Poll of the Day > Even closer to the election, FiveThirtyEight gives Biden a 89% chance to win.

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Judgmenl 10/29/20 9:21:58 AM #1:	Good thing Trump grew a mainly oblivious voter base which doesn't even realize we're living in a pandemic, ok? --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:946448465] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote> Good thing Trump grew a mainly oblivious voter base which doesn't even realize we're living in a pandemic, ok? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FatalAccident 10/29/20 9:25:13 AM #2:	That one in the middle, no electoral college majority, house decided the election. Wtf is that about. if theres a straight up tie then congress flips a coin to who becomes president? --- walks away <cite>FatalAccident posted [p:946448560] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>That one in the middle, no electoral college majority, house decided the election. Wtf is that about. if theres a straight up tie then congress flips a coin to who becomes president? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 10/29/20 9:25:49 AM #3:	FatalAccident posted... if theres a straight up tie then congress flips a coin to who becomes president? House votes for the President in an Electoral College tie. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:946448571] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>if theres a straight up tie then congress flips a coin to who becomes president?</quote>House votes for the President in an Electoral College tie. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FatalAccident 10/29/20 9:26:12 AM #4:	What is the house ? --- walks away <cite>FatalAccident posted [p:946448586] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>What is the house ? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 10/29/20 9:27:13 AM #5:	FatalAccident posted... What is the house ? Are you not American? Edit: It's the half of Congress that's not the Senate. The one you mainly don't hear about. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:946448614] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>What is the house ?</quote>Are you not American? Edit: It's the half of Congress that's not the Senate. The one you mainly don't hear about. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FatalAccident 10/29/20 9:31:55 AM #6:	Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario? --- walks away <cite>FatalAccident posted [p:946448739] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 10/29/20 9:35:09 AM #7:	FatalAccident posted... Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario? The House has had a Democrat majority ever since 2018. The Senate is the one that's Republican controlled right now. In a case of the tie, things get weird tho. The House doesn't vote like it would normally (House has representatives from the states based on population instead of 2 per state), they instead get 1 vote per state, which would be interesting to see in states that have both Republican and Democrat Representatives. Tie is still very unlikely anyways. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:946448832] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario?</quote>The House has had a Democrat majority ever since 2018. The Senate is the one that's Republican controlled right now. In a case of the tie, things get weird tho. The House doesn't vote like it would normally (House has representatives from the states based on population instead of 2 per state), they instead get 1 vote per state, which would be interesting to see in states that have both Republican and Democrat Representatives. Tie is still very unlikely anyways. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Serrin 10/29/20 9:35:52 AM #8:	FatalAccident posted... Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario? The House currently has a democratic party majority. FiveThirtyEight did a similar prediction last election. Their poll and other similar polls caused many people to stay home and helped Trump massively. --- PSN:Serrin XBL:Synthed <cite>Serrin posted [p:946448854] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario?</quote> The House currently has a democratic party majority.FiveThirtyEight did a similar prediction last election. Their poll and other similar polls caused many people to stay home and helped Trump massively.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 10/29/20 9:38:10 AM #9:	Serrin posted... 1. The House currently has a democratic party majority. 2. FiveThirtyEight did a similar prediction last election. Their poll and other similar polls caused many people to stay home and helped Trump massively. vs Plus the methodology changed, and is now stricter than it was in 2016. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:946448913] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Serrin posted... </cite> <quote>1. The House currently has a democratic party majority. 2. FiveThirtyEight did a similar prediction last election. Their poll and other similar polls caused many people to stay home and helped Trump massively.</quote> vs Plus the methodology changed, and is now stricter than it was in 2016. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Clench281 10/29/20 9:42:44 AM #10:	FatalAccident posted... Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario? The House is made up of representatives across the USA. States are split up into districts roughly equal in population size (with a minimum of one, even if a state has lower population than the average district) to total 435 congressional districts. The apportioning is redone every ten years according to the census. Currently the house's composition is Majority Democratic (232) Minority Republican (197) Other Libertarian (1) --- Take me for what I am -- who I was meant to be. And if you give a damn, take me baby, or leave me. <cite>Clench281 posted [p:946449036] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario?</quote> The House is made up of representatives across the USA. States are split up into districts roughly equal in population size (with a minimum of one, even if a state has lower population than the average district) to total 435 congressional districts. The apportioning is redone every ten years according to the census. Currently the house's composition is Majority Democratic (232) Minority Republican (197) Other Libertarian (1) </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FatalAccident 10/29/20 9:43:29 AM #11:	Ooh okay makes sense --- walks away <cite>FatalAccident posted [p:946449063] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Ooh okay makes sense </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
streamofthesky 10/29/20 9:47:03 AM #12:	538 needs to kindly shut the fuck up and quit making people complacent. Report on state polling, sure. these fucking gambling odds for the overall election are cancerous, though Judgmenl posted... House votes for the President in an Electoral College tie. If only it were that fair (which it already arguably wouldn't be) It's actually not just a straight up House vote. It's like one vote per state. Which means Republicans auto-win, b/c they control more states (but less population). Which makes you wonder why the fuck it isn't just a Senate vote at that point, since that's the branch of Congress that's equal representation for each state... FatalAccident posted... Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario? Dems control the House now and are pretty much certain to next year as well, though. But it doesn't matter, b/c the people who wrote the Constitution didn't expect our politics to devolve into hyper partisan two party warfare. I mean, they should have...they're the ones that set us up to fail w/ first past the post voting and the electoral college, but yeah. Anyway, a tie = Trump victory. <cite>streamofthesky posted [p:946449180] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>538 needs to kindly shut the fuck up and quit making people complacent. Report on state polling, sure. these fucking gambling odds for the overall election are cancerous, though Judgmenl posted... </cite> <quote>House votes for the President in an Electoral College tie.</quote>If only it were that fair (which it already arguably wouldn't be) It's actually not just a straight up House vote. It's like one vote per state. Which means Republicans auto-win, b/c they control more states (but less population). Which makes you wonder why the fuck it isn't just a Senate vote at that point, since that's the branch of Congress that's equal representation for each state... FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario?</quote>Dems control the House now and are pretty much certain to next year as well, though. But it doesn't matter, b/c the people who wrote the Constitution didn't expect our politics to devolve into hyper partisan two party warfare. I mean, they should have...they're the ones that set us up to fail w/ first past the post voting and the electoral college, but yeah. Anyway, a tie = Trump victory. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Clench281 10/29/20 10:29:19 AM #13:	streamofthesky posted... It's actually not just a straight up House vote. It's like one vote per state. Which means Republicans auto-win, b/c they control more states (but less population). The new house would be the one to make the vote, and it has to be a majority (26 states), right? If republicans currently have 26 states, losing one state would make it unresolvable, wouldn't it? (Though the senate would end up selecting Pence as VP) --- Take me for what I am -- who I was meant to be. And if you give a damn, take me baby, or leave me. <cite>Clench281 posted [p:946450461] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>streamofthesky posted... </cite> <quote>It's actually not just a straight up House vote. It's like one vote per state. Which means Republicans auto-win, b/c they control more states (but less population). </quote> The new house would be the one to make the vote, and it has to be a majority (26 states), right? If republicans currently have 26 states, losing one state would make it unresolvable, wouldn't it? (Though the senate would end up selecting Pence as VP) </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
YoukaiSlayer 10/29/20 10:32:23 AM #14:	11% chance of doom is still higher than I'd like. --- I'm ninja (you can't see me) <cite>YoukaiSlayer posted [p:946450568] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>11% chance of doom is still higher than I'd like. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BADoglick 10/29/20 10:35:50 AM #15:	I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong --- BADoglick to the Max! <cite>BADoglick posted [p:946450680] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FatalAccident 10/29/20 10:38:10 AM #16:	BADoglick posted... I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong Pretty sure youre right, Biden wouldnt fill me with much confidence from what Ive seen of him so far. --- walks away <cite>FatalAccident posted [p:946450765] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>BADoglick posted... </cite> <quote>I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong</quote>Pretty sure youre right, Biden wouldnt fill me with much confidence from what Ive seen of him so far. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
kind9 10/29/20 10:46:04 AM #17:	FatalAccident posted... Pretty sure youre right, Biden wouldnt fill me with much confidence from what Ive seen of him so far. Is it that you disagree with things he has said or is it that he's just another career politician spouting empty platitudes? Just curious. I watched the debates and honestly I didn't hear much from Biden that I didn't like, but his answers were essentially "my plan is to have a plan." At least he'll re-join the climate accord, and he stated that he'll make China abide by it as well. I think I'm heavily biased just because he's not Trump. --- https://imgur.com/NkZUeFd <cite>kind9 posted [p:946451043] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>Pretty sure youre right, Biden wouldnt fill me with much confidence from what Ive seen of him so far.</quote>Is it that you disagree with things he has said or is it that he's just another career politician spouting empty platitudes? Just curious. I watched the debates and honestly I didn't hear much from Biden that I didn't like, but his answers were essentially "my plan is to have a plan." At least he'll re-join the climate accord, and he stated that he'll make China abide by it as well. I think I'm heavily biased just because he's not Trump. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FatalAccident 10/29/20 10:51:35 AM #18:	kind9 posted... Is it that you disagree with things he has said or is it that he's just another career politician spouting empty platitudes? Just curious. I watched the debates and honestly I didn't hear much from Biden that I didn't like, but his answers were essentially "my plan is to have a plan." At least he'll re-join the climate accord, and he stated that he'll make China abide by it as well. I think I'm heavily biased just because he's not Trump. I dont disagree with what hes planning to do, most of it sounds great. However some of it sounds like typical political empty promises with little detail. And I didnt see him be forceful enough with Trump when trump started accusing him of taking money from Russia etc etc. He just seems like a wet fish. I was expecting someone to really put Trump in his place during the debates, be forceful with facts and numbers and call out trumps lies or bending of the truth, he didnt really do that. I dont really see a compelling argument for Biden other than hes not Trump. --- walks away <cite>FatalAccident posted [p:946451218] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>kind9 posted... </cite> <quote>Is it that you disagree with things he has said or is it that he's just another career politician spouting empty platitudes? Just curious. I watched the debates and honestly I didn't hear much from Biden that I didn't like, but his answers were essentially "my plan is to have a plan." At least he'll re-join the climate accord, and he stated that he'll make China abide by it as well. I think I'm heavily biased just because he's not Trump.</quote>I dont disagree with what hes planning to do, most of it sounds great. However some of it sounds like typical political empty promises with little detail. And I didnt see him be forceful enough with Trump when trump started accusing him of taking money from Russia etc etc. He just seems like a wet fish. I was expecting someone to really put Trump in his place during the debates, be forceful with facts and numbers and call out trumps lies or bending of the truth, he didnt really do that. I dont really see a compelling argument for Biden other than hes not Trump. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
DarkBuster22904 10/29/20 10:51:50 AM #19:	BADoglick posted... I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong oh, you're definitely right. the problem is you're looking at the wrong metrics. This isnt MAGA lovers vs Biden lovers this is MAGA lovers vs people who hate Trump doesn't matter if they're unenthusiastic about Biden. Do they hate Trump deeply enough to vote for anyone who isn't Trump, who, in this case, is Biden That number swings much better in Biden favor. Not only has Trump embittered a lot of people since 2016, but Biden also isn't as hated nearly as much as Hillary was. People may be unenthusiastic about Biden, but there's a lot less people who feel like they'd have to plug their nose while voting for him. --- Haven't had a good sig idea since 2006 <cite>DarkBuster22904 posted [p:946451230] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>BADoglick posted... </cite> <quote>I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong</quote>oh, you're definitely right. the problem is you're looking at the wrong metrics. This isnt MAGA lovers vs Biden lovers this is MAGA lovers vs people who hate Trump doesn't matter if they're unenthusiastic about Biden. Do they hate Trump deeply enough to vote for anyone who isn't Trump, who, in this case, is Biden That number swings much better in Biden favor. Not only has Trump embittered a lot of people since 2016, but Biden also isn't as hated nearly as much as Hillary was. People may be unenthusiastic about Biden, but there's a lot less people who feel like they'd have to plug their nose while voting for him. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Zeus 10/29/20 1:56:40 PM #20:	At this point, I'd really take 538 with a grain of salt. And I'm sure part of their "methodology" simply involves a biased doubling-down against Trump to discourage Trump voters from going to vote. Otherwise -- because no link is provided -- I'm wondering to what extent they've factored in the reject rate on mail-in ballots in their calculations. --- (\/)(\/)\|-\| There are precious few at ease / With moral ambiguities / So we act as though they don't exist. <cite>Zeus posted [p:946458471] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>At this point, I'd really take 538 with a grain of salt. And I'm sure part of their "methodology" simply involves a biased doubling-down against Trump to discourage Trump voters from going to vote. Otherwise -- because no link is provided -- I'm wondering to what extent they've factored in the reject rate on mail-in ballots in their calculations. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Zeus 10/30/20 9:58:47 PM #21:	By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee --- (\/)(\/)\|-\| There are precious few at ease / With moral ambiguities / So we act as though they don't exist. <cite>Zeus posted [p:946518622] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Zareth 10/31/20 12:54:49 AM #22:	That's not a very good Biden mask. Kind of just looks like an old dude. --- It's okay, I have no idea who I am either. https://imgur.com/WOo6wcq <cite>Zareth posted [p:946523768] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>That's not a very good Biden mask. Kind of just looks like an old dude. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Smarkil 10/31/20 2:36:14 AM #23:	FatalAccident posted... That one in the middle, no electoral college majority, house decided the election. Wtf is that about. if theres a straight up tie then congress flips a coin to who becomes president? It's next to impossible for a tie to occur - I think its only happened a couple times in US history but the house votes for the Pres and the Senate votes for the Vice Pres. Theoretically we could have something like a Biden Pres and a Pence Vice Pres. --- I promise that if the game stinks I will make a topic about how I hate it and you can all laugh at me - Mead on Fallout 76 <cite>Smarkil posted [p:946525741] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>That one in the middle, no electoral college majority, house decided the election. Wtf is that about. if theres a straight up tie then congress flips a coin to who becomes president?</quote> It's next to impossible for a tie to occur - I think its only happened a couple times in US history but the house votes for the Pres and the Senate votes for the Vice Pres. Theoretically we could have something like a Biden Pres and a Pence Vice Pres. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 10/31/20 8:15:35 AM #24:	90% now. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:946530428] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote> 90% now. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
DrPrimemaster 10/31/20 9:06:00 AM #25:	What are these polls based on, they seem useless to me. --- Metroids Suck <cite>DrPrimemaster posted [p:946531296] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>What are these polls based on, they seem useless to me. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Unbridled9 10/31/20 10:24:25 AM #26:	Zeus posted... By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee Considering that this is 2020 one more sudden upset wouldn't be unusual. Thing is I can see BOTH democrats and republicans buying masks to scare their friends and everything. However I do remember also hearing about that chinese town that makes the election stuff saying that they can't keep the Trump stuff in stock because it's selling too fast but the Biden stuff, nobody wants it. I also live in a liberal part of the country but it is only, like, two weeks ago I saw my first Biden sign but Trump signs are everywheres. Of course this could also just be that the Trump supporters are in the minority but REALLY enthusiastic while the rest of America supports Biden but just doesn't really care about him other than that he's running against Trump. That would also explain the discrepancy. However I feel the most telling thing is the Hunter Biden scandal. While the media has tried to squash the story you don't see them calling it an outright lie or the like. To me that says that they either don't expect to win or, if they do win, they're going to use it to oust Biden and put in Harris. Their talk of using the 25th amendment leads me to suspect the latter (cause do you seriously think they're gonna convince Pence to oust Trump? With only a few days to election to boot? Even if everything goes their way they'd only have him out for, what, two months at most?) and if the public has picked up on that they may not vote Biden because they realize that they're actually voting for Harris. --- I am the gentle hand who heals, the happy smile who shields, and the foot that will kick your ***! - White Mage <cite>Unbridled9 posted [p:946532983] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Zeus posted... </cite> <quote>By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee</quote> Considering that this is 2020 one more sudden upset wouldn't be unusual. Thing is I can see BOTH democrats and republicans buying masks to scare their friends and everything. However I do remember also hearing about that chinese town that makes the election stuff saying that they can't keep the Trump stuff in stock because it's selling too fast but the Biden stuff, nobody wants it. I also live in a liberal part of the country but it is only, like, two weeks ago I saw my first Biden sign but Trump signs are everywheres. Of course this could also just be that the Trump supporters are in the minority but REALLY enthusiastic while the rest of America supports Biden but just doesn't really care about him other than that he's running against Trump. That would also explain the discrepancy. However I feel the most telling thing is the Hunter Biden scandal. While the media has tried to squash the story you don't see them calling it an outright lie or the like. To me that says that they either don't expect to win or, if they do win, they're going to use it to oust Biden and put in Harris. Their talk of using the 25th amendment leads me to suspect the latter (cause do you seriously think they're gonna convince Pence to oust Trump? With only a few days to election to boot? Even if everything goes their way they'd only have him out for, what, two months at most?) and if the public has picked up on that they may not vote Biden because they realize that they're actually voting for Harris. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Clench281 10/31/20 10:29:33 AM #27:	Unbridled9 posted... However I feel the most telling thing is the Hunter Biden scandal. The one that Tucker claims to have damning evidence about, and decided last minute to have a change of heart and not release, even though it's totally real just like his girlfriend in Canada --- Take me for what I am -- who I was meant to be. And if you give a damn, take me baby, or leave me. <cite>Clench281 posted [p:946533118] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Unbridled9 posted... </cite> <quote>However I feel the most telling thing is the Hunter Biden scandal.</quote> The one that Tucker claims to have damning evidence about, and decided last minute to have a change of heart and not release, even though it's totally real just like his girlfriend in Canada </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Mead 10/31/20 10:39:33 AM #28:	DrPrimemaster posted... What are these polls based on, they seem useless to me. current national polls and the electoral map to 270 electoral votes trump can win, but hell essentially need to win 4-5 swing states where polls show he isnt leading if Biden wins ANY of those states, then theres practically no way for Trump to get enough electoral votes --- The Betrayer <cite>Mead posted [p:946533361] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>DrPrimemaster posted... </cite> <quote>What are these polls based on, they seem useless to me.</quote> current national polls and the electoral map to 270 electoral votes trump can win, but hell essentially need to win 4-5 swing states where polls show he isnt leading if Biden wins ANY of those states, then theres practically no way for Trump to get enough electoral votes </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Justin2Krelian 10/31/20 11:14:09 AM #29:	Zeus posted... By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee Trump is definitely the star of this election, if Biden wins it's because the sentiments against win out over the support for him. --- -J2K "And who are you? The proud Lord Zedd!" <cite>Justin2Krelian posted [p:946534349] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Zeus posted... </cite> <quote>By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee</quote> Trump is definitely the star of this election, if Biden wins it's because the sentiments against win out over the support for him. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
kind9 10/31/20 11:23:45 AM #30:	Yeah this election is Trump vs. not-Trump. Trump is the president of Republicans, he doesn't even want the rest of us behind him. He has to go, and hopefully sooner rather than later. --- https://imgur.com/NkZUeFd <cite>kind9 posted [p:946534615] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Yeah this election is Trump vs. not-Trump. Trump is the president of Republicans, he doesn't even want the rest of us behind him. He has to go, and hopefully sooner rather than later. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Veedrock- 10/31/20 11:30:38 AM #31:	2016: Don't vote, we got this anyways. 2020: Vote, we got this anyways. --- My friends call me Vee. I'm not your friend, buddy. <cite>Veedrock- posted [p:946534804] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>2016: Don't vote, we got this anyways. 2020: Vote, we got this anyways. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Shadowbird_RH 10/31/20 12:16:18 PM #32:	Veedrock- posted... 2016: Don't vote, we got this anyways. 2020: Vote, we got this anyways. The concept of learning from your mistakes is that hard for you to understand? Eh, not surprising. --- Fail, and we all face a tyrannical age of pizza the likes of which sentient life has never known. - Sun'barac, Xenoblade Chronicles X <cite>Shadowbird_RH posted [p:946536238] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Veedrock- posted... </cite> <quote>2016: Don't vote, we got this anyways. 2020: Vote, we got this anyways. </quote>The concept of learning from your mistakes is that hard for you to understand? Eh, not surprising. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Veedrock- 10/31/20 12:21:23 PM #33:	--- My friends call me Vee. I'm not your friend, buddy. <cite>Veedrock- posted [p:946536410] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote> </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Veedrock- 10/31/20 1:09:19 PM #35:	--- My friends call me Vee. I'm not your friend, buddy. <cite>Veedrock- posted [p:946537976] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote> </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
ultra magnus13 10/31/20 1:26:24 PM #36:	BADoglick posted... I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong This seems pretty much correct. Lots of people excited about voting for Trump, no one excited about voting for Biden, they are excited to vote against Trump. --- ?huh?........ it's just a box. <cite>ultra magnus13 posted [p:946538527] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>BADoglick posted...</cite> <quote>I'm not so confident, I think Trump supporters are more excited about MAGA than the left is about Biden. Hopefully I'm wrong </quote> This seems pretty much correct. Lots of people excited about voting for Trump, no one excited about voting for Biden, they are excited to vote against Trump.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BlackScythe0 10/31/20 5:12:58 PM #37:	I still don't like giving it % I will say I'm surprised to see they changed Georgia from leaning red to leaning blue, not sure when they did that but I'm pretty sure last time I looked (which was recently) it was still red. I'm also still confused by Florida being considered so blue this time around when they recently elected an open racist as governor. <cite>BlackScythe0 posted [p:946546560] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>I still don't like giving it % I will say I'm surprised to see they changed Georgia from leaning red to leaning blue, not sure when they did that but I'm pretty sure last time I looked (which was recently) it was still red. I'm also still confused by Florida being considered so blue this time around when they recently elected an open racist as governor. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
streamofthesky 10/31/20 5:53:00 PM #38:	Georgia and NC seem to be slowly turning blue-leaning in general. It'll never be solidly blue, but I think going forward at least in presidential election years (insert rant about liberals and the youth vote not showing up in off-years), Dems will have the edge in those states. Florida, if Dems win it, will be solely due to COVID and Trump and the GOP's willingness to let old people die off to keep the stock market up, and how much of FL's population is elderly. If that hadn't happened, Trump probably would've easily carried the state. I'm still skeptical Dems will win it, because Florida is full of Florida Man and thus is prone to chronic stupidity. But it'll be very close. I'm mostly interested in PA, NC, and GA. Those are east coast states worth a lot of votes and should have results early in the night. If Biden sweeps all 3 or even 2 of the 3, he should have the election in the bag. Obviously FL alone probably wins it for him, but i have no faith in that state, or for it to have a winner by the end of the night. <cite>streamofthesky posted [p:946548057] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Georgia and NC seem to be slowly turning blue-leaning in general. It'll never be solidly blue, but I think going forward at least in presidential election years (insert rant about liberals and the youth vote not showing up in off-years), Dems will have the edge in those states. Florida, if Dems win it, will be solely due to COVID and Trump and the GOP's willingness to let old people die off to keep the stock market up, and how much of FL's population is elderly. If that hadn't happened, Trump probably would've easily carried the state. I'm still skeptical Dems will win it, because Florida is full of Florida Man and thus is prone to chronic stupidity. But it'll be very close. I'm mostly interested in PA, NC, and GA. Those are east coast states worth a lot of votes and should have results early in the night. If Biden sweeps all 3 or even 2 of the 3, he should have the election in the bag. Obviously FL alone probably wins it for him, but i have no faith in that state, or for it to have a winner by the end of the night. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Metalsonic66 10/31/20 6:57:51 PM #39:	Georgia is one of those states where it's mostly blue in the city and mostly red elsewhere --- PSN/Steam ID: Metalsonic_69 Big bombs go kabang. <cite>Metalsonic66 posted [p:946550233] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Georgia is one of those states where it's mostly blue in the city and mostly red elsewhere </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
streamofthesky 10/31/20 7:04:12 PM #40:	Metalsonic66 posted... Georgia is one of those states where it's mostly blue in the city and mostly red elsewhere So, like...nearly every state. <cite>streamofthesky posted [p:946550462] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Metalsonic66 posted... </cite> <quote>Georgia is one of those states where it's mostly blue in the city and mostly red elsewhere</quote>So, like...nearly every state. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Metalsonic66 10/31/20 7:05:41 PM #41:	With maybe some differences in the exact proportions, sure --- PSN/Steam ID: Metalsonic_69 Big bombs go kabang. <cite>Metalsonic66 posted [p:946550506] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>With maybe some differences in the exact proportions, sure </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Zeus 11/01/20 3:32:45 AM #42:	https://youtu.be/alaen4fno20?t=200 --- (\/)(\/)\|-\| There are precious few at ease / With moral ambiguities / So we act as though they don't exist. <cite>Zeus posted [p:946565396] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>https://youtu.be/alaen4fno20?t=200 </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Lonestar2000 11/01/20 4:00:59 AM #43:	Zeus posted... By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee Real scientific method you got there, --- Rumble Roses. Someone enters the room. Them: O_O Me: What?! I always play games without my pants on!- Inmate 922335 #ImpeachToadDickTrump <cite>Lonestar2000 posted [p:946565808] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Zeus posted... </cite> <quote>By the way, that mask seller's methodology has correctly determined the winner in more presidential elections than 538 >_> So far the methodology has worked in every election going back to 1984. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/weird/mask-sales-johnnie-brocks-predicted-presidential-elections/63-248a4d1d-df10-4f21-b601-37bf866c59ee</quote>Real scientific method you got there, </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
papercup 11/01/20 9:20:38 AM #44:	The right is going to go fucking apeshit whether Trump wins or loses. Stay safe people. --- Nintendo Network ID: papercups 3DS FC: 4124 5916 9925 <cite>papercup posted [p:946570545] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>The right is going to go fucking apeshit whether Trump wins or loses. Stay safe people. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Blightzkrieg 11/01/20 9:50:16 AM #45:	papercup posted... The right is going to go fucking apeshit whether Trump wins or loses. Stay safe people. https://twitter.com/steve_vladeck/status/1322703211959099397?s=20 Legitimately dangerous people --- https://imgur.com/PYqvmgk <cite>Blightzkrieg posted [p:946571223] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>papercup posted... </cite> <quote>The right is going to go fucking apeshit whether Trump wins or loses. Stay safe people.</quote>https://twitter.com/steve_vladeck/status/1322703211959099397?s=20 Legitimately dangerous people </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BUMPED2002 11/01/20 10:31:17 AM #46:	Sadly American politics has become corrupted so we won't know who'll win until that's made official. Trump has stated repeatedly that he won't go quietly if he loses so there's a chance he could end up winning even if he loses. America is in the throes of good vs evil and the country is now one running rampant with greed, corruption, tax cheats, corporate wage theft, drug addiction, alcohol addiction, ungodly amounts of gun violence, sex scandals etc etc it's like Babylon coming to life --- SpankageBros <cite>BUMPED2002 posted [p:946572293] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Sadly American politics has become corrupted so we won't know who'll win until that's made official. Trump has stated repeatedly that he won't go quietly if he loses so there's a chance he could end up winning even if he loses. America is in the throes of good vs evil and the country is now one running rampant with greed, corruption, tax cheats, corporate wage theft, drug addiction, alcohol addiction, ungodly amounts of gun violence, sex scandals etc etc it's like Babylon coming to life </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
YoukaiSlayer 11/01/20 10:35:39 AM #47:	What do you mean now? People been doing that shit in every country since time began. --- I'm ninja (you can't see me) <cite>YoukaiSlayer posted [p:946572423] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>What do you mean now? People been doing that shit in every country since time began. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Unbridled9 11/01/20 10:37:14 AM #48:	The fact that any candidate could get an 89% without, say, being caught selling kids into slavery in Africa or having a sex tape of them and Putin released should be VERY concerning to you regardless of where you fall on the political spectrum. Either that or 538 is lying/manipulating to cheer for Biden. --- I am the gentle hand who heals, the happy smile who shields, and the foot that will kick your ***! - White Mage <cite>Unbridled9 posted [p:946572461] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>The fact that any candidate could get an 89% without, say, being caught selling kids into slavery in Africa or having a sex tape of them and Putin released should be VERY concerning to you regardless of where you fall on the political spectrum. Either that or 538 is lying/manipulating to cheer for Biden. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
YoukaiSlayer 11/01/20 10:49:34 AM #49:	Why? Why is that concerning? --- I'm ninja (you can't see me) <cite>YoukaiSlayer posted [p:946572745] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Why? Why is that concerning? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Blightzkrieg 11/01/20 10:50:16 AM #50:	Unbridled9 posted... The fact that any candidate could get an 89% without, say, being caught selling kids into slavery in Africa or having a sex tape of them and Putin released Or say, letting 200k people die while pretending it wasn't a problem --- https://imgur.com/PYqvmgk <cite>Blightzkrieg posted [p:946572765] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>Unbridled9 posted... </cite> <quote>The fact that any candidate could get an 89% without, say, being caught selling kids into slavery in Africa or having a sex tape of them and Putin released</quote>Or say, letting 200k people die while pretending it wasn't a problem </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Poll of the Day > Even closer to the election, FiveThirtyEight gives Biden a 89% chance to win. (+) Yeah! (+)

Poll of the Day > Even closer to the election, FiveThirtyEight gives Biden a 89% chance to win.