Board 8 > ~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 3 feat. Mass Effect 2 (-36), Horizon (-37)

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MZero11
03/28/20 1:19:25 AM
#1:


You can sign-up now or anytime during the contest. Regardless, you will be given $1000 to bet on matches as you see fit. If at any time you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 but beware you can enter the negatives. The user with the most money at the end will be crowned the winner and receive a game of their choice (within reason) courtesy of your host (unless I win, then the prize will go to the runner-up).

Basically this works like sports betting with spreads, if you're familiar with that. Here's an example line:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds

If you bet on BotW, it would have to beat TOW by 40%, meaning it would have to get at least 70% of the vote (70-30 = 40). If you bet on TOW (+40) it needs to score at least 30.01% of the vote (69.99 - 30.01 = 39.98) to keep the difference in percentage, or spread, within 40 points.

So someone with $1000 bets $500 on BotW

BotW 73.12%
TOW 26.88%

BotW covers! The bet is doubled and returned for a profit of $500 and the player is now at $1500

ALTERNATE UNIVERSE

BotW 63.1%
TOW 36.9%

TOW covers! All BotW bets are lost and said player is now at $500. Even though BotW won, it didn't win by enough.

Back for this contest is 4-match days, meaning parlays are back too! For those unfamiliar, you can earn more by combining your bets, but if one is wrong you lose the whole thing. So let's say

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds
Halo: Reach (-10) vs Life Is Strange

If you bet $100 on each of these individually and win, you earn a $100 profit on each, for a total of $200. However, if you parlay and both win you will get x3, meaning you win a $300 profit. However, if either match is wrong you lose the entire bet. 3 and 4 match parlays will give higher payouts, but you risk losing it all if any match in the parlay is wrong.

2-Match Parlay: 3 to 1 ($100 bet = $300 profit)
3-Match Parlay: 7 to 1 ($100 bet = $700 profit)
4-Match Parlay: 15 to 1 ($100 bet = $1500 profit)

You can choose any combination of parlays and single bets you want.

Today's Matches
Mass Effect 2 (-36) vs. Resident Evil 7: biohazard (ME2 wins with 68%)
Fallout 4 (-38) vs. VVVVVV (FO4 wins with 69%)
Borderlands 2 (-16) vs. Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night (BL2 wins with 58%)
Horizon Zero Dawn (-37) vs. Fortnite (HZD wins with 68.5%)

---
MZero, to the extreme
I'm a cheater at videogames - ertyu
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_SecretSquirrel
03/28/20 1:23:28 AM
#2:


MAX parlay on VVVVVV, Bloodstained, and Horizon

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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner.
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TsunamiXXVIII
03/28/20 1:29:22 AM
#3:


MAX parlay on Mass Effect/Borderlands 2/Fortnite

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Also known as Cyberchao X.
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Keltiq
03/28/20 1:47:04 AM
#4:


MAX parlay on RE7, Fallout, Borderlands, Horizon

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I can't believe I lost the Character Battle X guru contest to some guy named Advokaiser
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GTM
03/28/20 1:49:03 AM
#5:


MAX on Borderlands 2

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GTM - Boko United
survivor and dillos and nintendo and you are awesome
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Paratroopa1
03/28/20 1:59:11 AM
#6:


1000 parlay on Borderlands 2/Horizon
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Cavedweller2000
03/28/20 4:27:35 AM
#7:


I've never taken part in this, but I always visit to see the spread. OOC how do you calculate it?

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Well done to Advokaiser for finishing 104 places above me in the 2018 CBX Guru Contest!
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MZero11
03/28/20 4:40:37 AM
#8:


Cavedweller2000 posted...
I've never taken part in this, but I always visit to see the spread. OOC how do you calculate it?

The main thing I look at is the oracle, as that's the best way to see how the board feels the match will go. Then I may tweak based on any relevant info (x-stats, past results, etc.)

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MZero, to the extreme
I'm a cheater at videogames - ertyu
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Kotetsu534
03/28/20 4:46:50 AM
#9:


HALF on Mass Effect 2

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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
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Agent M
03/28/20 5:42:46 AM
#10:


$500 parlay on Mass Effect 2/Borderlands 2/Horizon Zero Dawn

$500 on VVVVVV
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Lightning Strikes
03/28/20 5:43:04 AM
#11:


MAX parlay on VVVVVV and Bloodstained.

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I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser
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CaIlMeSpike
03/28/20 5:45:00 AM
#12:


500 on Fortnite, please.

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You give me just a taste so I want more.
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MetalmindStats
03/28/20 6:50:06 AM
#13:


Lightning Strikes posted...
MAX parlay on VVVVVV and Bloodstained.

Alternatively, if my bet yesterday somehow doesn't wind up covering, I will instead go for a MAX parlay on VVVVVV, Bloodstained, and Horizon.

---
"I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do."
You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you!
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ZeldaTPLink
03/28/20 7:15:37 AM
#14:


MAX parlay on Horizon Zero Dawn, Bloodstained and VVVVVV
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AndywoodCubeGmr
03/28/20 7:46:52 AM
#15:


25% on Mass Effect 2/Borderlands 2/Fortnite Parlay

25% on VVVVVV
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davidponte
03/28/20 8:14:59 AM
#16:


MAX parlay on Mass Effect, VVVVVV, Bloodstained, and Horizon.

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I was the final Undisputed Champion in UCA history,
however Advokaiser was the Guru Champion!
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-hotdogturtle--
03/28/20 10:10:24 AM
#17:


$2000 on VVVVVV

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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
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Underleveled
03/28/20 10:28:42 AM
#18:


Max on Borderlands

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darkx
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hylianknight3
03/28/20 11:01:08 AM
#19:


$1000 on Horizon Zero Dawn

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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plasmabeam
03/28/20 11:51:07 AM
#20:


$500 on RE7

I don't like any of these spreads.

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~Jacksonville Jaguars~
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Master Moltar
03/28/20 11:51:55 AM
#21:


MAX parlay on Mass Effect 2, VVVVVV, and Horizon

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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MZero11
03/28/20 12:32:01 PM
#22:


Half parlay on Borderlands and Horizon Zero Dawn

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MZero, to the extreme
I'm a cheater at videogames - ertyu
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charmander6000
03/28/20 12:52:16 PM
#23:


25% on Resident Evil 7: biohazard (+36)
25% on Fallout 4 (-38)
25% on Borderlands 2 (-16)
25% on Fortnite (+37)

Forgot to place my bets, it's been the same for the past two days.

---
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 3/4
Today's Picks: MH:W, WotWW, TWD, DQXI
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Kotetsu534
03/28/20 3:04:21 PM
#24:


Kotetsu534 posted...
HALF on Mass Effect 2

CANCEL this bet. I'm getting a strong case of indiefear from our early results and think this might be a better bet:

HALF on VVVVVV > 31%

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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
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ZaziGuado
03/28/20 3:33:10 PM
#25:


$300 parlay on Mass Effect 2 and Borderlands 2

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snowpork
Zazi is OP.
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Hbthebattle
03/28/20 3:34:16 PM
#26:


500 on HZD
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Patience.
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Averia
03/28/20 4:05:16 PM
#27:


500 on VVVVVV
250 on Fortnite
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pirate109
03/28/20 5:12:18 PM
#28:


$4,000 on Horizon
$2,000 on VVVVVV

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oo
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Ngamer64
03/28/20 5:28:27 PM
#29:


15% on Mass Effect 2
20% on VVVVV
10% on Borderlands 2
50% on Horizon Zero Dawn


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Advo bested even The Show hosts in 2018, yowza!
board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats
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SuperNiceDog
03/28/20 5:47:56 PM
#30:


how much money do I have?

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SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
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AxemRedRanger
03/28/20 6:06:40 PM
#31:


MAX on VVVVVV

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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO Advokaiser NO PEACE]
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hylianknight3
03/28/20 6:28:00 PM
#32:


Lets make that $3000 on Horizon Zero Dawn.

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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tennisboy213
03/28/20 6:30:43 PM
#33:


SuperNiceDog posted...
how much money do I have?
$4,000 after today's matches
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SeabassDebeste
03/28/20 7:39:19 PM
#34:


HALF on Borderlands 2
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yet all sailors of all sorts are more or less capricious and unreliable - they live in the varying outer weather, and they inhale its fickleness
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Glenn_and_Toad
03/28/20 7:39:37 PM
#35:


$2800 on VVVVVV (+38)
$200 on Mass Effect 2 (-36)
$200 on Borderlands 2 (-16)
$200 on Horizon Zero Dawn (-37)

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SC2K13 Bracket: Kefka hate hate hate hate hates my bracket!
Oracle: Team Frog and Magus
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SwiftyDC
03/28/20 7:44:10 PM
#36:


MAX on RE7

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dilateDChemist
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tennisboy213
03/28/20 7:57:36 PM
#37:


MAX parlay on VVVVVV & Horizon Zero Dawn
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SuperNiceDog
03/29/20 4:25:12 AM
#38:


tennisboy213 posted...
$4,000 after today's matches

thanks

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SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
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SwiftyDC
03/29/20 10:05:37 AM
#39:


Chaching!

No way was ME2 going to double a RE game.

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dilateDChemist
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