Board 8 > ~Character Battle X Spread Betting~ Legends Final: Link (-28) vs Zelda

(+) Yeah! (+)

Welcome to Spread Betting 2018! You can signup now or anytime during the contest. Regardless, you will be given $1000 to bet on matches as you see fit. If at any time you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 but beware you can enter the negatives. The user with the most money at the end will be crowned the winner and receive a game of their choice (within reason) courtesy of your host (unless I win, then the prize will go to the runner-up).

WHAT IS SPREAD BETTING?
Basically this works like sports betting with spreads, if you're familiar with that. Here's an example line:

Dante (-40) vs Cuphead (Dante over Cuphead with 70%)

If you bet on Dante, he would have to beat Cuphead by 40%, meaning he'd have to get at least 70% of the vote (70-30 = 40). If you bet on Cuphead (+40) he needs to score at least 30.01% of the vote (69.99 - 30.01 = 39.98) to keep the difference in percentage, or spread, within 40.

PARLAYS
New for this contest is 4-match days, so I am introducing a parlays! For those unfamiliar, you can earn more by combining your bets, but if even just one is wrong you lose the whole thing. The parlay odds are:

2-Match Parlay: 3 to 1 ($100 bet = $300 profit)
3-Match Parlay: 7 to 1 ($100 bet = $700 profit)
4-Match Parlay: 15 to 1 ($100 bet = $1500 profit)

RULES
-You can bet up to your total current bank (or up to $1000 if you are under $1000) each day (not each match). This means one MAX bet per day.
-Newcomers start with $1000
-You can choose any combination of parlays and single bets you want. However, you can only bet on each match once, either as a single bet or as part of a parlay
-I will accept "if" bets (If Dante covers, $1000 on Vivi. If not, $500 on Vivi, etc.) in case the match is close. This only applies for bets made on the next days matches
-If you bet MAX, the bet will be calculated based on the results of the previous days matches. For example, if youre at $0 with $1000 riding on a 3-match parlay, your MAX bet will be $8000 if the bet is successful and $1000 if its not.
-If you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 for the day. However, if you lose it will go into your debt which will be subtracted from your total at the end.
-Betting closes as soon as the matches start
-Please label your bets (Single Bet, Two-Match Parlay, etc.)
-Don't be a jerk
-Feel free to ask any questions!

Today's Matches
(1) Link (-28) vs (4) Zelda (Link over Zelda with 64%)
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LEADERBOARD

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KN8zlFAZb-VzLCLZfynjaVN3epi7bE88g85LfL8MG8g/edit?usp=sharing

@theawesomestevr you're right, but I hadn't updated the leaderboard for Link's match yet because I accidentally combined it with Mario/Zelda... well not that it matters much now! (thanks Snake)
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max on zelda
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MAX on Link
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50% Link.
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Half on Zelda
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MAX on Link.

MAX on Link
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max on Link

max link
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MAX on Zelda

MAX on Link

Quarter on (1) Link (-28)
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65% on Zelda
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I want to believe in all established stats saying that Link has this spread. But I also fear that this may be a legit case of rSFF, with people intentionally voting for the underdog to hurt Link's odds.

But most importantly, whichever result happens, I can't win this game if the guy with the huge lead doesn't bet.

Max on Link.
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Welp
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Pretty sure Link is going to cover, something I wouldn't have guessed 5 minutes in
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Even if Link can really go up that much in the Americas, I think the rest of the world is going to kill his chances of beating the spread.
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Well Link's percentage has been going up the whole match due to a massive Zelda zerg rush early. In the past hour over half of his updates have beaten the spread. This isn't a regional thing as much as a ridiculous early vote thing-- expect him to gain percentage across the board the longer the match goes. It'll be close but I think he'll pull it off. He only needs to go up a little more than 3% from here.
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...This could be a long 6 hours.
The spread here seems to have been well-chosen!
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