Amuseum posted...
70 years since the last nuclear bomb. So why are we so afraid of north korea and Iran using bombs? according to statistics, the chances of nuclear bomb killing anyone is effectively zero.
Right, because thats not risk assessment work. You cant neglect the potential harm from stats.
Because Muslims aren't nukes. You let a Muslim into a country, 99.9999 times out of a hundred, they're just going to go about their lives no differently from anyone else. You drop a nuke on a city? We do have pretty solid mortality stats for what that can do.
You absolutely can assess risk from annual stats when the cause did happen in those years. You'd have to completely ignore the principle of cause and effect to not see the flaw in "nobody died from nukes in years where no nukes were dropped on people."
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