Board 8 > In-Depth Contest Analysis (2020 Version)

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KamikazePotato
03/25/20 5:49:01 PM
#303:


For the sake of full disclosure, I switch to Smash Ultimate > Odyssey in my bracket - it got harder to justify the Odyssey pick as time went on, and once I learned that GTA5 was apparently the upset pick on B8 I'm less worried about my bracket being cookie-cutter

Still think Odyssey has a great chance at pulling it off but Smash Ultimate is going to keep getting high-profile DLC in the middle of the contest and that's a pretty good X-factor

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LeonhartFour
03/25/20 5:52:29 PM
#304:


I mean they just announced that you can pre-order the season 2 DLC pass so that means new characters should be getting announced soon!

Mario is a fraud

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ZeldaTPLink
03/25/20 6:08:02 PM
#305:


Noooooooo KP

I'm still in. I think I'm at that point where I'll hate myself less if I'm wrong about this pick than if I am right and end up chickening out in the last day.
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KamikazePotato
03/26/20 8:03:22 PM
#306:


Off to a good start!

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KamikazePotato
03/26/20 8:22:55 PM
#307:


Division 1, Round 2, Match 2
Final Fantasy XV
Hollow Knight / Berseria

Expected Result
FF15 > Hollow Knight / Berseria
61 - 39

Uh oh.

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KamikazePotato
03/29/20 2:23:20 PM
#308:


Looking good outside of TWD!

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hylianknight3
04/03/20 11:57:42 PM
#309:


Keeping this alive

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/09/20 10:25:09 AM
#310:


Bump

This thread will be allowed to die when the contest ends.
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TsunamiXXVIII
04/09/20 11:51:33 PM
#311:


xp1337 posted...
I think that was semi-true way back in the day, it isn't now. However, Golden Sun v GTA:SA was literally the day that Dark Dawn was released so not only would the "series saved!" hype be at full power... no one had time to digest Dark Dawn and be disappointed yet. >_>
Ah, tell me about it. Lost Age ended on a sequel hook and we had to wait for over seven years, so we were all hungry. Then Dark Dawn had more loose ends than it did answers! Not to mention a distinct inability to backtrack to stuff you might have missed, which put it at odds with the first two games.

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TsunamiXXVIII
04/10/20 12:09:11 AM
#312:


Leonhart4 posted...
I think the point is that those values are your best guess (based on a lot of work, but nevertheless), not necessarily something to be taken as gospel.

Plus, CT went from losing to Mario 64 outright in 2009 to looking strong enough to beat OoT in 2015! A lot changes in 5 years!

Precisely. Melee and SM64 literally both faced Undertale directly and Melee got the better percentage.

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Team Rocket Elite
04/10/20 12:46:29 AM
#313:


TsunamiXXVIII posted...


Precisely. Melee and SM64 literally both faced Undertale directly and Melee got the better percentage.


lol x-stats
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Leonhart4
04/10/20 4:00:42 AM
#314:


I can't tell if that post was meant to be serious or not.

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hylianknight3
04/16/20 2:35:18 AM
#315:


I still need this alive.
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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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Advokaiser
04/17/20 6:08:07 PM
#316:


This topic seems to age better and better as time passes by.

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KamikazePotato
04/17/20 7:11:32 PM
#317:


Yeah just wait until Round 3 lol

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LeonhartFour
04/17/20 7:13:11 PM
#318:


yeah the chalk has worked out pretty well for the most part through the first two rounds

round 3 is where we'll start to look silly

good thing you all let mine purge and saved KP's
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Advokaiser
04/17/20 7:36:52 PM
#319:


LeonhartFour posted...
good thing you all let mine purge and saved KP's

Hey, hylian was the one who didn't want this topic to die!

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ZeldaTPLink
04/17/20 7:51:30 PM
#320:


LeonhartFour posted...
good thing you all let mine purge and saved KP's

I saved yours once and might have saved it again if I had remembered. But I guess it wasn't meant to be.
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hylianknight3
04/22/20 1:25:59 AM
#321:


I didnt want yours to purge either!
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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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ZeldaTPLink
04/27/20 8:28:54 PM
#322:


When the contest is over, this thread will have my permission to die.
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Advokaiser
04/27/20 10:03:28 PM
#323:


Latest news regarding this topic: I chose HG/SS > Nier based on the analysis so the topic's still staying pretty relevant.

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Sniperdog117
04/27/20 10:15:11 PM
#324:


Advokaiser posted...
Latest news regarding this topic: I chose HG/SS > Nier based on the analysis so the topic's still staying pretty relevant.


This was me as well. Thanks.

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Papaopamus?
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Leonhart4
04/27/20 10:36:50 PM
#325:


And yet just slightly more the other way and Automata wins

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KamikazePotato
04/28/20 3:41:43 AM
#326:


Well I'm glad I helped some people out but I didn't want to be right about this one!

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ctesjbuvf
04/28/20 4:04:02 AM
#327:


Yeah, I want this topic alive at least until after SSBU/SMO

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Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
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Advokaiser
04/28/20 6:45:22 PM
#328:


ctesjbuvf posted...
Yeah, I want this topic alive at least until after SSBU/SMO

At that point, though, we might as well just take it all the way to the end.

That's my plan, anyway

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LeonhartFour
05/05/20 8:35:58 PM
#329:


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Team Rocket Elite
05/05/20 8:50:28 PM
#330:


I was waiting for you to say something like that.
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Link isn't the only one who kicks ass.
Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
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KamikazePotato
05/05/20 8:51:07 PM
#331:


I am very intelligent for switching all of my own accord

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Advokaiser
05/11/20 12:56:17 PM
#332:


Almost there...

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Advokaiser
05/14/20 4:07:05 PM
#333:


Thank you for my 26th spot in the Guru, with 394 total points!

The matches that led to my downfall were only two: The Last of Us > Dark Souls, and Skyrim > Witcher III. For reference, if I had gotten only the latter right, I would've finished 2nd overall.

Who knew that The Witcher would have such a tremendous boost from everything while GTAV wouldn't. Skyrim didn't really need to be stronger than past years; it only needed to not weaken and it would've beaten Witcher without much trouble.

Pulled the trigger on many different places in the bracket as well. Division 4 was definitely going to be extremely hard to predict accurately, but I chose to believe in the Monado's power (without any solid reason to) and it payed off! People said that the Guru winner would probably need to nail how that Division would come off, and it was actually kind of true: azuarc won thanks to Xenoblade among other things.

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