Lurker > Lopen

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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 7:45:14 PM
#238
If only he had his faithful companion Dark Nation here to help out he may have survived longer still
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 7:20:55 PM
#162
Poncede, you'll rue these days

In good time
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 7:14:43 PM
#159
I almost saved Squall 56 minutes early but I figured he deserved a bit better than that
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 7:11:29 PM
#149
Looks like those plans were subject to change after recent developments
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 6:52:10 PM
#132
I plan on saving him in 56 minutes

Plan subject to change
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 6:47:24 PM
#127
Sabin Rene Figaro
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 6:22:28 PM
#76
The long lost brother of eaed and eddv, jedw
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 5:37:53 PM
#48
Wow that dastardly Eddv said "Min wu" to sabotage my ctrl+f

Agnes Oblige then
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Lopen
09/15/17 5:32:41 PM
#42
Minwu
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/15/17 2:44:23 PM
#378
WickIebee posted...
Lopen posted...
I kinda want another Nephenee

Wrath + Wo Dao seems like a sick combo but obviously I can't scrap Nephenee while I only have one.


I just want one with a better nature since my current one is +Res/-Atk

*cries*


Rough. That's gotta be the worst or second worst nature to get. :(
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TopicFinal Fantasy: Brave Exvius Topic 37 - Aria of Sorrow
Lopen
09/15/17 2:20:33 PM
#153
Random note I can't wait till Tidus's enhancements

Needing to cycle through Get Pumped, Blitz Mania, Blitz Ace constantly makes it tough to do Quick Hits very often. Those 3 turn durations are rough, man.

Argh it only goes up to 4? Was sure it went up to 5. TIdus too overworked.
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TopicFinal Fantasy: Brave Exvius Topic 37 - Aria of Sorrow
Lopen
09/15/17 2:04:03 PM
#151
Very happy that this team was able to not have any issues staying alive on this boss considering

- Tank Delita is weird and not something people do, but he was able to mitigate well enough just using the standard provoke and his awesome attack/mag breaks.
- I don't actually have a healer. Wish, Al Bhed Potion and Love You All+2's regen was plenty.

It worked though. I only had X-Death get KOed once on one of his self-dispel go nuts turns. Fixed that in the future by just having him defend those turns.

G7cbcPu

Guess we'll see how it actually fares for trials soon enough though.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/15/17 1:14:30 PM
#371
I kinda want another Nephenee

Wrath + Wo Dao seems like a sick combo but obviously I can't scrap Nephenee while I only have one.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/15/17 1:06:43 PM
#369
Hey man at least you didn't get combo broken by garbage. Keep the faith and Nephenee will come.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/15/17 12:25:57 PM
#366
Yesssss I got Nephenee

Yesssss she's +ATK/-RES

Yesssss I only spent 38 orbs to do it.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 11:04:45 PM
#330
The power creep is real in this game. Might not be playable soon.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 10:20:17 PM
#319
Making any of the CYL poll characters 4* would piss people who took the 4*s as their freebie off so I really doubt any drop to 4*.
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 10:15:37 PM
#222
If Braun returns to Bray I will quit Raw for months
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 6:57:51 PM
#306
Ursula's art I kinda like but it's kinda like a fanart "what would Ursula look like as one of Nergal's Morphs" than actually true to the character concept, so if I actually had any attachment to Ursula I'd (probably) dislike it.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 6:53:40 PM
#304
grand hero battle: denning
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 6:52:05 PM
#300
Jeigan is Jeigan you ain't makin him photogenic anyway

Lloyd though

Man poor Black Fang huh
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 6:49:31 PM
#296
It could be worse

Your waifu could be Eliwood
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 6:43:47 PM
#293
I don't understand the popularity of Ellincia but I assume it's RD related
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 6:42:53 PM
#213
The way to do the fake shoot thing is have Cena play the smark, and Roman not take that approach and just say he's going to beat Cena's ass in spite of all this. That's really the only way to run that angle, cause yeah if you ground both sides in "reality" Cena just makes Roman look like a fool.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 6:38:09 PM
#290
Wow forget links to theorycraft that program is super cool and I wish I'd thought of making it since it's not exactly the most complicated thing to do.

Well now I can reap the rewards of TRE's labor and use the program with none of the work so hell yeah. Being proven wrong was worth. (assuming it's all sound, but given it's TRE and with a quick glancethrough of the source I trust)

May code up some other hypothetical drawing schemes to try as well-- but for now seeing those results as fairly significant I GUESS I'll save for Nephenee instead of tossing some draws at Ike (which is looking less of a must do now that it's known he's not limited)
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 4:37:49 PM
#285
Xuxon posted...
Lopen posted...
My concern is less the pity pull counter which is pretty minor and more what extra orb expenditure the ' wasted ' pulls inflict on you, which I do think can be calculated if you bother-- but is also something I'd say the 10% you spitballed may be accurate for.

no, that part is definitely only going to be about a 4% difference (or about 3% for reds, or 5% for greens). that i am 100% sure about. the 10% estimate i made was combined with the pity rate difference.


If you're certain do you have the topic with the work shown.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 4:36:21 PM
#284
Also I will say something underplayed in general by mathheads is that psychological factors do in fact matter in a game I'm playing for fun.

Getting that blue cavalier schmuckhead I forget the name of and getting combobroken hurts a lot more than getting a 3* Oboro even if he's technically a better draw.

I am interested in finding the actual percentage difference and checking the work, but if you have like a 0.03% better chance of getting Nephenee on 3 double stacked vs 4 single stacked, I'm probably sticking with 4 not just to avoid the rage and headaches regardless.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 4:25:37 PM
#281
My concern is less the pity pull counter which is pretty minor and more what extra orb expenditure the ' wasted ' pulls inflict on you, which I do think can be calculated if you bother-- but is also something I'd say the 10% you spitballed may be accurate for.

Basically it boils down to 0.25% more Nephenees vs stabbing at those extra 1% and getting duds. Which is a small amount of extra draws but when you're dealing with low percentages to begin with I feel may be more significant than the extra 0.25%.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 3:37:05 PM
#271
Basically the thing of 3 + double stacked vs 4 + not is you're trading a 0.25% bonus to the total odds of seeing the character on a draw for a 50% chance of focus draws that hit making you spend more orbs + resetting your pity pull counter for no beneficial effect.

I feel like there are a lot of factors to track there and I'm skeptical that the redditor that was taken as gospel did it all, personally. It seems like a question that's really easy to come close to the right answer, good enough to fool most readers on, while still being wrong.
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 3:27:38 PM
#197
I don't think the extra rings really add a lot of complexity in being able to follow the action. All it's doing is spreading the action out a bit-- it's still more contained than Football or something.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 3:23:08 PM
#264
I think the general theory is that Oscar himself would cause that to happen a low enough amount of the time (particularly considering that a 5* generic Blue can do that too, which has a higher chance of cockblocking you than Oscar will) combined with the pity pull percentage being low enough that he's not changing the odds a ton.

Unfortunately I'm a bit too lazy to do the math myself to verify for myself with work that's easy to understand, but I do suspect it may be being dumbed down a tad by redditors. Do you recall what the topic title was that discussed this Xuxon.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 3:17:22 PM
#262
Then again, maybe 10% is accurate there to which I'll say 10% orbs is a big deal if you're throwing out like 200 orbs and we're not necessarily disagreeing.
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 3:15:42 PM
#192
Well if you're in the crowd you can just watch all 3 rings at once since you're not at the mercy of the camera angle. Yeah it's going to be hard to follow-- just like any massive battle royal is hard to follow.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 3:07:05 PM
#261
Yeah I get all that, but you're also drawing more blues than you normally would be which I think is understated a bit with the theorycraft.

Like consider if Oscar was another color, say green, if I "luck into" a group of Orbs that has Oscar as the focus, and it's B R B/G G W, where B/G is Oscar. If he's green, I save 4 Orbs there. If he's Blue, I spend 4 Orbs to have the pleasure of Oscar resetting my pity pull count. Which costs me 4/5s of an entry fee to see a batch of orbs. Cause the real thing you want to see is sets of 5, not making the pulls themselves.

I think people are dumbing it down a bit but maybe this scenario is so rare that it's not changing the overall orb expenditure very much I don't know. Keep in mind that 15% of sets of 5 pulls are going to have a 5* focus SOMEWHERE before considering pity pull percentage, so I don't think it's all that rare.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 2:47:01 PM
#258
Okay please explain that to me because I don't get how that makes any sense nor is it anything resembling common sense to me, and I get how the gacha works.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 2:37:32 PM
#256
Not if you're only drawing blues. Which you should do.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 1:03:09 PM
#251
I legit forgot who Oscar was

If my boy Gatrie had been there to siphon picks I wouldn't even have minded
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 12:44:35 PM
#190
I really liked the arena setup.

Honestly in this day of streaming you could just simulstream all 3 rings at the same time and let people watch whichever ring they want with full screen action. You could watch the thing 3 times in a row if you want the full experience.
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TopicFate/Grand Order Topic 4: Sailing the Seven Seas
Lopen
09/14/17 12:37:45 PM
#226
GANON1025 posted...
New event announced:

dHNQj2I


lmao
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 12:31:52 PM
#188
Airing them all simultaneously really helps the feeling that it's a spectacle and a big deal. Probably not worth the tradeoff, but I do think you'd lose a lot of the charm by just having 3 different battle Royals.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 12:21:54 PM
#248
Oh

Just realized Oscar is there to be a jackass and siphon Nephenee drops.

Screw you banner, Brave Ike it is.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 11:55:06 AM
#247
Do I save for Nephenee or put a few more draws into getting Brave Ike. Hm.
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 11:51:55 AM
#184
Let's bring back World War 3. NXT Ring, Raw Ring, Smackdown Ring. One victor.
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 11:33:42 AM
#180
Well I'd hate it. So probably not apathetic at least.
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 11:28:01 AM
#177
Random interesting fact they seem to be swapping the branding on a lot of the PPVs and I'm not sure why. I remember I made a point to get No Mercy last year as well and it was SmackDown. And Hell In The Cell was Raw. Kinda shatters the illusion that the brand split is genuine whatsoever but that happens all the time I guess
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 11:22:08 AM
#176
I'd be interested for the periods I have the Network anyway. I will be getting it for No Mercy but I'm skeptical I'd get it again till the Rumble
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/14/17 1:34:38 AM
#157
It's just too ambitious I think.

Miz vs Jordan is doable
Miz vs Crews is doable (or at least it would be if that damn CREED feud wasn't so fresh)
Cruz vs Jordan just seems like a tough sell to get anyone to care about-- gotta build one of em first.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Lopen
09/14/17 1:28:59 AM
#239
I'm pretty damn close to making anti-horse emblem teams for arena just on principle. So dumb seeing them all over the place laughable balance in this game
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/13/17 11:42:14 PM
#154
That's also true. I'm not complaining about Miz like I am with AJ Styles because he hasn't been well proven at a main event level nor have they made any serious intention to put him to that level.

He's more just bog standard IC Title doesn't matter right now, trying as hard as he can to pretend it does, than anything particularly egregious at this point

Like I'd definitely rather have Miz keep it a bit longer than have some Jason Jordan vs Apollo Cruz programs for it. That puts it sub European Title
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TopicAll-Purpose Wrestling Topic 419: Global Force Total Nonstop Impact Wrestling
Lopen
09/13/17 11:25:43 PM
#151
True. That's not entirely fair though because I felt his last feud with Ziggler actually helped the IC Title feel relevant again. Definitely was not a coat rack reign, number 6.

But as time drags on with his current reign that's less of something that exists and more just Miz's bad catchphrase.
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