LogFAQs > #932980805

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, Database 5 ( 01.01.2019-12.31.2019 ), DB6, DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
Topic List
Page List: 1
TopicTsunami's Post-Contest Analysis (should not need a second topic)
TsunamiXXVIII
01/15/20 5:51:15 PM
#29:


Match 129: Ganondorf vs. Mega Man

Ganondorf 10087
Mega Man 15151

First off, are we actually having two contests in under a year? That hasn't happened in almost a decade! I didn't expect GotD2 to be this early in the year, I guess because the last one wasn't, but then again we started off 2010 with a Character Battle.

As for this match, it's clear that whatever it was that gave Zelda a massive boost (generally assumed to be Breath of the Wild) failed to do the same for Ganondorf. Remember this match?

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2019-tournament-final-sephiroth-vs-ganondorf

That's Ganondorf getting almost 42% against Sephiroth in his prime, or close to it. Not one Oracle predicted that Mega Man would hold Ganondorf under 42%; a few picked Ganondorf to win outright. Nope. Ganondorf got 40.57% with the registered voters, which even with them getting double weight wasn't enough for him to break 40% overall. Was Ganondorf really as weak as his SFF beatdown against Link made him look, or was Mega Man's loss simply a signal that Pikachu was legitimately Noble Nine tier?

Probably the latter, honestly. We'll look at that soon enough.

Match 130: Alucard vs. Bowser

Alucard 12307
Bowser 12932

Wait, doesn't that light blue border mean that the registered and unregistered voters were split?

Yes. Yes it does. Alucard was thought to be the weakest of the eight division winners, but he put up a damn good fight here, taking the unregistered vote by just 7 and holding Bowser to just 51.24%. Bowser was never in danger, however, leading wire-to-wire and staying above 51% from the 15-minute mark of the match onwards. But perhaps that was The Plan all along, as surely Alucard would get a better X-Stat number through Bowser than he would against Crono directly?

The max lead of 627 (10 minutes before match's end) would be good for a spot in the top 25 closest wire-to-wire matches, and would rank #6 among those where the loser never led.

Match 131: Solid Snake vs. Auron

Snake 15915
Auron 9971

This was another wake-up call re: strength of certain non-Noble Niners. Snake's victory was never in doubt, but not a single Oracle had him winning that handily. Given how unexpected Snake's presence in the loser's bracket was, it might surprise you to learn that Auron barely had more Guru brackets picking him in this match than Snake did...until you remember that Zelda was considered an underdog all the way back in Round 3 against Squall Leonhart. Also that nobody was quite sure what to make of Division 6, with fallen stars such as Vincent and Magus along with entirely too many potential rally-bait characters, but Squall was a comfortable Guru favorite to win this match.

---
Also known as Cyberchao X.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1