Board 8 > ~Character Battle X Spread Betting~ Grand Finals: Link vs Cloud/Zelda

(+) Yeah! (+)

Welcome to Spread Betting 2018! You can signup now or anytime during the contest. Regardless, you will be given $1000 to bet on matches as you see fit. If at any time you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 but beware you can enter the negatives. The user with the most money at the end will be crowned the winner and receive a game of their choice (within reason) courtesy of your host (unless I win, then the prize will go to the runner-up).

WHAT IS SPREAD BETTING?
Basically this works like sports betting with spreads, if you're familiar with that. Here's an example line:

Dante (-40) vs Cuphead (Dante over Cuphead with 70%)

If you bet on Dante, he would have to beat Cuphead by 40%, meaning he'd have to get at least 70% of the vote (70-30 = 40). If you bet on Cuphead (+40) he needs to score at least 30.01% of the vote (69.99 - 30.01 = 39.98) to keep the difference in percentage, or spread, within 40.

PARLAYS
New for this contest is 4-match days, so I am introducing a parlays! For those unfamiliar, you can earn more by combining your bets, but if even just one is wrong you lose the whole thing. The parlay odds are:

2-Match Parlay: 3 to 1 ($100 bet = $300 profit)
3-Match Parlay: 7 to 1 ($100 bet = $700 profit)
4-Match Parlay: 15 to 1 ($100 bet = $1500 profit)

RULES
-You can bet up to your total current bank (or up to $1000 if you are under $1000) each day (not each match). This means one MAX bet per day.
-Newcomers start with $1000
-You can choose any combination of parlays and single bets you want. However, you can only bet on each match once, either as a single bet or as part of a parlay
-I will accept "if" bets (If Dante covers, $1000 on Vivi. If not, $500 on Vivi, etc.) in case the match is close. This only applies for bets made on the next days matches
-If you bet MAX, the bet will be calculated based on the results of the previous days matches. For example, if youre at $0 with $1000 riding on a 3-match parlay, your MAX bet will be $8000 if the bet is successful and $1000 if its not.
-If you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 for the day. However, if you lose it will go into your debt which will be subtracted from your total at the end.
-Betting closes as soon as the matches start
-Please label your bets (Single Bet, Two-Match Parlay, etc.)
-Don't be a jerk
-Feel free to ask any questions!

Today's Matches
(1) Link (-20) vs (4) Cloud Strife (Link over Cloud with 60%)
OR
(1) Link (-27) vs (4) Zelda (Link over Zelda with 63.5%)

Please indicate which match/matches you'd like to bet on!
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if it's link vs cloud, max on cloud
if it's link vs zelda, max on zelda
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Half on Cloud or Zelda
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Quarter on (4) Cloud Strife (+20)
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MAX on Link

MAX on Cloud/Zelda winner
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If it's Cloud
45% on Cloud

If it's Zelda
65% on Zelda
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Max on Cloud or Zelda.
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i win.
this was fun!
thanks to mzero for hosting.

So what's the worst bet everyone made? Think mine was probably 75% on Kirby against Bowser.
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I was leading but lost most of my money on Tifa to cover against Samus in their first match
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I made an awful lot of bad bets, enough that I would have to look back through them to determine my absolute worst one. I'm especially kicking myself for not playing it safe once I reached ~$400,000 or so banked.
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Good work this year MZero!

Could you run some final numbers for me? I'm curious to know how far in the hole you would have ended up if everyone was paying their way in to the competition. So, sending you $1000 to start, then another grand every time they went broke and had to buy back in.


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