Diceheist posted...
Trump was polling horrendously in 2020 because of covid. Prior to the pandemic going into noticeable effect (job closures etc.) he was polling better against Biden than he currently is against Harris.
That is simply untrue. In late February/early March, before any of the major fallout from the pandemic or the BLM protests had started, Biden was already polling 4-5 points above Trump, which is higher than Harris is currently polling (or, frankly, has ever polled). Trump certainly lost ground as a result of the pandemic, dropping below 45% in mid March and never going back over that mark but he also hasnt recovered in this election cycle, either. Hes polling at around 43%, which is where he was this time last cycle.
See for yourself:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2020/national/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Now, none of this is to say shes running a bad campaign. Its just, by a relatively objective metric, not as strong as Bidens was in 2020.