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Topic | man, remember when we had the chance to nominate bernie |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:17:57 AM #2 | there never was a chance. Can't fight the DNC propaganda machine --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | as a black person that lives in a hyper republican area... |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:16:41 AM #43 | I deleted those posts incase anyone else interpreted that as some kind of threat? It wasn't --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | as a black person that lives in a hyper republican area... |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:15:17 AM #41 | If Trump wins then TC wouldn't be afraid, I don't get how people can interpret that as me hoping they get harmed. I don't want anyone to get hurt. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | as a black person that lives in a hyper republican area... |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:13:44 AM #37 | I'm not wishing harm, TC is afraid if Trump LOSES --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Win or lose, Trumps supporters have been absurdly overconfident this year. |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:12:39 AM #10 | Trump did better early last year too. He held the popular vote for most of the day. Then a surge of votes for Hillary came later at night. So I wouldn't celebrate just because he pulls ahead early. Stay strong, boys --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | NYPD puts potenital would-be rioters on notice. 'We know who you are' |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:02:37 AM #15 | viewmaster_pi posted... they found out about CE --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Trumpers: Bet your accounts on the election |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:01:51 AM #3 | odds don't look good, not worth it --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | as a black person that lives in a hyper republican area... |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:01:16 AM #11 | In fact, I think I'm going to go vote for Trump to put you at ease --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | as a black person that lives in a hyper republican area... |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 9:00:31 AM #10 | Well hopefully Trump wins then --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | 538's FINAL Model For The Presidential Election Is Out (D-89%, R-10%, Tie - 1%) |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:59:32 AM #34 | It's not trolling. I'm not saying Biden is going to lose, just that polls aren't necessarily accurate because of flawed sampling. You can just wikipedia everything I said about statistics and margin of error if you don't believe me --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | ITT: Post "I Voted" when you have voted |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:48:53 AM #2 | I dropped my ballot off days ago --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | 538's FINAL Model For The Presidential Election Is Out (D-89%, R-10%, Tie - 1%) |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:46:54 AM #31 | MaddenDude-- posted... if ur so smart then why dont you tell us if the 538 model is accurate or not I already explained it, he'll verify what I said and why it's technically not random sampling --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Was Trump really "good for the economy" before the pandemic? |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:45:40 AM #6 | DoctorPiranha3 posted... No he was awful. Road the coattails of what Obama did and took full credit for it.What did Obama do to stimulate the economy? Wallstreet bailout? Is that what people are referring to, as if Trump or anyone else wouldn't have bailed out big banks --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Win or lose, Trumps supporters have been absurdly overconfident this year. |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:42:19 AM #8 | I've been saying he would lose all week, what do you mean --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | 538's FINAL Model For The Presidential Election Is Out (D-89%, R-10%, Tie - 1%) |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:41:09 AM #24 | Tyranthraxus posted...
Go out and vote for Trump! --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | 538's FINAL Model For The Presidential Election Is Out (D-89%, R-10%, Tie - 1%) |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:36:03 AM #19 | So it's like a blind man taking 5 marbles from a bag, but some of the marbles are some how not from the right bag (actual voters) and some of the marbles don't tell you the color they are(let's say green marbles are more likely to not say) and purple marbles sometimes lie about what color they are. You have no way of knowing these behaviors or trends so you can't really adjust your calculations around them, but they try. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | 538's FINAL Model For The Presidential Election Is Out (D-89%, R-10%, Tie - 1%) |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:33:24 AM #17 | Rathinor posted... How would you make that case? Polling is completely random sampling. It's weighted afterwards, which if you passed your statistics class you'd understand the difference No, it isn't. If you take a random sample of 5 marbles out of a bag, that's random because all the 5 marbles are part of the set and you know what they are is what they actually are. A blue marble means a blue marble, a green marble means green. Just because someone says they will vote, doesn't mean they will. Just because someone says they will vote for X, doesn't mean they will. And lastly, not everyone called will answer their phone. This introduces variables that might differ between demographics --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | 538's FINAL Model For The Presidential Election Is Out (D-89%, R-10%, Tie - 1%) |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:30:52 AM #15 | Rathinor posted... Think of the chances this way For you to say that, the scenarios would all need the exact same probability, which is not what this is saying. The 90% is based on the margin of error. The sample sizes are about 1000 each and I think they are using a 95% confidence interval. But the margin or error only applies if it was true random sampling. The way they sample, is they have an arbitrary metric of who is a "likely voter" and they call their phone and ask who they are voting for. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | 538's FINAL Model For The Presidential Election Is Out (D-89%, R-10%, Tie - 1%) |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:25:40 AM #9 | Evening_Dragon posted... Note that trusting the polls doesn't mean 90% turns into 100%, or that 10% turns to 0%. Just an fyi, as someone who actually took statistics, Margin of Error only applies to random sampling of a total amount. You can make the case that polling is not random sampling. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | I am envious of Trump supporters in one way |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 8:21:03 AM #4 | KiwiTerraRizing posted... The guy you are against is trying to give you healthcare and more services. Pretty sweet deal. That's not how it works. "Free" just means you pay in taxes. Hey, I'll give you a "Free" iphone, but you have to pay me 1000 dollars a month. Cool? --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | We have a spirit called Fuck Trump |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 7:57:35 AM #6 | I'm guessing Danish people base America on John Oliver --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Just found out my brother has voted for Trump. |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 7:54:50 AM #6 | Your brother sounds cool as fuck --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | The President, on the election |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 7:05:53 AM #2 | Trump 2020 --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | How's voting been, Americans? Did you have a peaceful normal time doing it? |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 6:39:23 AM #10 | spikethedevil posted... How does it feel for the Americans in states where the EC has 3ish total votes? Where your vote literally means nothing. It means nothing in non-battleground states --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Why is election day a tuesday? |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 6:36:39 AM #18 | You have 22 days to vote. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 5:02:21 AM #25 | Carter, both Bushes, just from recent memory, were worse --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | What would happen if Biden wins but dies before he's sworn in? |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 5:01:31 AM #7 | AirFresh posted... I think it'd be Harris/Pelosi --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:42:14 AM #19 | berlyman101 posted... they have over twice as many people as the US tho death rate, as in deaths per 100,000. France, UK, And US have the same rate. Belgium and Spain got hit the hardest (of the west) --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Come to the dark side and vote Trump |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:40:04 AM #1 | Cool kids vote Trump. Are you a cool kid or a dork? --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Son disowns Mum after she told him she is voting for Trump |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:38:32 AM #27 | That kid sounds completely brainwashed --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Lil Pump is Now Lil Pimp Courtesy of Trump |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:36:23 AM #3 | He should change his name to Lil Pimp --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:35:53 AM #17 | The death rate was similar to Europe, that talking point is is weak from a statistics standpoint --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:12:12 AM #14 | Selfish, Boastful, Colorful, but a force of good for Dreamland --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:11:19 AM #12 | Notti posted... If Donald loses tomorrow, he will be reviled for decades. Trump is the King Dedede of America --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:10:29 AM #11 | Delirious_Beard posted... TC how much were you hoping that big bad evil ANTIFA would burn down seattle I would rather they be arrested than destroy a liberal city. I joke about liberals, but these Seattle anarchist riots are something else. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:09:21 AM #9 | berlyman101 posted...
This biggest underdog story of our lifetime. Trump had no career in politics, he shit talked for years, joined the election randomly and wrecked with very little financial backing compared to his opponents. His own party conspired against him. The GOP were the ones who funded the Steele Dossier. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 4:05:29 AM #6 | At least when he's gone I can admit in public that I liked him. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 3:55:18 AM #2 | Oh yeah, got COVID at near 80 and overcame it in two days. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | When Trump loses can we finally admit he was a good president |
seqntenialbeast 11/03/20 3:54:38 AM #1 | No war mongering, actually became friendly with previously loose canon leaders of the world like Kim Jong Un, didn't answer to politicians or media, actively let people come to the white house to pitch him ideas despite not being involved in politics. Thought George Floyd was a tragedy, but actually condemned the riots and chaos. Let states handle covid policy etc at the state and city level. And he had no job experience and shit talked his way through everything. I'm going to miss this guy. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Donald Trump account bets |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 6:30:43 AM #6 | 1234Life posted... I really wanna believe that Biden has this one in the bag, but Im also fully aware that idiots completely outnumber educated folks in the USofA California has lower IQ scores and SAT scores than the redneck states. Let that sink in. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Donald Trump account bets |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 6:27:26 AM #2 | you are betting an icon account on a 99 to 1 underdog? --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Remember when Obama took our guns, cancelled Christmas |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 6:26:33 AM #3 | Obama > McCain, Obama > Romney, Trump > Hillary, Trump > Biden --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | California has a proposition that legalizes insitutional discrimination |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 6:18:13 AM #11 | Blue_Inigo posted... Prop 16 would restore affirmative action in public education, public employment and public contracting after a nearly 25-year ban. It would help fix the systemic gender and race issue that permeates our country. I'm not mis-characterizing anything. The law repeals prop 209, which is that piece in the opening post. I posted the piece of the California Constitution in the opening post. The weird part is they tried to repeal this in 2011, but Jerry Brown veto'd it. Jerry Brown seems to be the last sane California politician we had. Look at the people who endorsed this: https://voteyesonprop16.org/endorsements/ I can't believe what the Democratic party has become. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Buy gun now before to late |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 5:48:42 AM #27 | The police in America will let you die before they protect your business or your property. You can't really depend on them at all. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | California has a proposition that legalizes insitutional discrimination |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 5:41:17 AM #3 | Liberals have become a parody --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Trump is testing his supporters. |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 4:59:15 AM #5 | I genuinely don't understand why you still simp for the Democratic party. Your posts seem rational otherwise. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | Is Trump going to be the first incumbent president to lose in a while? |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 4:58:23 AM #7 | 008Zulu posted... That's close to 30 years ago.aka 3 presidents ago. How is that a long time? And Carter before him. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | California has a proposition that legalizes insitutional discrimination |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 4:55:41 AM #1 | It's called Proposition 16, which repeals Proposition 209, passed in 1996. Proposition 209 added Section 31 to the California Constitution which states (a) The State shall not discriminate against, or grant preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the operation of public employment, public education, or public contracting. https://ballotpedia.org/Article_I,_California_Constitution#Section_31 The people endorsing this, which I repeat, removes this section that illegalizes sex, race etc based discrimination are Gavin Newsom, a bunch of celebrities, and it was put forth by the California State Assembly and California State Senate. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | My tenants say $800/mo is too expensive for rent in San francisco. |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 1:26:52 AM #31 | 800 dollars a month? seems really low for San Francisco. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
Topic | I've never wanted a candidate to win more than Trump |
seqntenialbeast 11/02/20 1:23:45 AM #4 | PatrickMahomes posted... tag I thought about making a topic, where if Trump wins, everyone who posted would get a dollar. (Not as a bribe) because it feels so unlikely. But I don't know how I would do that without doxing myself. --- Heavy Troopa is ready to launch |
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