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The Great Muta 22

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Last Post: 4:00:48pm, 02/20/2018
GregShmedley posted...
This. Complacency is a bitch; if they want to win, they better come out and play.


I really don't think this is going to be a problem and if so, I see it damaging the Republicans more than the Democrats this time around. The idea that "Democrats are lazy for midterms" screams of a narrative that doesn't accurately represent things prior to Obama's win, nor does it reflect all sorts of elections we've seen since November 2016. I was hedging my bets earlier on during the special elections despite them showing a stronger Democrat turnout, especially early on, but after the results in Virginia it was evident more than ever that the enthusiasm isn't going away on the left. Likewise the grassroots push for the Democrats is far higher than I ever remember it being in quite some time, with more of a coordinated effort to push everywhere as much as possible.

And as for Republicans, I don't know how much rub he's going to be able to give voters to go out and vote to keep everyone in power. The Republican party revolting back against the Democrats was something that slowly built up over the last decade until they eventually took Congress and the Presidency. However maintaining that passion is far harder than to build it up.

This doesn't take into account a House map that is really unfavorable for Republican. I expect them to keep the Senate, though some states will flip around. But the House is extremely vulnerable.
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