Board 8's Other NFL Picks League 2017 - Divisional Championship

Welcome to the playoffs!
1. See tiebreaker scenarios for tiebreakers.
2. If you have any questions, please ask. I'll be happy to clarify
3. All picks must be in before the start of the game.
4. Picks should be sent to me via PM (unless I'm picking, in which case we'll both send to an alternate)
5. Official Tiebreaker Rules in the google document are the official rules.

Spreadsheets:
Records:
goo.gl/rmdcb9

Week by Week:
goo.gl/MyDTQ1

Locks:
goo.gl/FLFQrk

Remaining Players:
Standings:
(1)WweJth 177-79 [330]
(2)Crescent-Moon 175-81 [400]
(3)davidponte 173-83 [270]
(4)foxhead84 172-84 [270]
(5)theawesomestevr 169-87 [320]
(8)Buffy_Summers 166-90 [230]]
(10)Ashethan 163-93 [130]
(11)terpaholic 162-94 [350]

Official Tiebreaker rules:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vS654SUsTu0k_MEItWT5TNh53FhUUT9VOdYqd3QwqDjEdjfhi2YpdHXi_LuA7o2fvqVroFPSceaOPt3/pub

What you are picking:
1. Which team will win -- and by how much?
2. Do you LOCK your pick in?
3. Pick a Spread that will make your team win in the event you both pick the wrong team (Ex: Jets +3.5)
4. How many points will be scored in the game
5. How many passing yards will be thrown in the game
6.How many rushing yards will be rushed for in the game?
Bonus: Do you wish to remove the LOCK tiebreaker? (A unanimous decision by all remaining players removes the LOCK tiebreaker)

Quick Explanation:

Scenario A: Both users pick different teams.
Whichever player picks the correct team, advances.

Scenario B: Both users pick the same team, and are right.
Whichever player is closer to the score difference advances (over or under)
Next tiebreaker: Lock (Unless unanimous decision removes the lock). If one player locks, and the other doesn't, the player who locked advances.
Next tiebreaker: Points scored in the game
Next tiebreaker: Total Passing yards
Next tiebreaker: Total Rushing Yards
Final Tiebreaker: Higher Seed advances

Scenario C: Both users pick the same team, and are wrong
Whichever player has a lower spread that still wins
Next tiebreaker: Lock (Unless unanimous decision removes the lock) if one player locks, and the other doesn't, the player who did not lock advances.
Next tiebreaker: Points scored in the game
Next tiebreaker: total passing yards
Next tiebreaker: Total rushing yards
Final tiebreaker: Higher Seed advances

Scenario D: One player does not send a pick, the other sends a wrong pick
The player who sent a pick advances.

Scenario E: Neither player sends a pick
The higher seed advances, with a 3 point penalty on all tiebreakers in the next round.

Schedule:

(01) Wwejth vs (11) terpaholic
Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots

(02) Crescent-Moon vs (10) Ashethan
Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles

(03) davidponte vs (08) Buffy_Summers
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Pittsburgh Steelers

(04) foxhead84 vs (05) theawesomestevr
New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings

Oh, I didn't realize the spread pick comes in before the LOCK as a tiebreaker. So, just speaking off the top of my mind, I maybe have two issues with the current system:

1. To me it seems kind of weird that we answer the LOCK question second, but the spread applies before the LOCK despite the fact it's listed after, numerically. Just a matter of semantics (or categorization, or something...) now that I realize I was mistaken earlier, so not that big a deal, but I thought I'd mention it since I found it a little confusing.

2. It also seems off to me to vote along with our picks to potentially nullify one of the tiebreakers we're also simultaneously making picks for.

I'd personally rather vote for it (whether through PM or in this thread) before we make our picks, just so we all know where we stand before making picks that include LOCKs.

Unless I'm mistaken, and whatever resolution we get to that only applies in later weeks. In that case, it's safe to ignore this.

All of that is just my personal opinion though, and I won't be upset or anything if things remain as they are. Just thought I'd share my view on it.

Yeah, sorry. I put them out of order because I just copied/pasted from last week.

Here's the proper order:
1. Which team will win -- and by how much?
2. Pick a Spread that will make your team win in the event you both pick the wrong team (Ex: Jets +3.5)
3. Do you LOCK your pick in?
4. How many points will be scored in the game
5. How many passing yards will be thrown in the game
6. How many rushing yards will be rushed for in the game?
Bonus: Do you wish to remove the LOCK tiebreaker? (A unanimous decision by all remaining players removes the LOCK tiebreaker)

The Lock will be removed next week (assuming a unanimous vote by remaining players), unless everyone decides to remove it by Thursday at 4:40 PM EST. (Two days in advance of the first game, so everyone knows where they stand as far as locks go)

I will vote to remove it, since I'll be removing it next year. I'm not sure the risk/reward is even enough. If you both get it right, chances are low you're going to the next tiebreaker anyway. If you both get it wrong, chances are much higher that you'll actually advance to the LOCK tiebreaker.

Teams ranked by difficulty to predict (Hardest to easiest)

1. Chiefs 47.03%

2. Jaguars 50.00%
3. Cowboys 51.42%
4. Seahawks 52.84%
5. Panthers 52.99%
6. Bills 55.35%
7. Dolphins 55.40%
8. Broncos 55.97%
9. Bengals 57.67%
10. Redskins 57.67%
11. Falcons 58.12%

12. Ravens 60.23%
13. Texans 61.08%
14. Cardinals 61.08%
15. Bears 62.50%
16. Jets 62.78%
17. Raiders 62.78%
18. Rams 63.07%
19. Giants 63.92%
20. Chargers 64.59%
21. Lions 66.19%
22. Saints 66.48%
23. Vikings 67.33%
24. Buccaneers 67.33%
25. Titans 69.32%
26. Packers 69.52%

27. 49ers 70.17%
28. Eagles 71.67%
29. Steelers 72.81%
30. Patriots 75.00%

31. Colts 81.43%

32. Browns 90.63%

I also will vote to remove the lock option.

WweJth posted...

I also will vote to remove the lock option.

I fourthly will vote to remove the lock option.

I'll go ahead and @ everyone else just in case they haven't read through the topic yet but would want to vote prior to tomorrow's deadline.

@foxhead84 @terpaholic @Crescent-Moon @Buffy_Summers

Can't decide what to think about the LOCK option. I'll go with whatever everyone wish.

i'm ok with whatever

Oh yeah, and I need a volunteer to take mine and Crescent's picks.

I don't mind doing that but I probably won't be able to post them here once the game starts.

It's fun to follow the game knowing what you need to win. So you might want to go with someone who can post them as soon as the game starts

I also don't mind doing it, and I should be able to post them when the game starts since it's the early game Saturday.

Sent my pick to thewesomestevr (who is the awesomest ever for doing it! Sorry, couldn't resist the terrible joke)

I've read that username a hundred times and only now realized that that is what it was supposed to be.

So, do we have to choose to LOCK or pick or it have been remove as a tiebreaker

Crescent nor terpaholic voted, so we'll continue using the lock for this week. But it might be gone next week if everyone remaining has voted against it.

I am against LOCK as a tiebreaker.

7/8 seems like a solid number.

My pick is in.

Ashethan posted...

Sent my pick to thewesomestevr (who is the awesomest ever for doing it! Sorry, couldn't resist the terrible joke)

Figured since I may not have the chance to post until kick-off tomorrow I'd go ahead and confirm this to make it clear I have received said pick (well, I assume that's what's in the PM since I haven't opened it yet), and I'll also take this opportunity to remind @Crescent-Moon that there's about 13 hours and 35 minutes at the time of this posting until the game starts Saturday assuming this listing of 4:35 PM EST I'm looking at for Falcons @ Eagles is accurate!

I don't think Crescent has been on since last Sunday.

I am not native to this community. I mostly only show up if I have a reason to or simply on a whim.

Considering the game starts in 30 minutes anyway.. I see no reason to bother with the PM.

1. Which team will win -- and by how much? Falcons 26, Eagles 20
2. Do you LOCK your pick in? Nope.
3. Pick a Spread that will make your team win in the event you both pick the wrong team - Falcons +3.5 (This would be them losing by a exactly field goal, to be certain?)
4. How many points will be scored in the game - 46
5. How many passing yards will be thrown in the game - 389
6. How many rushing yards will be rushed for in the game? - 225
Bonus: Do you wish to remove the LOCK tiebreaker? (A unanimous decision by all remaining players removes the LOCK tiebreaker) - Pretty useless as is. It would not be missed in this current format.

So we're all in agreement about the lock, then.

Ashethan's picks:

1. Atlanta Falcons by 7
2. No
3. Falcons +10.5
4. 41
5. 410
6. 212

Win Scenarios:

If the Falcons win by 6 or less, Crescent advances
If the Falcons win by 7 or more, I advance

If the Eagles win by 3 or less, Crescent advances
If the Eagles win by between 4 and 10 points, I advance
If the Eagles win by more than 10 points and the score is 44 or above, Crescent advances
If the Eagles win by more than 10 points and the score is 43 or less, I advance

I think I misinterpreted the spread tiebreaker or I probably would have gone a little higher, so that's an oops.

Earlier this week I had the Falcons at 28 points but... That would assume 4 touchdowns and no field goals for a team that kicks a lot of field goals and struggles in the red zone, so I made it more realistic even if it might backfire. I have little faith in the Eagles' offense (That first-play fumble did not help their stock).

Of course the Falcons will probably settle for a field goal because it's what they do...

I advance!

Doubt either participant will pick the Titans tonight, and not that anyone cares what I think about tonight's game, but I want to go on the record as taking the Tennessee Titans WITH A LOCK!

WweJth
1. Which team will win -- and by how much?
Patriots by 16
2. Pick a Spread that will make your team win in the event you both pick the wrong team (Ex: Jets +3.5)
Pats (+17.5)
3. Do you LOCK your pick in? (If needed)
YEP
4. How many points will be scored in the game?
46
5. How many passing yards will be thrown in the game?
530
6. How many rushing yards will be rushed for in the game?
165

vs

terpaholic
1. Which team will win -- and by how much?
Patriots by 10.
2. Pick a Spread that will make your team win in the event you both pick the wrong team.
Pats +3.5
3. Do you LOCK your pick in? Yes
4. How many points will be scored in the game?
45
5. How many passing yards will be thrown in the game?
500
6. How many rushing yards will be rushed for in the game?
220

If the Patriots win by 12 points or less, terpaholic advances.
If the Patriots win by 14 points or more, WweJth advances
If the Patriots win by 13 points, and 46 or more points are scored, Wwejth advances
If the Patriots win by 13 points, and 45 or fewer poitns are scored, terpaholic advances

If the Titans win by 3 or fewer points, terpaholic advances
If the Titans win between 4 and 17 points, WweJth advances
If the Titans win by more than 17 points, and 46 or more points are scored, Wwejth advances
If the Titans win by more than 17 points, and 45 or fewer points are scored, terpaholic advances

Good luck Terp

pick sent

WweJth advances!

Ashethan posted...

WweJth advances!

Looks like you and I get the Phi game regardless of opponent, Best of luck next week Ashethan.

Yeah, I was about to check that, then I was like "Nah, I'll wait until tomorrow."

Best of luck to you, too!

Davidponte
1. Pittsburgh by 7
2. YES (but feel free to remove the lock)
3. Steelers +4.5
4. 40
5. 400
6. 250

vs

Buffy_Summers
1. Pittsburgh by 10
2. Yes
3. Pittsburgh +7.5
4. 38
5. 364
6. 205

Win Scenarios:

-If the Steelers win by 8 or less, davidponte advances
-If the Steelers win by 9 or more, Buffy_Summers advances

-If the Jaguars win by 4 or less, davidponte advances
-If the Jaguars win by 5, 6, or 7, Buffy_Summers advances
-If the Jaguars win by more than 8, and the score is 40 or more, davidponte advances
-If the Jaguars win by more than 8, and the score is 38 or less, Buffy_Summers advances
-If the Jaguars win by more than 8, and the score is 39, and the passing yards are 383 or more, davidponte advances
-If the Jaguars win by more than 8, and the score is 39, and the passing yards are 381 or less, Buffy_Summers advances
-If the Jaguars win by more than 8, the score is 39, and the passing yards are 382, and the rushing yards are 228 or more, davidponte advances
-If the Jaguars win by more than 8, the score is 39, the passing yards are 382 and the rushing yards are 227 or less, Buffy_Summers advances

That was close.

davidponte advances!

foxhead84
1. Who will win: Saints by 3
2. Do you LOCK: NO
3. Spread that will make it win if team lose: Saints +4.5
4. how many point total in that game: 48 points
5. How many passing yard: 501 passing yards
6. How many rushing yard: 232 rushing yards

vs

theawesomestevr
1. Which team will win -- and by how much?
Vikings by 5
2. Pick a Spread that will make your team win in the event you both pick the wrong team (Ex: Jets +3.5)
Vikings +3.5
3. Do you LOCK your pick in?
No
4. How many points will be scored in the game
48
5. How many passing yards will be thrown in the game
502
6. How many rushing yards will be rushed for in the game?
172

Win Scenarios:
If the Saints win, foxhead84 advances
If the Vikings win, theawesomestevr advances

Next week's schedule:

If the Vikings win:

Ashethan vs Wwejth
Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles

theawesomestevr vs davidponte
Jacksonville Jaguars @ New England Patriots

If the Saints win:

Ashethan vs Wwejth
New Orelans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles

foxhead84 vs davidponte
Jacksonville Jaguars @ New England Patriots

theawesomestevr advances!

Of all the sickening ways I've been eliminated in the past, I don't think I've ever been killed on a beat as bad as Foxhead's.

Just brutal.

Wow, I sure dodged a few bullets on that last play! Good thing I didn't have to pick the Pats/Titans game this week. >_>

Meow1000 posted...

Of all the sickening ways I've been eliminated in the past, I don't think I've ever been killed on a beat as bad as Foxhead's.

Just brutal.

I also picked the Colts in this league in that playoff game against the Chiefs a few years back when the Colts trailed at one point by 28. I feel pretty bad for whoever it was that lost out on that one.

theawesomestevr posted...

Meow1000 posted...

Of all the sickening ways I've been eliminated in the past, I don't think I've ever been killed on a beat as bad as Foxhead's.

Just brutal.

I also picked the Colts in this league in that playoff game against the Chiefs a few years back when the Colts trailed at one point by 28. I feel pretty bad for whoever it was that lost out on that one.

I lost the year SEA came back to beat GB in the NFC Title game (All GB had to do was win), I even archived the PM to remember that tragedy. lol

last years super bowl was painful for me. Can't remember KCF's pick, but it was pretty obvious I was going to win... right until the Patriots made their ridiculous comeback. *shakes fist at Mike Smith*