

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TopicAnyone have a pair of Samsung Galaxy Buds/Buds+? I'm thinking of buying a pair.
Nanaimo-Bar
06/10/20 10:45:27 PM
#1
Not sure whether to get Buds or Buds+, thinking the latter because the mic quality is like 10 times and the battery life is twice as good.

In particular I'd use them for my daily run which I'm sort of skeptical about since they're true wireless but people say they're fine and I have pretty small ears so they should fit more snugly. Other than that I usually listen to a podcasts and music for a few hours a day while doing other things so they would get plenty of usage.

What do you think? Bad for running? Which one would be better?

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TopicDo any mathemagicians on CE want to explain some probability bullshit to me?
Nanaimo-Bar
06/02/20 1:46:13 PM
#7
Jabodie posted...
Make sense to me. With 60 trials there are way possible combinations. Also, why does it have to be exactly 6? Why not 6 or more?
I dunno, this is just the question he asked our discord server, and it's basically the exact kinda problem that bernoulli trials solve.

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TopicDo any mathemagicians on CE want to explain some probability bullshit to me?
Nanaimo-Bar
06/02/20 1:41:05 PM
#4
parabola_master posted...
If you're trying 60 times, you're bound to hit the 1/3 probability more than 6 times, so it makes complete sense to me
That's not the question I'm asking though. Of course that's the case.

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TopicDo any mathemagicians on CE want to explain some probability bullshit to me?
Nanaimo-Bar
06/02/20 1:38:50 PM
#1
My friend is trying to calculate some shit for a video game he plays competitively I think. Basically though, his problem comes down to:

Given a 1/3 probability of success, what are the odds that over 60 attempts he'll succeed exactly 6 times?

No, I'm not asking you to do my homework for me. I did some googling for him and found out about Bernoulli Trials to calculate this for me, and found that the answer was roughly ~0.002%. Incredibly unlikely.

However, we changed a couple of the parameters to see. What if we reduce the number of successes and attempts from 6 and 60 respectively, to 1 and 10, does that affect things?

Turns out it affects them a FUCKTON. It boosted the probability of getting that many successes from ~0.002% to ~8.6%. Literally 4300 times more likely to succeed.

I even ran some tests of both to see if were correct. Sure enough...

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/206112433809522689/717425849711722496/unknown.png
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/206112433809522689/717429517454540820/unknown.png

(ignore the comments in the second one lol)

This is just wild to me. It's the same ratio of successes to total attempts. But somehow it being a little bit smaller of sample size, even if it repeats over a million times, results in a 4300 times better success rate. There's gotta be some of that math magics involved here somewhere, right?

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TopicEven in Warhammer 40k, one of the most dystopian fictional universes...
Nanaimo-Bar
05/05/20 7:15:04 PM
#1
only 1000 people a day are sacrificed for the survival of the God Emperor.

And here we are with 2000 people a day dying because Trump's an absolute fucking failure of the most unimaginably catastrophic proportions.

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TopicDisease that's mostly harmful to boomers? 'SHUT DOWN SOCIETY, NO PRICE TOO HIGH'
Nanaimo-Bar
04/04/20 12:19:34 PM
#5
CruelBuffalo posted...
so we should re open society is what youre saying ?

Zero catastrophes is better than two. We should tackle climate change with as much ferocity when this is over, is what I'm saying.

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TopicDisease that's mostly harmful to boomers? 'SHUT DOWN SOCIETY, NO PRICE TOO HIGH'
Nanaimo-Bar
04/04/20 12:13:17 PM
#1
World ending due to rampant pollution, but it won't end until after boomers die off? "What do you want me to do? Take a bus instead of driving? Fuck off."

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TopicOh god I just pooped blood.
Nanaimo-Bar
02/16/20 2:40:22 PM
#28
Smackems posted...
long ass time
Heh

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TopicOh god I just pooped blood.
Nanaimo-Bar
02/16/20 1:48:32 PM
#20
if it's bright, like cherry red, it's a hemorrhoid. Annoying but not dangerous (usually).
if it's dark, go to a doctor, that's internal bleeding

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TopicThe Taal Volcano, near Manila in the Philippines, is going to explode imminently
Nanaimo-Bar
01/12/20 7:00:42 PM
#10
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-12/volcano-shakes-the-philippines-and-a-worse-eruption-may-be-near

A hazardous explosive eruption is possible within hours to days, the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology said in an advisory Sunday as it raised the alert status to level four from one in less than 12 hours.

I guess that's where that person on reddit got their info from, so it's legit.

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TopicThe Taal Volcano, near Manila in the Philippines, is going to explode imminently
Nanaimo-Bar
01/12/20 10:59:40 AM
#9
Alteres posted...
Damn, that does look pretty bad.

Epecially considering the size of eruption that must have happened to cause that crater.
didn't even think of that, yikes

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TopicThe Taal Volcano, near Manila in the Philippines, is going to explode imminently
Nanaimo-Bar
01/12/20 10:44:19 AM
#7
CountDog posted...
I know a guy that owns a house in Manilla, wonder if that will be okay?

The house will prob be okay (probably ) but he should get like a breathing mask or something if the ash spreads over the city

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TopicThe Taal Volcano, near Manila in the Philippines, is going to explode imminently
Nanaimo-Bar
01/12/20 10:39:21 AM
#5
Alteres posted...
Couple q's since no link, will it be a major eruption, and is the island inhabited?

(as in just an island near Manila etc)

Official sources are being more conservative, saying within "weeks". The "hours to days" estimate is just what I heard from Filipinos posting on Reddit.

Here's a CNN post about it (blah blah CNN, it's not political so whatever)
https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/12/asia/gallery/taal-volcano-eruption/index.html

And here's a map of the area around Taal

https://i.imgur.com/Nst88wb.png

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TopicThe Taal Volcano, near Manila in the Philippines, is going to explode imminently
Nanaimo-Bar
01/12/20 10:33:55 AM
#1
In the next few hours or days, according to the Philippines government.

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TopicOld Godzilla was stomping around Tokyo City like a big playground, when suddenly
Nanaimo-Bar
01/09/20 1:34:09 PM
#5
GS4Life posted...
who proceeded to open up a can of Shaq-Fu when Aaron Carter came out of the blue
and started beating up Shaquille O'Neal, then they both got flattened by the Batmobile

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TopicOld Godzilla was stomping around Tokyo City like a big playground, when suddenly
Nanaimo-Bar
01/09/20 2:36:50 AM
#1
Batman burst from the shade, and he hit Godzilla with a bat grenade.

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