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shockthemonkey posted...
Race to the bottom presidential election, who can lose less voters by November

But it really seems hard to believe that Trump has a chance given the post Roe elections.
Yeah, I feel Roe is continuously underweighted in the pundit forecasts. People keep thinking people don't prioritize it/it's faded since 2022, but local elections seem to argue otherwise still.

Another thing is the polls still have a lot of undecided voters. Sometimes, I think people think polls are trying to make a close election on purpose, but I do think there's an element where a lot of people don't want to make a choice until they have to. I have to think when a poll has 10+% undecided, many of those on election day, when they have to fill a bubble, will pick the candidate that appears more reasonable.
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ScazarMeltex posted...
Before people shit on Silver here, and believe me, he deserves it, he was pretty much the only person to sound the alarm in 2016 about the likelihood of a Trump EC victory while losing the popular vote by a ton.

Now, having said that, he's also been wrong about almost everything since then.
Silver left 538, so this is no longer ran by him. 2022 results showed Silver's reign was over. The hate he got in 2016 for putting more weight on the polls than the pundits was really weird, though. In a way, the only reason Hilary was getting the 98+% chance of winnings was a more pundit-favored system.
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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

50/50 right now. Trump has actually been leading in the aggregate polls/betting odd websites for a while now (enough time where it is a little worrying). I still can't help but think after 2022, the polls are having more and more of a republican bias unless the ways these polls are conducted have shifted to get people that will actually end up voting. 2022 undervalued Roe v. Wade being overturned heavily and I feel it will be undervalued in 2024 again.

Only issue is, even if the polls say Trump is ahead nationally, but we choose to not believe it as Trump has not shown the ability to win the national vote in 2016 or 2020, the EC is, by its nature, going to give the Republicans leeway in that regard. The conviction hasn't seemed to really hurt Trump, and if it were to hurt him, it would hurt him most directly after it happened. In the 8 years since 2016, the landscape has changed significantly. I actually remember Trump climbing in the 538 forecast back in 2016 until the 'tape' released and it really tanked him the days following. Of course, he was able to recover to ultimately win, but it really does feel like those sort of things don't affect Trump anymore. I'd say jail time is the only thing that would, but many don't see that happening.

Of course, another belief of mine is that people have forgotten what Trump is like since 2020. He's in the news a lot, but not being on twitter and on TV speaking every day has helped Trump imo. Once that debate happens in a few weeks, it might remind the undecideds just why they didn't vote for him in 2020. If there's one thing to count on, it's Trump blowing a debate, especially the first one.
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I'd say the villains in the JRPG: Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door are just evil. No shades of grey there in my personal humble opinion.
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Hypnospace posted...
Bro a lot of people struggle with online dating apps. Most men that use it do. You're not some hideous, disfigured freak. Dating apps are just rough to use due to oversaturation and profile curation and it's advised you use it in addition to meeting women irl instead of relying exclusively on it
I don't know, would normally agree, but I paid for the premium and no-lifed it. Literally spent every waking minute just swiping 1000's of girls and spent money on super-likes and messages. I paid for the boost on Tinder that supposedly gives you 100x more viewership and did the 11x boost on Hinge. I think every like on Tinder except one was a bot and Hinge was just straight up depression when I got nothing at all.

I know the ratio of liking to be liked is low, but one of the other big complaints on these sites is about non-responses upon getting a match. I couldn't even get to that step. I just know myself and that I unfortunately will never make the first move in real life, and I'm not the type of guy a girl would be willing to make the first move on either. I just think if it can't work online, then I just am out of luck.
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SSJKirby posted...
This only affects simps
Yeah, but it was weird. They were trying to act Japanese, so they made all their tweets with broken english to try to push the LARP.
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Bump.
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I tried to do online dating a month ago for a few weeks for the first time ever. Paid for tinder and hinge premium features and let's just say, I'm going to die alone.

I always knew I was ugly, but GOD DAMN, I'm uglier than Quasimodo. I even tried paying to win, and I still lost hard. I felt my soul leave my body during those few weeks. It was better when I created elaborate stories in my head that the problem was my shyness, even if I knew deep down that was just one of my problems.
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https://x.com/MbKKssTBhz5

Midori, a prominent leaker in the last year, was a Japanese lady... or at least that's what they wanted you to believe. Turned out to be a white guy who was basically a known unreliable leaker (type of leaker that is wrong all the time but says something in vague enough fashion they can always hide behind people just not fully "getting" their message): https://x.com/TailsGuy92/status/1801016243308101667

Wouldn't usually bring a case like this up since guys pretending to be girls online is nothing new (it's happened here obviously many a time), but they were a leaker that appeared to have some good stuff that made the rounds on here. Honestly, I look at this news, and can't even muster a ":O" because it's just that unsurprising nowadays, lol.
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The 2010's onwards obsession with balance is so awful in video games. Stop catering to the competitive crowd, they lost their soul and ability to have fun when they made the blood oath to Satan upon entering the competitive scene. Especially since balance fails in the long-run always.

Can I get an AMEN!!!
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Turbam posted...
Shame I can't read post 10.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m3nkLMY4SQY
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Block was a bad feature tbh.
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Not on here, but another site, and I just posted with one of my gimmicks but from main and not the gimmick account. It's going to fall apart, this is code red. All I can hope is that no one noticed even though I was blatant with the gimmick.
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Alright, here comes at least 4 pages of back and forth. Time to hide this topic. My family and I enjoyed the many fun years of Wheel of Fortune.

I'm a big fan of the Triple Toss-up they added with the bonus if you get every single one. Fits the pace of the show much better than trying to force another puzzle and always having to do the final spin when it's already halfway solved.
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Going to miss Pat. Happy retirement.
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Metroid Dread doing it was surprising. Maybe it's a good thing, though, as I think normal was a good challenge, and I probably would have picked hard if I got the option from the get-go.
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Gatekeeping is good.
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Honestly, the only way to survive is by being for kids. Everything that loses focus and tries to cater to the adults that loved them as a kid will die with those adults.
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Appreciate the thorough breakdown! Glad to have more context on Technicals as well to know if they were good-faith or not.
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Dudebusters posted...
I Googled the context and it appears Hax attacked Leffen for speaking out against ZeRo for being a groomer

ZeRo admitted to what he did

So uhhhhh
Tbf, Leffen, in this callout, also falsely accused M2K, of some stuff that wasn't true that resulted in M2K having great emotional turmoil: https://x.com/MVG_Mew2King/status/1794881691364032938

He even states it was one of (not the largest reason, though) for retiring from competitive Melee.
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MICHALECOLE posted...
Im not in the know and I voted

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Tbh, I wasn't really a fan of Majors' acting. Felt like bad theatre acting.
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If you aren't in the know, please don't vote/be snarky for internet points.

Hax was banned from Super Smash Bros. Melee's competitive scene a few years back due to what many saw to be an unhinged series of online tirades against another player, Leffen, which made Leffen fear for his safety at these tournaments. Leffen is a controversial figure in the competitive fighting game scene himself (not just Melee) with a history of his own toxic behaviors in the past, but regardless, many believed Hax rose to a level that was dangerous for the community.

Upon his appeal to be unbanned last year, his ban was officially made indefinite as he doubled down on some of his takes that originally got him banned in the first place. Furthermore, it has been stated that for him to be unbanned, he will need to stop publicly calling for his unban, of which he still does to this very day: https://x.com/ssbmhax/status/1796521475463418156

Still, many feel Hax should be unbanned and that the indefinite ban is unfair along with the conditions needed to be unbanned. Even popular YT'ers such as SimpleFlips have made videos about why Hax should be unbanned: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fM_iZ8ViI-4

Many also sympathize as it is quite clear Hax is not fully there: https://x.com/DarkGenex/status/1795987583714931187

Many TO's feel he shouldn't be unbanned, though. Despite his numerous public apologies, many say he still doubles down in private. Not to mention, some would say the level his mental health is tied to Melee is obviously a recipe for disaster, even if he is unbanned. Some would say he needs help, not Melee: https://x.com/iBDWSSBM/status/1796578787309875666

Here's a vid that just dropped on Leffen. I do want to say, to an extent, I'm sure it's exaggerated as these two seem to have beef. Also don't know if Technicals is a good guy or not, so this could be further support for either side tbh: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blrCC1wjF_k
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absolutebuffoon posted...
Also maybe make it a book you add to the library so you don't get in trouble for damaging a book

But realistically the librarian or someone is going to notice and toss it, I don't recommend library. I'd say a covered picnic table area at a campground.
I got a brother-in-law that is a librarian. Going to run it by him.
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s0nicfan posted...
Inside a hollowed out book at the library, preferably a book that ties in to the ARG and ideally with specifics words / phrases highlighted to act as the next clue or additional information needed to access the drive (like making it encrypted and the passcode is in the book).
Ah, I like this. This might just be the plan! Now, to pick out the book, ideally one that the person who has an interest and won't immediately toss it. Mystery genre is an obvious candidate.
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And make it part of an ARG. Where's a good spot to hide one where someone will find it, but they won't find it too quickly and they won't think it's a junk drive?
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Smallville posted...
you ever seen someone throw up while on the ride? would be very sad to see
Luckily, no! Would probably ruin the day for me as I don't think I could muster the courage to ride after that for the rest of the day.
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Ever heard of Caesar?
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Smallville posted...
where is screamin eagle though, six flags st louis?
Yeah

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Screamin%27_Eagle

If I'm being honest, I like fast rides, but not as big on rides with big drops, haha! Always make my stomach churn. Still, as the article above states, was impressive for its time.
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Smallville posted...
what's the best coaster there, mr freez?
I don't really know tbh what the consensus is. I was always under the impression that Screamin' Eagle and The Boss were what are considered the "classics." Rode Screamin' Eagle and never felt closer to death than being on a wooden rollercoaster that was rickety and felt like the ride was off the tracks at times, but whatever, I'm still around!

From what I hear, St. Louis Six Flags, with rides like the Screamin' Eagle is considered bad because of how beat up you get on them rides. Again, had no frame of reference, so I figured that's just what rides are like. I've been to Disney World and Silver Dollar City along with a few smaller one-off parks here and there, so I have a better reference point now. The only real issue I have with Six Flags is that it isn't really strong with theming which tbh, I kinda appreciate more than rides.
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Rate the drive 1-10.
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I've been to Six Flags St. Louis. I hear its the worst one, but I had fun. First amusement park I ever went to, so no point of reference at the time.
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neverwin posted...
Spoilers for chapter 3

Macho Grubba boss theme was a massive improvement though. Imo
Haven't gotten to that part yet. Hopefully will agree. Honestly, I'll need to re-listen to the OG theme as when it comes to chapter 3, it's only glitzville and the standard arena theme that I remember vividly.
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DeathVelvien posted...
Yeah, this was a huge miss with the OST imo. Especially the Glitzville theme itself.
Yeah, agree on the glitzville part especially. Was always a favorite of mine. As I said, been enjoying the soundtrack as a whole, just bummed my literal favorite part feels like a downgrade.
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My other point is small fandoms are about fun and the material they enjoy. One day the flames that drive the community will die, but the people had fun while they were there.

Large fandoms are about turning everything into competitions (yet again, look at speedrunning). You will have top level runners that are friends while their chatters talk about how x runner doesn't deserve World Record and that Y runner is washed unlike their favorite Z runner. Large fandoms also seem to enjoy attacking other fandoms more than actually enjoying their content. It might live for a while, but it's just fluff/a time-killer for the people involved.
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Every hobby I've ever been a part of has drama with the bigwigs that decide because they are popular, their will will be enacted upon us mere mortals. I don't want their fans to be a part of the fandom. Their fans send death threats and tell long-standing members that they are worthless because they are not popular.

Super Mario Odyssey speedrunning is a prime example. Speedrunning, to the point above, is very inclusive and full of those in categories that society casts aside. Every time any big person gets involved, they bring in their audience full of people that want speedrunning to be the same as any other hobby and attack you for all your differences. We help those who want to learn and welcome anyone to the community. When large influxes occur, though, it's by people who hold little interest in speedrunning, and just want to parrot what their big streamer said, and only care about videos related to the negative side of speedrunning such as cheating, or mock those who aren't part of the top level. To those who say I should want the community to become bigger, I say, no thanks!

Ludwig's event is a prime example why speedrunning trying to cater to "big names" only hurts diversity and why we need to be stronger about gatekeeping.
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$50k basic plan with a 10x salary supplemental policy going into effect July 1st. Both combined with the upcoming raise will be just shy of 1 million.

Not that I'm planning on dying, but it feels comforting in a way to know that things will be taken care of if something bad were to ever happen.
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I wouldn't be surprised if the branding of it being the "racist" site has just made it a racism loop that just will naturally attract racists to a space that will accept them when the rest of the internet has banished them to the shadows where they belong.
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I've enjoyed the soundtrack so far, but anyone else feel chapter 3 is a major downgrade from the original soundtrack?

The original had a carny, 80's/90's WWE feel to it in the ring and a carny feel to it outside the ring, which coincides greatly with the location, story, and villains (with Rawk Hawk having obvious parallels).

Like, if I was listening to it without the context, it is pretty good, but with context, and with a comparable version in the GCN, it's the first time I have a strong urge to use the nostalgia badge. I won't just because I still feel the remake soundtrack has been good as a whole, but this is a big miss for me since chapter 3 was my favorite in the original game. I was really excited to hear the remade version but was taken aback as it played on. I should note, I'm talking about the entire chapter 3 soundtrack, not just the glitzville or the glitz pit specifically.
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Sanitization of art. Humans have common interests, but they aren't deep interests to an individual human. Still, to associate an IP with those common interests will allow many to enjoy. Deep down, though, our greatest loves are more than common interests. Our favorite pieces speak to us, and only those with a common soul will appreciate that piece. To the rest, they will ignore, or even hate it. When someone says "let's make this more popular," they are really saying, "how can I strip the quirks and leave only what is a common interest behind?"

They would go to a shop full of soda, each one with its dedicated fanbases and say "well, this makes money, but if I strip every all of these "weird, inaccessible" ingredients except for the water because hey, everyone likes water, it would sell a ton because now the entire population is our audience!" I like water, sometimes I really like water, but it's not my passion.
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It's crazy how the first seven posts were all 'gatekeeping is bad' and then the rest of the thread somehow went the opposite direction.
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No :(
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Gatekeep against those who wish to "make it bigger." They are enemies in disguise.

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She lost because of me.
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Space jam

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If you are ever in St. Louis, check out our zoo!
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Revnir posted...
RIP to an entertaining guy

But supersize me had the opposite effect for me. Seeing a guy eat McDs for a whole documentary made me crave McDs real bad
Haha, same! That, and The Founder are the ultimate tools to make me want to go to Micky D's immediately!
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McMarbles posted...
How much steroids do you have to take to kick a football to the moon?
I could do it without steroids
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Do you think he has an unfair advantage that goes against the spirit of the game, or since it's his natural abilities, it's only fair?
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Recently rewatched the trilogy. Forgot how good it was.
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