Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1317

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_SecretSquirrel
12/06/18 8:57:46 PM
#201:


I say, push for the doubling!
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Link versus Cloud
12/06/18 9:04:50 PM
#202:


Yuri_LowelI posted...


I also have that but WOuldn't you rather see Cloud agaisnt Samus/Mario than MM getting destroyed?


I mean for Cloud/Samus to end up being competitive that means Cloud would have to destroy MM for him to be strong enough to challenge Samus. So its either

A) Cloud destroys MM and then we get a cool Cloud/Samus match
or
B) We get a cool MM/Cloud match (one of the only two NN match-ups we haven't seen) followed by Samus destroying the winner

If Cloud/MM ends up close, that means Cloud has no shot at Samus so I'd root for MM for the lulz.

Lopen posted...
Link versus Cloud posted...
Snake/Sonic changed your mind?


You can confirm there isn't SFF tainting the mix in Zelda/Sonic much so it does help quite a lot.

Keep in mind I had them all on the same tier anyway. I'd still have them there but Cloud is in the middle of it and Snake/Zelda are at the top. Mega and Pika beating Cloud wouldn't surprise me a ton at this point.


Fair enough, I still have it as Cloud>Zelda>MM=Pika>Snake for the moment as Link just distorts everything. Its a shame we likely won't get to see Zelda/Cloud or MM/Snake.
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Ringworm
12/06/18 9:10:51 PM
#203:


Team Rocket Elite posted...
18 people fell off the Second Chance Top 50. PlasmaKappa, MarioLinkNES, P4wn4g3, LightningRocks, ScrawlKnight, PlasmaChief16, FreeJazzOutlaw, AughtforNaught, Croire, svr4ever, jorhead, Reg, Ringworm, 1stSamurai, Hajelikto, MAZZ0Murder, Kenri and Ultima_X did not have Snake and Samus winning.

I said yesterday that 1 day appearance was it for me, but if a few in the top 50 went for the Cloud upset, I may sneak back on. Not counting on it though.
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#204
Post #204 was unavailable or deleted.
INTERWEBUSER
12/06/18 9:20:57 PM
#205:


DroneFAQs...Bored Of The Walking...yawn...
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LusterSoldier
12/06/18 9:26:18 PM
#206:


@INTERWEBUSER posted...
DroneFAQs...Bored Of The Walking...yawn...


You seem to hate Nintendo. Can you confirm if you actually hate Nintendo?
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INTERWEBUSER
12/06/18 9:28:23 PM
#207:


LusterSoldier posted...
@INTERWEBUSER posted...
DroneFAQs...Bored Of The Walking...yawn...


You seem to hate Nintendo. Can you confirm if you actually hate Nintendo?

Hate is a strong word. I dislike their business practices.
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Nelson_Mandela
12/06/18 9:45:35 PM
#208:


But Brawl is more fun than Melee.
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_SecretSquirrel
12/06/18 9:46:49 PM
#209:


UltimaterializerX posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
For those that don't think BOTW could beat the elite on this site

Remember this hell site put Brawl over Melee.

Once, barely, in a morning match immediately after Brawl came out and people didn't know it was trash yet. Melee would beat the shit out of any game in that series except Ultimate.

Immediately? GotD was almost three years after Brawl's release.
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LeonhartFour
12/06/18 9:50:33 PM
#210:


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The Owner of FF9
12/06/18 9:59:00 PM
#211:


What game is that non-KH Cloud pic from? What sword is that?
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LeonhartFour
12/06/18 10:01:02 PM
#212:


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#213
Post #213 was unavailable or deleted.
Link versus Cloud
12/06/18 10:22:29 PM
#214:


LeonhartFour posted...
well if Link = Zelda this makes Squall look great!


ayyy lmao
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The Owner of FF9
12/06/18 10:23:29 PM
#215:


Yeah that definitely looks really great. I heard the game wasn't though, and I didn't care for the original Dissidia either.
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SuperNiceDog
12/06/18 10:43:39 PM
#216:


HE CAME to TOWN! Oh god.
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TsunamiXXVIII
12/06/18 11:29:53 PM
#217:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
I feel like BotW would still need to deal with the anti-modern bias inherent on GameFAQs, but it's probably the one game that could overcome it.


Sounds about right. Of course, given the infrequency of contests these days, GotD 2010-2019 is probably going to be our next contest of any kind anyway, and I have to imagine it'll be the favorite to win that.

Other games likely to finish highly in the next GotD include Skyrim and Mass Effect 2. And...I honestly don't even know what the fourth member of our Final Four would be assuming the bracket is set up properly to get the four best games all alive then. Odyssey? Smash Ultimate?
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Team Rocket Elite
12/06/18 11:32:30 PM
#218:


Persona 5 Joker announced for SSBU. A bit too late to save him, though.
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snake_5036
12/06/18 11:33:28 PM
#219:


Hoooooly shit Nintendo
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_SecretSquirrel
12/06/18 11:36:40 PM
#220:


Team Rocket Elite posted...
Persona 5 Joker announced for SSBU. A bit too late to save him, though.

Maybe now he'll actually get a Joker match pic.
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Team Rocket Elite
12/06/18 11:49:33 PM
#221:


No Metroid Prime 4 reveal. Samus is going to have to find some other way past Mario.
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LusterSoldier
12/06/18 11:51:06 PM
#222:


TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Other games likely to finish highly in the next GotD include Skyrim and Mass Effect 2. And...I honestly don't even know what the fourth member of our Final Four would be assuming the bracket is set up properly to get the four best games all alive then. Odyssey? Smash Ultimate?


The strongest games of 2010-2019 will probably be the following - BotW, SSBU, Skyrim, Mario Odyssey, Mass Effect 2, Kingdom Hearts III, Persona 5, The Witcher 3, Nier: Automata

In the case of KH3, it might be a little premature at this point to call it a strong game without the game coming out yet, but it has the potential of being a Top 10 game in the next GotD contest.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/07/18 12:07:04 AM
#223:


LusterSoldier posted...
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Other games likely to finish highly in the next GotD include Skyrim and Mass Effect 2. And...I honestly don't even know what the fourth member of our Final Four would be assuming the bracket is set up properly to get the four best games all alive then. Odyssey? Smash Ultimate?


The strongest games of 2010-2019 will probably be the following - BotW, SSBU, Skyrim, Mario Odyssey, Mass Effect 2, Kingdom Hearts III, Persona 5, The Witcher 3, Nier: Automata

In the case of KH3, it might be a little premature at this point to call it a strong game without the game coming out yet, but it has the potential of being a Top 10 game in the next GotD contest.


If its good it will almost certainly be strong.

I mean square need something right? FF13 and 15 will be garbage even on gamefaqs

Persona 5 will be strong yes. Even stronger if they put it on switch...
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squexa
12/07/18 12:07:45 AM
#224:


I don't have much confidence in Persona 5. We seem to always overrate how strong Persona is every contest, but the series is still really niche..

Instead, I'd suggest A Link Between Worlds as a potential top 10 GotD2 game.
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Team Rocket Elite
12/07/18 12:08:55 AM
#225:


Persona 5 should do okay. The field in GotD will be pretty weak overall.
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LusterSoldier
12/07/18 12:13:07 AM
#226:


Persona 5 was almost doubled by BotW in the 2017 GotY poll, but it should have a better playrate by the time we get to GotD, so it may be even stronger by then.
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MetalmindStats
12/07/18 12:13:16 AM
#227:


GotD II, you say? Here, have my mock bracket:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1THs2OxKDopw_OjYpojEKCqyZkK0AtPCH7SGd0bgvzy8/edit

As for the biggest contenders, no one's mentioned Dark Souls yet. And after the repeated series fiascos plus Shepard bombing well beyond any expectations, I wouldn't expect Mass Effect 2 to be a true contender.
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Janus5k
12/07/18 12:20:31 AM
#228:


LusterSoldier posted...
Persona 5 was almost doubled by BotW in the 2017 GotY poll

...*glances at today's match*

Are we sure that's even bad?
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LeonhartFour
12/07/18 12:21:14 AM
#229:


Even at the time I thought that was a great result for P5
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tgs2
12/07/18 12:23:41 AM
#230:


squexa posted...
I don't have much confidence in Persona 5. We seem to always overrate how strong Persona is every contest, but the series is still really niche..

Instead, I'd suggest A Link Between Worlds as a potential top 10 GotD2 game.


Here is my shot in the dark for the top 10 games in GotD 2.

BotW
Skyrim
FO:New Vegas
ALBW
Last of Us
Witcher 3
RDR2
Dark Souls
GTAV
Undertale/MGSV/GoW 18'

Rally threats are Minecraft/Overwatch/BR games/ Undertale
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Yuri_LowelI
12/07/18 12:25:56 AM
#231:


LusterSoldier posted...
Persona 5 was almost doubled by BotW in the 2017 GotY poll, but it should have a better playrate by the time we get to GotD, so it may be even stronger by then.


Yeah doubled by a Zelda game

Persona 5 to even be that popular is insane. It sold over a million as well

Remember where persona was 10 years ago? Yeah.
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squexa
12/07/18 12:26:31 AM
#232:


The biggest wildcard to me is Skyward Sword. On one hand, nobody really seems to like it, but it is a 3D Zelda game, so there has to be a limit to low it can go right?
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Yuri_LowelI
12/07/18 12:27:11 AM
#233:


tgs2 posted...
squexa posted...
I don't have much confidence in Persona 5. We seem to always overrate how strong Persona is every contest, but the series is still really niche..

Instead, I'd suggest A Link Between Worlds as a potential top 10 GotD2 game.


Here is my shot in the dark for the top 10 games in GotD 2.

BotW
Skyrim
FO:New Vegas
ALBW
Last of Us
Witcher 3
RDR2
Dark Souls
GTAV
Undertale/MGSV/GoW 18'

Rally threats are Minecraft/Overwatch/BR games/ Undertale


Persona 5 would beat a hell of a lot of games on there

Also GTAv? Hahaha. Cmon man this GamEFaqs.
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Team Rocket Elite
12/07/18 12:27:34 AM
#234:


squexa posted...
The biggest wildcard to me is Skyward Sword. On one hand, nobody really seems to like it, but it is a 3D Zelda game, so there has to be a limit to low it can go right?


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5193-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-groose-vs-lu-bu-vs
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LusterSoldier
12/07/18 12:29:56 AM
#235:


I imagine Skyward Sword has a chance of getting in just because it's a console Zelda and because the GotD field will be fairly weak on average.

The interesting thing about the next GotD is that we should see 4 mainline Pokemon games (BW, XY, SM, Gen 8) in the contest. The last GotD had GSC, RSE, and DPP in the bracket.
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squexa
12/07/18 12:30:45 AM
#236:


Team Rocket Elite posted...
squexa posted...
The biggest wildcard to me is Skyward Sword. On one hand, nobody really seems to like it, but it is a 3D Zelda game, so there has to be a limit to low it can go right?


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5193-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-groose-vs-lu-bu-vs


To be fair, Groose is only a side character and Midna has always looked pretty terrible as well despite TP being fairly strong.
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red sox 777
12/07/18 12:31:32 AM
#237:


So.....

Link
Mario
Samus
Cloud

4-ways, final battle. Who wins?
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Team Rocket Elite
12/07/18 12:34:26 AM
#238:


I think putting in Mario and Samus is too much LFF for even Link to handle.
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MetalmindStats
12/07/18 12:35:57 AM
#239:


squexa posted...
Team Rocket Elite posted...
squexa posted...
The biggest wildcard to me is Skyward Sword. On one hand, nobody really seems to like it, but it is a 3D Zelda game, so there has to be a limit to low it can go right?


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5193-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-groose-vs-lu-bu-vs


To be fair, Groose is only a side character and Midna has always looked pretty terrible as well despite TP being fairly strong.

Eh, Midna's been around the fodder line at worst every year, which is a huge step above ...that.

Also, Link wins that four-way, no question about it.
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tgs2
12/07/18 12:38:57 AM
#240:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
tgs2 posted...
squexa posted...
I don't have much confidence in Persona 5. We seem to always overrate how strong Persona is every contest, but the series is still really niche..

Instead, I'd suggest A Link Between Worlds as a potential top 10 GotD2 game.


Here is my shot in the dark for the top 10 games in GotD 2.

BotW
Skyrim
FO:New Vegas
ALBW
Last of Us
Witcher 3
RDR2
Dark Souls
GTAV
Undertale/MGSV/GoW 18'

Rally threats are Minecraft/Overwatch/BR games/ Undertale


Persona 5 would beat a hell of a lot of games on there

Also GTAv? Hahaha. Cmon man this GamEFaqs.


I would take GTAV > P5 if it were held next year. GTAV is still recent-ish. In a couple years yeah; It is Golden Sun > San Andreas 2.0 in the making
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snake_5036
12/07/18 12:40:08 AM
#241:


red sox 777 posted...
So.....

Link
Mario
Samus
Cloud

4-ways, final battle. Who wins?

Link will find a way.
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KamikazePotato
12/07/18 1:22:19 AM
#242:


Cloud (2013c) has a strength of 38.50 against Base Link.
Link (2013c) has a strength of 52.23 against Base Link.
Link wins with 63.14% of the vote!

Hey guys Cloud is actually overperforming!!
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FinaIFantasy
12/07/18 1:24:24 AM
#243:


KamikazePotato posted...
Cloud (2013c) has a strength of 38.50 against Base Link.
Link (2013c) has a strength of 52.23 against Base Link.
Link wins with 63.14% of the vote!

Hey guys Cloud is actually overperforming!!


Whew....

Thank god, I was worried there for a while, now I know everything will be fine. Good to know.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/07/18 1:36:38 AM
#244:


tgs2 posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...
tgs2 posted...
squexa posted...
I don't have much confidence in Persona 5. We seem to always overrate how strong Persona is every contest, but the series is still really niche..

Instead, I'd suggest A Link Between Worlds as a potential top 10 GotD2 game.


Here is my shot in the dark for the top 10 games in GotD 2.

BotW
Skyrim
FO:New Vegas
ALBW
Last of Us
Witcher 3
RDR2
Dark Souls
GTAV
Undertale/MGSV/GoW 18'

Rally threats are Minecraft/Overwatch/BR games/ Undertale


Persona 5 would beat a hell of a lot of games on there

Also GTAv? Hahaha. Cmon man this GamEFaqs.


I would take GTAV > P5 if it were held next year. GTAV is still recent-ish. In a couple years yeah; It is Golden Sun > San Andreas 2.0 in the making


Except GTAV is no way near the level of San Andreas.

San Andreas won GOTY on this site. Wth did GTAV do?
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red sox 777
12/07/18 1:42:19 AM
#245:


Alright, so it's 1:40, and Cloud is still not managing to cut percentage. I guess I was wrong that he would get a lot of it back. Would be nice if he could salvage 40% though.
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LusterSoldier
12/07/18 1:43:43 AM
#246:


red sox 777 posted...
Alright, so it's 1:40, and Cloud is still not managing to cut percentage. I guess I was wrong that he would get a lot of it back. Would be nice if he could salvage 40% though.


Cloud did get his first lead cut at 1:05 AM, so he has gotten that out of the way.

We're not really far enough into the night vote for Cloud to be gaining percentage consistently. I wouldn't expect that to happen until 3:00 AM at the earliest.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/07/18 1:50:25 AM
#247:


Yeah its still only 7 am in UK and 8 am mainland Europe.

Give it another 2-3 hours.
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red sox 777
12/07/18 2:09:00 AM
#248:


Cloud will get some from Europe/Asia but if he was going to get a big movement, the kind needed to get him back to 44%, it would be from the anti-FFVII early vote shifting into the rest of the poll vote. Only, here, it's clear that the early vote went decisively for Cloud, because they really don't want Link to win again.
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creativename
12/07/18 3:19:13 AM
#249:


Id take Link in that 4-way.

I think Skyward Sword would be top 15 for the decade because Drones.

tgs2 posted...
squexa posted...
I don't have much confidence in Persona 5. We seem to always overrate how strong Persona is every contest, but the series is still really niche..

Instead, I'd suggest A Link Between Worlds as a potential top 10 GotD2 game.


Here is my shot in the dark for the top 10 games in GotD 2.

BotW
Skyrim
FO:New Vegas
ALBW
Last of Us
Witcher 3
RDR2
Dark Souls
GTAV
Undertale/MGSV/GoW 18'

Rally threats are Minecraft/Overwatch/BR games/ Undertale

Very good list.

Id be shocked if Undertale got a rally though. It got a rally because it was just released and was a fad basically at the time. Dont see it maintaining enough relevance for a rally. I wouldnt expect much from it.

What are BR games? Is that a company?
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MetalmindStats
12/07/18 3:24:24 AM
#250:


BR = battle royale (think the movie Battle Royale), a fairly new, but already phenomenally successful sub-genre in gaming whose main representatives are Fortnite and PUBG (PlayerUnknown's BattleGrounds). I can't see any battle royale games getting major rallies myself, due to the generally negative sentiments around PUBG, because Fortnite's playerbase is either under 13 or won't care, and because the other battle royale games aren't nearly big enough.
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