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TopicNFL Pick'em Topic: Divisional Round
thekitchensink
01/14/21 4:50:08 PM
#7
Congrats to all those who advanced! I'm happy to just watch the divisional round with no stake in who wins. Hooray, neutrality!

Since I missed the tiebreaker discussion in the last topic, here's my 2 cents:

I thought the tiebreakers were fine, and I don't think TB1 read at all as if the second closest would be correct if no one got the closest. In my mind, nobody getting TB1 right just means we all 'tied' at getting that tiebreaker wrong, so it moves onto the next tiebreaker.

I think the important thing is to have TBs that "increase in scope", if you will, so that the set of possible answers to the TB questions gets bigger as you go further down. I assumed that was why you picked what you did for TB3 - because while, yes, it was technically possible to tie that one as well, picking a single number out of hundreds of possibilities (let's say, 80-300+ yards) is nigh-impossible to tie compared to, effectively, picking a single number out of 6 (which of the 6 games will have the greatest margin) or out of 12 (which of the 12 teams has the highest rush yards).

If there was a mistake, it may just have been doing 2 "team-scope" TBs for the both TB1 and TB2. I like having TB1 be team-based as it fits with the competition the rest of the year, but perhaps TB2 should then be player-based, so that there are maybe 20-30 different options (how many players in all games combined will have at least 40 rec yards? etc.), and then TB3 is yards-based, so there are hundreds of different options.

The other key thing to note is whether the chosen TBs are discrete or relative. Discrete ones, like picking the teams, can just be "right" or "wrong". But relative TBs, like the yards guesses, can be compared by distance from the correct answer. Maybe TBs 2 and 3 should be relative ones, to reduce the possibility of a tie all the way down.

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The Witness
TopicNFL Pickem topic Wild Card Rd
thekitchensink
01/10/21 12:30:15 PM
#18
fwiw (nothing) I'm rooting against all my picks today

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TopicNFL Pickem topic Wild Card Rd
thekitchensink
01/10/21 12:02:48 PM
#17
Crescent-Moon posted...
#2 this year is easy (Baltimore).

I wouldn't be so sure about that... check out the last two times these teams played


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TopicNFL Pickem topic Wild Card Rd
thekitchensink
01/09/21 7:50:42 PM
#12
Kudos to anyone who picked the Rams, couldn't do it myself bc it's just so depressing to be on the side of Jared Goff in these games lol

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 17
thekitchensink
01/03/21 12:55:51 PM
#24
Level 9
Deshaun Watson > Tom Brady > Kirk Cousins > Mason Rudolph

Tiebreaker bonus point - Level 8 attempt:
Bears (+11.5)
Titans (-1.5)
Panthers (+12.5)
Dolphins (+10.5)
Seahawks (-0.5)

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The Witness
TopicNFL Pickem topic week 17 (TIEBREAK Top 4)
thekitchensink
01/03/21 12:47:04 PM
#38
Week 17
Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings
New York Jets
New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers
Tennessee Titans
Washington Football Team

TB1: 333 and it'll be Brady, Watson or Tannehill
TB2: 177 and it's Derrick Henry

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 16
thekitchensink
12/27/20 12:13:17 PM
#26
^Woops, sorry kept the header from copy/paste, that's level 8 obviously

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 16
thekitchensink
12/27/20 12:12:51 PM
#25
Games:
Bengals (+13.5)
Colts (+4.5)
Bears (-1.5)
Falcons (+16.5)
Bills (-1.5)

Bonus: Sam Darnold

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The Witness
TopicNFL Pickem topic week 16
thekitchensink
12/27/20 12:04:09 PM
#52
CHANGE to Carolina Panthers

don't trust Haskins

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TopicNFL Pickem topic week 16
thekitchensink
12/26/20 4:09:14 PM
#45
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 16
Arizona Cardinals
Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns
Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
Houston Texans
Los Angeles Chargers
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles - the 'who cares' coin flip game of the year
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
Buffalo Bills

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The Witness
TopicNFL Pickem topic week 16
thekitchensink
12/25/20 3:44:31 PM
#39
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

back later for the rest

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 15
thekitchensink
12/20/20 11:12:18 PM
#47
I also love that it is basically just as much "loljets" as "lolrams" in this situation, what with 1st overall pick etc.

UltimaterializerX posted...
Oh Im not as mad about it as I would be had I lost to the Jags, but I am so over morons telling me how smart Sean Mcvay is. You dont get to lose to the Jets at home as a 17 point favorite and be considered a good coach.

3rd and 4, Williams out, running at will, and this useless dipshit calls two deep pass plays instead of running the ball or kicking a FG to tie. I dont ever want someone trying to convince me him or Kyle Shamahan knows what theyre doing. They both fucking suck.

Yeah... hard to argue with any of that. I would still tend to blame Goff over McVay. Can debate run vs. pass as the overall calls on those 2 plays you mention but there were short targets available too. McVay can put the guys on routes but he can't make Goff pick a receiver.

The game plan / scheme is more on McVay for sure, the way they play, coming back is hard. The running clock was definitely noticeable. But Goff also may play a part in that as well, running the huddle digesting the defense etc. And I feel like McVay has to talk Goff through every game, just constantly in his ear.

There's plenty of fault for McVay, I guess I just think Goff is like ankle weights all the time lol.

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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 15
thekitchensink
12/20/20 7:06:31 PM
#35
a rather legendary application of it if I do say so. not some early season bs

I for one am perfectly okay with going down to the jets punter saving a return td in the 4th

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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 15
thekitchensink
12/20/20 5:48:03 PM
#28
hockeydude15 posted...
I honestly would be ok with a rule 4 being enacted this week just for the sheer hilarity of it.


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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 15
thekitchensink
12/20/20 12:54:53 PM
#20
Mewtwo59 posted...
Oh, rule 4 is from long before the Jeff Fisher era.

Oh sure, of course. Just curious about that specific split

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TopicNFL Pick'em Topic - Week 15 (SATURDAY GAMES BEGIN)
thekitchensink
12/20/20 12:47:22 PM
#66
Las Vegas Raiders
Buffalo Bills
Green Bay Packers

Week 15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco 49ers
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
New England Patriots
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 15
thekitchensink
12/19/20 4:26:25 PM
#26
Change my WR to DeAndre Hopkins

no Slay the Eagles are bereft

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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 15
thekitchensink
12/19/20 1:49:56 PM
#17
Oh, also, I'm kind of curious about the history of Rule 4 in the McVay era vs. the prior Jeff Fisher (lol) era

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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 15
thekitchensink
12/19/20 1:45:40 PM
#16
I'm also on the Rams.

I agree the Giants have risen out of seriously bad. And the Bengals are only seriously bad from the depression of losing Burrow, I think. The team has talent.

I would say the Cowboys after losing Dak are actually worse than the Bengals after losing Burrow, but I don't think I ever had to pick against them bc the Jets and Jags are so terrible.

btw, as a Titans fan, even as bad as the Titans secondary is, with no Kenny G and an injured-at-best Stafford the Titans should win that game easily. The offense would have to come out really flat to not strongly assert itself over the Lions' weak defense.

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 15
thekitchensink
12/19/20 1:38:05 PM
#20
Level 7

QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB: Derrick Henry
WR: Stefon Diggs

Bonus: GB/Car, 6 total TDs

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TopicNFL Pick'em Topic - Week 15 (SATURDAY GAMES BEGIN)
thekitchensink
12/19/20 1:33:25 PM
#48
Buffalo Bills
Green Bay Packers

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TopicNFL Pick'em Topic - Week 15 (SATURDAY GAMES BEGIN)
thekitchensink
12/17/20 7:18:41 PM
#33
Las Vegas Raiders

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 14
thekitchensink
12/13/20 8:12:48 PM
#48
3 total weeks for me to pass both level 5 and level 6! we're going streaking

also did every level 7 attempt pass this week?? lots of success!

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 14
thekitchensink
12/13/20 12:58:59 PM
#44
Hmm may end up changing this but just so I can get the bonus in:

Level 6:
Washington Football Team (-2.5)

Bonus: 8

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The Witness
TopicNFL Pick'em Topic - Week 14
thekitchensink
12/13/20 12:47:48 PM
#60
Los Angeles Rams

Week 14
Chicago Bears
Dallas Cowboys
Kansas City Chiefs
Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Chargers
Washington Football Team
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 14
thekitchensink
12/13/20 12:46:28 PM
#12
Titans officially

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TopicNFL Pick'em Topic - Week 14
thekitchensink
12/10/20 5:06:11 PM
#30
Los Angeles Rams

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 14
thekitchensink
12/10/20 5:01:13 PM
#9
Man pats -0.5 is pretty tempting for level 6. But ahh it feels rushed. Gonna wait until sunday

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 4:44:29 PM
#43
nailed it!

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 4:43:54 PM
#46
UltimaterializerX posted...
Welcome to Cousins. This dude is trash.

haha, I've had him in fantasy multiple years now, I've been on the ride.

But it worked out! In the end Dalvin put the team on his back like he usually does. That was fun, made me care about that game way more than I would have.

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 4:19:43 PM
#40
yeah that was bad clock management at the end. get the first, spike it, take however many shots, kick fg.

Here we go, perfect season wasn't gonna be easy...

(oh, also, the two missed xps)

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 2:43:52 PM
#33
LOL kirk. well its an uphill battle now for him mentally

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 1:29:36 PM
#31
I'm always looking ahead. Nothing else to do about this week.

lol, they play all 60 minutes for a reason. It's not a great start, but it is Mike Glennon after all. The first td shouldve been a pick and then they held them to a field goal. I wouldn't expect the jags D to hold up all game...

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 1:00:17 PM
#28
I would say it's fairly likely I go Titans, Rams, Browns, Bucs for my final picks.

It seems no one else has that sequence, so things might get interesting!

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 12:56:34 PM
#40
Level 5:
Saints @ FALCONS - UNDER 45.5
TITANS vs Browns - OVER 53.5

Bonus: Bengals

((for fun level 4 pick:
chargers/pats 5- and seahawks/giants 10+)

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 12:41:28 PM
#26
indeed, a toss up between Vikings and Raiders this week, I'll go with the Vikings since there's a small chance the Raiders are useful in week 17.

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TopicNFL pickem topic week 13
thekitchensink
12/06/20 12:02:55 PM
#42
Week 13
New Orleans Saints
Chicago bears
Tennessee Titans
Miami Dolphins
Minnesota Vikings
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens

seems like a fairly easy week, we'll see how many traps there are...

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 12
thekitchensink
11/29/20 7:51:56 PM
#58
alright, in the interest of actually competing to win in these last 5 weeks I'll use my new fourth bonus point to skip level 4.

...but, I'll probably still post picks for level 4 in the future just to see if I wouldve ever cleared it. I'll be clear about it.

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TopicNFL Pickem topic week 12: Thanksgiving!
thekitchensink
11/29/20 11:15:14 AM
#65
Houston Texans
Washington Football Team

Week 12
Las Vegas Raiders
Buffalo Bills
New York Giants
Indianapolis Colts
Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
Miami Dolphins
Cleveland Browns
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
Kansas City Chiefs
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
Pittsburgh Steelers


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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 12
thekitchensink
11/29/20 10:33:40 AM
#26
Yeah, I was gonna go Browns but I have to go Saints now

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TopicNFL Pickem topic week 12: Thanksgiving!
thekitchensink
11/26/20 10:54:39 AM
#39
Quite happy to have been wrong about Baltimore and New England, but quite sad to have been wrong about Cincinnati as it happened.

Also probably was not the week to take a chance on the Falcons but oh well.

Houston Texans
Washington Football Team

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 12
thekitchensink
11/26/20 10:30:41 AM
#11
sitting at 3 points for a while, bonuses have proven just as elusive as level 4 lately...

Level 4:
Cowboys/WFT 5-
Ravens/Steelers 5-

Bonus: Mahomes > Brady > Mike Glennon

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The Witness
TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 11
thekitchensink
11/22/20 3:52:56 PM
#55
aww man it looked like a good pick until Burrow went down

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TopicNFL Pickem topic week 11
thekitchensink
11/22/20 12:52:43 PM
#73
Arizona Cardinals

Week 11
Cleveland Browns
Atlanta Falcons
Cincinnati Bengals
Detroit Lions
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Chargers
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Rams

3/4 afc south teams in very hard games to pick this week

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TopicB8 NFL Ladder Contest 2020 Week 11
thekitchensink
11/22/20 12:25:29 PM
#48
Level 4 for life

Steelers/Jags 10+
Bengals/WFT 5-

Bonus: Juju/Claypool

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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 11
thekitchensink
11/22/20 12:17:20 PM
#23
surprised to see so few on the Steelers, my pick

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TopicNFL Pickem topic week 11
thekitchensink
11/19/20 6:52:43 PM
#43
Arizona Cardinals

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TopicNFL Pickem topic week 10
thekitchensink
11/15/20 12:19:44 PM
#65
Tennessee Titans

Week 10
Cleveland Browns
Washington Football Team
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Las Vegas Raiders
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans Saints
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
Chicago Bears

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TopicB8 NFL Suicide League: Week 10
thekitchensink
11/15/20 11:01:41 AM
#26
Packers

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TopicNFL Pickem topic week 10
thekitchensink
11/12/20 7:02:04 PM
#37
Tennessee Titans

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