Board 8 > NFL Pick'em Topic: Divisional Round

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Emeraldegg
01/13/21 5:28:55 PM
#1:


Hello our final 8! Half will continue onward to glory, half will be done until next season. Don't forget to still send picks to Wiggumfan267 and to pick tiebreakers!

Saturday, January 16th
4:30 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers
8 PM ET
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills

Sunday, January 17th
3 PM ET
Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs
6:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints

TB1: Pick any team to throw for 300 or more yards passing (again, as a team)
TB2: Guess the # of interceptions thrown in the CLE/KC game
TB3: Guess the # of rushing yards total across ALL games this weekend
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Emeraldegg
01/13/21 5:29:51 PM
#2:


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Whiskey_Nick
01/13/21 5:52:51 PM
#3:


Packers
Bills
Chiefs
Saints

KC
3
888

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I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays!
UotY 2015, You should listen to The Show w/ Ngamer and Yoblazer
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Cody11533
01/13/21 8:47:12 PM
#4:


Time to blow the best season I'll ever have, best of luck everyone.
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foxhead84
01/14/21 11:35:52 AM
#5:


Just to be sure BEFORE we start =)

About TB2, do we have to get the number right in order to win the TB or the closest to the number wins it (exemple: I say 5 and everybody else say 4. If the correct number is 6, do I win or we all go to TB3)
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Emeraldegg
01/14/21 12:40:09 PM
#6:


Closest number wins, and it will cascade to the next closest for the remaining spots unless there are multiple people with the same gap.

Say there's 5 people tied before TBs. All 5 get TB1 correct. Picks thrown = 6, 3 people say 5 and 2 people say 4. Those 3 people who guessed 5 are safe, the remaining 2 move to TB3.

Say that same scenario but only 1 person picks 5, 2 people pick 4, 1 picks 3, and 1 picks 2. THe person who picked 5 obviously is closest, then the next 2 closest get in, then the last spot is the person who picked 3 as the next next closest, whereas if the final 2 people had picked 3, they'd be tied and would therefore go to the last TB.
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thekitchensink
01/14/21 4:50:08 PM
#7:


Congrats to all those who advanced! I'm happy to just watch the divisional round with no stake in who wins. Hooray, neutrality!

Since I missed the tiebreaker discussion in the last topic, here's my 2 cents:

I thought the tiebreakers were fine, and I don't think TB1 read at all as if the second closest would be correct if no one got the closest. In my mind, nobody getting TB1 right just means we all 'tied' at getting that tiebreaker wrong, so it moves onto the next tiebreaker.

I think the important thing is to have TBs that "increase in scope", if you will, so that the set of possible answers to the TB questions gets bigger as you go further down. I assumed that was why you picked what you did for TB3 - because while, yes, it was technically possible to tie that one as well, picking a single number out of hundreds of possibilities (let's say, 80-300+ yards) is nigh-impossible to tie compared to, effectively, picking a single number out of 6 (which of the 6 games will have the greatest margin) or out of 12 (which of the 12 teams has the highest rush yards).

If there was a mistake, it may just have been doing 2 "team-scope" TBs for the both TB1 and TB2. I like having TB1 be team-based as it fits with the competition the rest of the year, but perhaps TB2 should then be player-based, so that there are maybe 20-30 different options (how many players in all games combined will have at least 40 rec yards? etc.), and then TB3 is yards-based, so there are hundreds of different options.

The other key thing to note is whether the chosen TBs are discrete or relative. Discrete ones, like picking the teams, can just be "right" or "wrong". But relative TBs, like the yards guesses, can be compared by distance from the correct answer. Maybe TBs 2 and 3 should be relative ones, to reduce the possibility of a tie all the way down.

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- TKS -
The Witness
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Xuxon
01/17/21 7:06:17 PM
#8:


so i'm 3-0 and have the Saints but i missed TB1. 1 off on TB2. hope you guys picked some upsets, or at least were crazy enough not to pick the Chiefs for TB1 like me.

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DoomTheGyarados
01/17/21 7:08:39 PM
#9:


3-0 with Tampa, because I don't care if I lose for being a homer <_<

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Sir Chris
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MysteriousStan
01/17/21 7:25:56 PM
#10:


Xuxon posted...
so i'm 3-0 and have the Saints but i missed TB1. 1 off on TB2. hope you guys picked some upsets, or at least were crazy enough not to pick the Chiefs for TB1 like me.
Exactly the same here.
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DpObliVion
01/17/21 7:41:29 PM
#11:


I'm also 3-0 with Tampa

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LGM
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Emeraldegg
01/17/21 8:12:32 PM
#12:


Also 3-0 with tampa but I'm way off on TB2 so I need a miracle I think
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foxhead84
01/17/21 9:55:24 PM
#13:


Green Bay Packers
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

TB 1: Kansas City Chiefs
TB 2: 2
TB 3: 1002 yards

So 3-1 but pretty good with my TB (total yard is 933)
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Emeraldegg
01/17/21 10:07:03 PM
#14:


https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/158285888399343617/800554608556376114/unknown.png

Myself, DP, and Chris all went 4-0, so we advance.
Everyone else went 3-1 soooo...
TB1: Chiefs were the only team picked that went 300+. Xuxon is eliminated.
TB2: So many people picked 2 right on the dot, well done! No one is eliminated here.
TB3: 932 total rushing yards among all games. Lefty and Xuxon (who was elim'd sadly) both went 948, good for within 16 yards, so Lefty takes the final spot!

Good season to everyone who dropped out, I'll see the remaining contestants next week!
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Xuxon
01/17/21 10:20:54 PM
#15:


lol i wonder if lefty went with the same strategy as me for TB3. i just averaged the 8 teams' rushing yards and rushing yards allowed.

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MysteriousStan
01/17/21 10:31:22 PM
#16:


Damn. Was thinking of switching to the Bucs too. Oh well, congrats everyone!
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th3l3fty
01/17/21 10:36:20 PM
#17:


Xuxon posted...
lol i wonder if lefty went with the same strategy as me for TB3. i just averaged the 8 teams' rushing yards and rushing yards allowed.

yeah, I laughed when Wigs posted the breakdown because I knew that was no coincidence
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