Current Events > Never knew the Nebraska Senate race was so close

(+) Yeah! (+)

Went to 538 and saw that the polls there have the independent, who seems like a guy who would caucus with Democrats more than Republicans, up a few points.

I expect West Virginia is a lost cause which means Democrats would have a shot at maintaining a 50/50 Senate at best if no surprises come about, and lose the senate most expectedly should Montana drop Tester. But should Montana lose Tester and Osborn were to win and caucus with the Democrats, maybe there will be some holding of the Senate afterall still.

It's a trump card I didn't expect. Of course, he might not caucus with Democrats or might even be another Joe Manchin, but he's giving me another possible safety net for the Senate.

Abolish the Senate

Lonestar2000 posted...

Abolish the Senate

And expand the House while we're at it.

Sayoria posted...

Went to 538 and saw that the polls there have the independent, who seems like a guy who would caucus with Democrats more than Republicans, up a few points.

I expect West Virginia is a lost cause which means Democrats would have a shot at maintaining a 50/50 Senate at best if no surprises come about, and lose the senate most expectedly should Montana drop Tester. But should Montana lose Tester and Osborn were to win and caucus with the Democrats, maybe there will be some holding of the Senate afterall still.

It's a trump card I didn't expect. Of course, he might not caucus with Democrats or might even be another Joe Manchin, but he's giving me another possible safety net for the Senate.

I wouldnt bet on Osborn unless hes consistently polling above 50. Likely that undecideds will break for Fischer

I can't think of anything Fischer has actually done for the state, or really any Republican currently running. Their ads are always just about how evil and radical the Democrat running against them is, there's never anything about why you should vote forthem, just against the Democrat.

but I can't blame them, that shit is clearly working because a good portion of this state's population is dumb as fuck.

LightSnake posted...

I wouldnt bet on Osborn unless hes consistently polling above 50. Likely that undecideds will break for Fischer

We'll see. I kinda expect there to be an uncounted wave of post-roe women who are going to be vocal this election cycle that's being mis-counted. I'm curious how it will go.

Media wants you to believe Harris and Trump are tied in the national popular vote, meanwhile Republicans are losing in Nebraska

That Republicans are dead set on returning to winner-take-all shows there is an undercurrent that Omaha and Lincoln are starting to tip the balance.

That said, Fischer is still the favorite.

I'm seeing a shitload of Harris/blue dot signs around Omaha lately. I know obviously signs aren't votes but it's giving me hope.

ThePieReborn posted...

That Republicans are dead set on returning to winner-take-all shows there is an undercurrent that Omaha and Lincoln are starting to tip the balance.

That said, Fischer is still the favorite.

It made me laugh when Pillen (or maybe it was Trump?) said that they were disappointed Nebraska didn't go with winner take all because now Nebraskan voters won't be heard.

If a district votes overwhelmingly for one candidate but the rest of the state votes for the other candidate and then that other candidate gets all the votes, that means the people in that district's voices were flat out ignored.

littlebro07 posted...

I'm seeing a shitload of Harris/blue dot signs around Omaha lately. I know obviously signs aren't votes but it's giving me hope.

Omaha is a bluer city, being fair. Hoping it's a trend