Board 8 > Character Battle X Oracle Challenge Discussion Part 2

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Team Rocket Elite
12/09/18 6:33:36 PM
#1:


This topic is for discussion of the CBX Oracle Challenge! Here you can discuss the Oracle Challenge without wading through tons of prediction posts. Predictions only count if they are in the prediction topic!

Current Prediction Topic
https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests?search=Oracle

ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

I just put up the topic for Winners Final and Losers Round 5.
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/77286251

Don't put in predictions for Losers Round 5 until Losers Round 4 has completed.
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Advokaiser
12/10/18 12:01:13 PM
#2:


Final Oracle results hype!
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Team Rocket Elite
12/10/18 5:37:40 PM
#3:


@cyko
If you see this in time, can you put your Winners Bracket final prediction in the right topic. You put a prediction in the old topic and it will have to manually be added if you don't put it in the right topic: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/77282905/913827977

cyko posted:
Link - 75.49%
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TsunamiXXVIII
12/10/18 7:25:18 PM
#4:


Oh wow, I got another first place pick!

...by being the only one to even predict that Snake would fail to break 45% on Samus. One of those matches where everyone fell on the same side of the actual percentage. Still, I've seen some matches where first place is a much lower score so a 49.12 isn't awful.
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garetha200
12/10/18 11:38:00 PM
#5:


Ngamer and Moltar are one spot apart

This is the true battle of the contest
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Haste_2
12/11/18 12:15:01 AM
#6:


garetha200 posted...
Ngamer and Moltar are one spot apart

This is the true battle of the contest


True, but you vs. me is a battle of supremacy, too!
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Advokaiser
12/11/18 2:08:49 PM
#7:


Finishing Top 10's my real test.

Having a Top pick's my cause.
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garetha200
12/11/18 2:12:58 PM
#8:


Haste_2 posted...
garetha200 posted...
Ngamer and Moltar are one spot apart

This is the true battle of the contest


True, but you vs. me is a battle of supremacy, too!

Yeah! And your pick for today's match is looking really good right now, so I think we'll be very close after today!
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Team Rocket Elite
12/11/18 6:12:55 PM
#9:


@KingMorgoth For battle 147 cyko made a prediction in an older topic and didn't get a chance to repost it in the new topic. Can you help manually add in this prediction?:

cyko posted:
Link - 75.49%
---
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Congrats to BK_Sheikah00 for winning the BYIG Guru Contest!
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th3l3fty
12/11/18 6:25:25 PM
#10:


TRE are you able to trigger an update for yesterday's matches
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Team Rocket Elite
12/11/18 6:29:48 PM
#11:


Topics for the Losers Final is here:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/77293174

If your prediction depends on the result of Mario vs Cloud, please indicate it in your post.

th3l3fty posted...
TRE are you able to trigger an update for yesterday's matches


Unfortunately, I am not.
---
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creativename
12/11/18 8:59:58 PM
#12:


Is the last discussion topic archived anywhere? It seems to have been purged.

Do we have a list of top 5 counts for this contest?
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Team Rocket Elite
12/11/18 9:03:43 PM
#13:


I have a saved copy of it but I don't have it uploaded anywhere. Is there something in the topic you needed? The "Top 5 Predictions Leaderboard" was only updated up to Nov 2 in the first topic.
---
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Ringworm
12/11/18 9:11:06 PM
#14:


Looks like our team is in top spot overall and I'm top 10? I'll take that.

I know that it is currently only showing match 147, but it's better than the full results.
---
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Congrats to BKSheikah - Guru champion - Best Year in Gaming
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KingMorgoth
12/11/18 9:52:48 PM
#15:


Standings on the site have been fixed (sorry Ringworm!)
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Team Rocket Elite
12/12/18 6:45:46 PM
#16:


Grand Final topic:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/77296443
---
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Camden
12/12/18 7:05:32 PM
#17:


If Mario won today I think I'd have finished higher on the actual contest leaderboard than I will in Oracle.
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Advokaiser
12/12/18 7:52:40 PM
#18:


I thought my Cloud pick against Mario would give me a top pick, but not quite!

I broke into the overall Top 10, though!
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tennisboy213
12/13/18 7:10:12 PM
#19:


According to my calculations, I need Link to finish at 58.88% or below to win, otherwise Luster wins.
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hylianknight3
12/13/18 7:12:07 PM
#20:


Congratulations to Luster and tennis for kicking my tail! You guys were too formidable for me!
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LusterSoldier
12/13/18 7:17:23 PM
#21:


tennisboy213 posted...
According to my calculations, I need Link to finish at 58.88% or below to win, otherwise Luster wins.


Link probably goes above that if Cloud is getting bandwagoned here.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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MetalmindStats
12/13/18 7:35:34 PM
#22:


Vl9F9ns

Wait a moment, what the heck happened here? I assume it was a typo?
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Hail the reigning Guru champ, Advokaiser!
You proved yourself more statistically metal-minded than I ever have been - well done!
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Camden
12/13/18 7:41:57 PM
#23:


MetalmindStats posted...
Vl9F9ns

Wait a moment, what the heck happened here? I assume it was a typo?


Kind of.

XIII_rocks 12/12/2018 3:38:42 PM#56
Change:

Zelda with 94.11%

creativename 12/12/2018 3:43:38 PM#57
XIII_rocks posted...

Change:

Zelda with 94.11%

@XIII_rocks

I think you want to change this!

XIII_rocks 12/12/2018 3:44:29 PM#59
You're right.

Change

Zelda with 95.11%

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tennisboy213
12/13/18 7:45:18 PM
#24:


It looks like my calculation was off and the number is 58.79%, not looking good...
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davidponte
12/13/18 8:04:41 PM
#25:


XIII deciding to tank our team standings more than they already are.
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Haste_2
12/13/18 8:08:07 PM
#26:


hylianknight3 posted...
Congratulations to Luster and tennis for kicking my tail! You guys were too formidable for me!


You had one incredible start to the Oracle! I'll never know how you did that.

Congrats to Advokaiser by correctly picking Cloud twice in a row, allowing him to go from 12th to 9th.

Looks like garetha has ousted me out of the top five by correctly picking Cloud!
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garetha200
12/13/18 8:23:28 PM
#27:


Having faith in square finally paid off!

Really happy with how my first time doing this went, it was a ton of fun agonizing over the bad picks and celebrating the good ones. Also enjoyed my mini-rivalry with Haste for that 5th spot: we were neck and neck for a while!

Congrats to whoever wins between Luster and tennisboy, both of you made lots of great picks and deserve the win. And congrats to hylianknight for acting less human and more like an unstoppable prediction-making robot at the start, definitely a well deserved top 3 finish.
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Ringworm
12/13/18 8:55:11 PM
#28:


Well it's looking like this will end up as my best ever result for a character contest, and best of any contest if you exclude years. I think I did decently.

Congrats to whoever wins too!
---
~ Ringworm ~
Congrats to BKSheikah - Guru champion - Best Year in Gaming
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Haste_2
12/13/18 11:56:42 PM
#29:


tennisboy was smart to pick Cloud the previous match given that both Luster and hylian picked Zelda. He had nothing to lose, after all.

Link currently has 60.20%. At this time in the previous Link/Cloud match, Link had 61.80%. If Link drops by the same amount... he ends up at 58.92%. Which is right inbetween tennisboy and Luster's picks! =O

For tennisboy to beat out Luster, Link needs to get 58.79% or lower. (if my calculations are correct)
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
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tennisboy213
12/14/18 12:04:07 AM
#30:


Haste_2 posted...
tennisboy was smart to pick Cloud the previous match

and it didn't hurt I actually thought he would win
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Haste_2
12/14/18 12:26:21 AM
#31:


I also had a secret rivalry with creativename, in terms of average score. =P We've been neck-and-neck throughout most of the contest!

My x-stats estimations had Cloud above both Mario and Zelda... sadly I did not trust those calculations enough to actually pick Cloud in those matches. What a mistake that was.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
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LusterSoldier
12/14/18 3:05:02 AM
#32:


Haste_2 posted...
Link currently has 60.20%. At this time in the previous Link/Cloud match, Link had 61.80%. If Link drops by the same amount... he ends up at 58.92%. Which is right inbetween tennisboy and Luster's picks! =O


It's not a sure thing that this match will follow the exact same trends as the previous Link/Cloud match. Link will drop overnight just like in the previous match, but Link continued losing percentage with the morning and day vote in the previous match. I think Smash can be blamed for that, since it came out during the previous Link/Cloud match. It might have explained why Link continued losing percentage during the second half of the match, as people were picking up their copy of Smash and were more focused on playing Smash than visiting the site to vote in the match. That affects Link's potential voters far more than Cloud's potential voters.
---
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th3l3fty
12/14/18 6:38:12 PM
#33:


congrats Luster
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Camden
12/14/18 6:40:40 PM
#34:


What's the closest finish we've had?
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Kaxon
12/14/18 7:14:05 PM
#35:


Sorry folks, for reasons I don't understand the final standings aren't updating correctly. I hope Morgoth will be able to fix it.
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LusterSoldier
12/14/18 8:08:35 PM
#36:


tennisboy213 posted...
It looks like my calculation was off and the number is 58.79%, not looking good...


Looks like Link finished at 59.27%.

Also, I had a feeling you were probably going wait until the last few seconds to submit your prediction for the final match so I couldn't make a prediction close enough to your prediction to lock up 1st place in this contest. I did the same thing, hoping you wouldn't be able to look at my prediction so you could make a prediction that was far enough away from mine to have a chance at a comeback.

th3l3fty posted...
congrats Luster


Thanks.

I had a bunch of previous finishes in the 10-19 range, except for a random 3rd place finish for Rivalry Rumble. Usually I ran into the problem of starting out good and then dropping off a cliff later in the contest.

In this contest, that didn't happen. It took a few days to get into the top 5, but after that happened, I didn't go through any extended period of doing bad with my predictions.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
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Haste_2
12/14/18 8:58:02 PM
#37:


Indeed, congrats Luster!

I think this makes...my ninth top ten finish.
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Advokaiser
12/14/18 9:01:01 PM
#38:


Congratulations to the Oracle Soldier!
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ecksgem
12/15/18 12:46:21 AM
#39:


Congrats, Luster! And tennis and hylian, you all killed everyone.

I'm pretty happy to finish a long streak at 4 after a rocky start.
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tennisboy213
12/15/18 1:00:28 AM
#40:


Yeah I thought Link would get around 59%, but I was worried if I put in a prediction too high, I would be locked out of having a chance to win. Oh well congrats.
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Ngamer64
12/15/18 1:50:50 AM
#41:


Atta boy Lusty!

But I have to ask... who was Red Grunting Boneheads?


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tennisboy213
12/15/18 2:44:12 AM
#42:


literally me and Luster
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LusterSoldier
12/15/18 4:26:54 AM
#43:


Ngamer64 posted...
But I have to ask... who was Red Grunting Boneheads?


That was the team of me and tennisboy. We couldn't decide on a team name, so King Morgoth used a random name generator to create names for all of the teams without a name.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
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Ngamer64
12/15/18 6:30:22 AM
#44:


Yikes oh mikes, no wonder we couldn't keep it within 100 points of that team! Okay, results updated on our page

https://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Oracle_Challenge

The Boneheads are the first back to back Team Champs since Predestined Divination pulled off the feat in 2009-2010. They'll need to win again in 2019 to catch PD for most gold medals though!

Really pleased with my finish, a #2 result in the Grand Finals. Would have been sweet if Link had dropped a tiny bit more to go out with a bang and score my only win (I think?) of the season!


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SuperNiceDog
12/15/18 6:54:11 AM
#45:


grats to luster!

Good job to SuperKnightsDog too!(4th overall)
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hagankefs
12/15/18 7:16:23 AM
#46:


Grats Luster!
Looking the archives my rectified score counting battles 100-101 would be 6.788,25 just short of 7th place!
F******* commas.
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Inter
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KingMorgoth
12/15/18 12:30:55 PM
#47:


hagankefs posted...
Grats Luster!
Looking the archives my rectified score counting battles 100-101 would be 6.788,25 just short of 7th place!
F******* commas.


@hagankefs
Can you please clarify what happened, commas usually get picked up by the script anyway now...
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Haste_2
12/16/18 1:47:03 AM
#48:


16) Mewtwo is a fraud 13,040.27+97.47 -641.68 86.94 (150)

Looks like the only good that team was good for was declaring Mewtwo as a fraud. But darnn, they nailed Mewtwo!
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LeonhartFour
12/16/18 2:33:45 AM
#49:


I mean it didn't help that my partner stopped participating 40 matches into the contest
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