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TopicTsunami's Post-Contest Analysis (should not need a second topic)
TsunamiXXVIII
11/27/19 10:51:30 PM
#23:


Match 127: Samus Aran vs. Tifa Lockheart

Samus 17343
Tifa 12085

Back in 2006, this matchup was the first semifinal of the Female Bracket, and in that match Tifa became the first outsider to break 49.5% against a member of the Noble Nine. This match wasn't expected to be that close, however, in spite of Tifa's newfound power, as Samus was thought to be able to counter it with her own "hentai factor". Tifa made an early push, but ran out of steam quickly and at times looked to be at risk of falling under 40% a few hours in, but rebounded to push up to 41.5% in the middle of the match. Eventually, an equilibrium was reached at 59%-41%, staying within 0.1% of this figure for the final 7.5 hours of the match.

Match 128: Mario vs. Sephiroth

Mario 17437
Sephiroth 11993

Mario was the clear favorite here, but we at Board 8 are a sentimental bunch, and when a match history is lopsided, we're always a bit hesitant to feel entirely comfortable picking against history. But we did it, naturally. It was just too obvious. This runs Mario's all-time record against Sephiroth to, depending on how you're counting, either 1-4 or 1-6. Or possibly only 1-2, if you're one of those annoying purists who only ever counts 1v1 results. I generally count the 3-way and 4-way results, but I find it easier when compiling all-time records to just ignore the 2006 Battle Royale, as it only runs up Link's scores, and to a lesser extent Cloud's, while dragging down the other four entrants' records. Mario managed to pick up 8 head-to-head losses in a two-day span. It's just not worth it.

A number of people objected to Sephiroth being the Noble Niner to be sent to the main bracket when he probably wasn't the weakest of them. The reasoning given, that Cloud and Sephiroth are the only two Noble Niners to come from the same game, was sound, but it still seems like a shitty thing to do to the guy who basically had a contest designed for his benefit alone so as to hasten the process of removing the strongest characters from the main bracket. I wonder what sort of gimmick the next bracket will have. The idea of the Legends Bracket was pretty cool, but the execution kind of sucked in that we never completely finished out the main bracket. Theoretically we could've just done another Tournament of Champions like we did in 2005, because we have had exactly two non-Link champions since 2006, but, uh...yeah, no one really wants those two in a Tournament of Champions. Most of us don't want the CBIX champ in our bracket at all. TBH, however, I think a gimmick-free bracket would be better. This contest showed that most of the Noble Nine are actually capable of producing interesting matches now. Yes, Link will still win in the end, as he always does, but the road to the end cold be very interesting.

Now watch as we end up with 256 characters, still all 1v1s but stuffing the whole thing into 63 days. 8 matches a day for the first two rounds (12-hour matches and four matches at once), 4 a day for the next two (switching to 24-hour matches), 2 a day for the next two, and only going to 1 a day for the final two rounds.
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