Board 8 > What's the weakest game you think will make it into the contest?

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HaRRicH
01/16/20 12:38:21 AM
#1:


My wild guess: The Wolf Among Us

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Team Rocket Elite
01/16/20 12:52:03 AM
#2:


Umineko
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_SecretSquirrel
01/16/20 12:58:12 AM
#3:


Probably whatever the weakest casual bait game ends up being. It was Draven in CBX and Hearthstone in BGE, so I expect even some of the weaker cult classic games to pull enough of their fanbase to avoid last place.

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ChichiriMuyo
01/16/20 1:12:34 AM
#4:


Breath of The Wild... oh, you meant contest performance.

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WarThaNemesis2
01/16/20 1:13:24 AM
#5:


It'll be some mobile game.

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MetalmindStats
01/16/20 1:21:38 AM
#6:


Umineko if it somehow manages to, and if not, hopefully Night in the Woods. I'm not sure what super-weak casual bait is supposed to be making this field tbh.

Fate / Grand Order is also a candidate, I suppose.

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KCF0107
01/16/20 1:55:46 AM
#7:


Is B8 making a push for Chester?
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Panthera
01/16/20 2:04:02 AM
#8:


Some random thing that b8 pushes but that no one else cares about

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banananor
01/16/20 2:35:49 AM
#9:


Yeah, this board is pretty much the only source of nominations- it's easy to really any random weak game

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Joelypoely
01/16/20 2:46:32 AM
#10:


Panthera posted...
Some random thing that b8 pushes but that no one else cares about

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Dr_Football
01/16/20 2:51:10 AM
#11:


will it be weaker than No Mercy

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SythaWarrior
01/16/20 4:28:48 AM
#12:


In terms of votes something I think will likely get in will be one of the Legend of Hero games.

Likely one of the Cold Steels or Ao/Zero whatever is the most popular eligible one.

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Zylothewolf
01/16/20 8:09:13 AM
#13:


Mario Kart: World Tour.

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tazzyboyishere
01/16/20 8:14:34 AM
#14:


House in Fata Morgana

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azuarc
01/16/20 11:31:28 AM
#15:


Fortnite

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TheCodeisBosco
01/16/20 12:19:51 PM
#16:


KCF0107 posted...
Is B8 making a push for Chester?

I'm game if others are.

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Raka_Putra
01/16/20 12:21:11 PM
#17:


Deltarune

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ctesjbuvf
01/16/20 12:21:45 PM
#18:


Totally on board for getting Chester in.

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Cavedweller2000
01/16/20 12:57:56 PM
#19:


TheCodeisBosco posted...
I'm game if others are.
Same

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HaRRicH
01/16/20 1:23:22 PM
#20:


Get the rally topic going ya'll.

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ertyu0078
01/16/20 1:23:48 PM
#21:


Kirby game
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charmander6000
01/16/20 1:44:19 PM
#22:


Fortnite if no rally materializes

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colliding
01/16/20 1:47:43 PM
#23:


SythaWarrior posted...
In terms of votes something I think will likely get in will be one of the Legend of Hero games.

Likely one of the Cold Steels or Ao/Zero whatever is the most popular eligible one.

yeah if somehow a trails game gets in it's definitely the weakest

then maybe spirit of justice or dual destinies, even if phoenix is doing better these days

danganronpa's also fodder

whoever is technically the "weakest" depends on matchups obviously. whichever one gets in as a low-seed against a one seed
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Meow1000
01/16/20 5:34:02 PM
#24:


Panthera posted...
Some random thing that b8 pushes but that no one else cares about


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swirIdude
01/16/20 6:31:21 PM
#25:


Whichever Trails game gets in.

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Ranticoot
01/16/20 6:32:18 PM
#26:


I actually did really enjoy Chester, so if we're doing a rally for it I'm in

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LeonhartFour
01/16/20 6:55:43 PM
#27:


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MetalmindStats
01/16/20 8:02:53 PM
#28:


colliding posted...
yeah if somehow a trails game gets in it's definitely the weakest
Maybe one of the newer Trails games could be the weakest of the field, but I don't see how our Trails rep isn't SC at this point, and Estelle was nowhere near the weakest of 2018.

colliding posted...
then maybe spirit of justice or dual destinies, even if phoenix is doing better these days
Same thing applies here: these would have to substantially underperform even Godot to be the weakest of the field.

LeonhartFour posted...
Super Meat Boy
Even if Super Meat Boy was that weak, which it isn't based on Meat Boy in 2013, I really can't see how our weakest game is better than GotD 1's worst.

Fortnite is probably it, though. I totally forgot about it because I'm not really expecting it to even make the field, but I'm downright expecting it to become the next Hearthstone.

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LeonhartFour
01/16/20 10:16:59 PM
#29:


Characters =/= Games

been a long time since I posted that

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MetalmindStats
01/16/20 10:19:58 PM
#30:


LeonhartFour posted...
Characters =/= Games

been a long time since I posted that
It would be pretty unusual for a one-game platforming protagonist to be noticeably stronger than his game; in fact, I can't think of any examples. I also feel like you're underestimating just how weak the worst entrant in this field will be - I could see something missing 10% in the adjusted X-stats, which would be unfathomable for SMB.

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LiquidOshawott
01/16/20 10:22:22 PM
#31:


Hearthstone could be back

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LeonhartFour
01/16/20 10:24:01 PM
#32:


I wasn't really being serious anyway but I can imagine someone like Meat Boy getting more votes for his design than for his game

it was just a dig at the Guru nom because they usually end up being pretty weak

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AxemRedRanger
01/16/20 10:26:52 PM
#33:


No mercy bottom of the x-stats In gotd1
never forget

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swirIdude
01/16/20 10:43:45 PM
#34:


If Allen is taking outside data into account, he has to put Fortnite in, because that game is huge.

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_SecretSquirrel
01/16/20 10:44:24 PM
#35:


AxemRedRanger posted...
No mercy bottom of the x-stats In gotd1
never forget
I bet No Mercy would have a shot of avoiding the bottom quarter of this bracket assuming 128. That's how bad I could see this field being.

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HaRRicH
01/16/20 10:44:58 PM
#36:


One of the true travesties of our time.

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LeonhartFour
01/16/20 10:46:34 PM
#37:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
I bet No Mercy would have a shot of avoiding the bottom quarter of this bracket assuming 128. That's how bad I could see this field being.

I wouldn't be so sure! I feel like getting less than 10% on Majora's Mask is really difficult.

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ZenOfThunder
01/16/20 10:49:58 PM
#38:


Heavy Rain or Detroit

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LeonhartFour
01/16/20 10:51:13 PM
#39:


heck only four games finished sub-10% in the 2015 raw stats, and that's with rallying, SFF, and all!

and all of them qualify for this contest except for Cave Story!

but yeah if we got a Zero Escape game in here I imagine it would finish near the bottom because both 999 and VLR did really, really badly

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MetalmindStats
01/16/20 11:28:37 PM
#40:


swirIdude posted...
If Allen is taking outside data into account, he has to put Fortnite in, because that game is huge.
"Popularity data" as listed on the nomination form is pretty nebulous, though. If that exclusively refers to metrics of GameFAQs popularity like past game contests, neither it nor critical scores will help Fortnite at all.

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SythaWarrior
01/17/20 1:13:25 AM
#41:


MetalmindStats posted...
Maybe one of the newer Trails games could be the weakest of the field, but I don't see how our Trails rep isn't SC at this point, and Estelle was nowhere near the weakest of 2018.

I don't think SC is eligible. It's too old isn't it? I think the oldest Trials game allowed is Ao/Zero. It's almost certainly going to be one of the Cold Steel games

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AxemRedRanger
01/17/20 1:16:34 AM
#42:


nothing trails related was released in the u.s. until the 2010s.

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LeonhartFour
01/17/20 4:30:21 AM
#43:


MetalmindStats posted...
"Popularity data" as listed on the nomination form is pretty nebulous, though. If that exclusively refers to metrics of GameFAQs popularity like past game contests, neither it nor critical scores will help Fortnite at all.

Nah, he used outside data in 2015. I think it's mostly a way to keep out really obscure stuff or really hated stuff that people might nominate just for the lulz.

oh and Sonic 3 & Knuckles too

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Rolycoly
01/17/20 4:51:58 AM
#44:


I know about Allen's use of Metacritic scores as part of determining 2015's field (thus my mention of critic scores), but what actual popularity data from non-GameFAQs sources did Allen use in that contest?

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