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TopicFinal Fantasy Record Keeper: 44th topic for 4th anniversary
Kaxon
03/24/19 1:07:58 PM
#17:


Lopen posted...
Pretty sure USB lucky has better expected value than Realms on Parade for most realms considering all the bad bursts, overstrikes, and legend materia out there.


Interesting. This made me compare the EV for 25 mythril on the lucky draw vs 25 mythril doing the ROP for I-V (because those were the first numbers I saw, although arguably I and II are some of the weakest realms so the numbers might be better if you looked at VI-X). I'm assuming .14 chance of a disco/rainbow on the ones that aren't guaranteed.

Lucky draw: 2.4 USBs
Realms:
0.32 AOSB
0.21 CSB
1.56 USB
4.31 5* or OSB

If you value the 5* stuff at all I think Realms is a better deal (especially since Arcanes and Chains are usually better than Ultras) but it's a lot closer than I realized.
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